Excelsior at Zwolle

Updated

Excelsior

21.8%24.5%53.7%
Excelsior WinDrawZwolle Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.65
1Final Score 2

Zwolle

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+1500
L 0-3 at Go Ahead Eagles+520
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+125
L 0-4 at AZ Alkmaar+1000
L 2-5 at Fortuna Sittard+315
Zwolle
Money Line
L 1-5 at Utrecht+600
L 3-1 vs Ajax+450
L 1-3 at Fortuna Sittard+380
T 1-1 vs Volendam-230
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+575

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+210+276+275+285+280+285+293+308.9
Zwolle+120-101-105-112-104-112-101+101.0
Draw+250+269+245+265+272+265+272+287.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+235----+275+275+308.9
Zwolle+105-----105-105+101.0
Draw+280----+270+270+287.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Zwolle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 10.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +285 to +270
Zwolle ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Zwolle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
Zwolle ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o2½-137o2¾-110o2¾-108o2¾-104o2¾-108o2½-137o2¾+102
Underu3-105u2½+117u2¾-110u2¾-112u2¾-114u2¾-112u2¾-110u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+102
Under-----u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-146 to u2¾-101

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.40%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 414.17%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.26%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.38%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 038.49%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 019.22%
Exactly 131.70%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 314.37%
Exactly 45.93%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.95%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 064.27%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 046.60%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 213.59%
Exactly 33.46%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals7.47%
Wins by 3+ goals1.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals28.96%
Wins by 3+ goals12.46%
Wins by 4+ goals4.37%
Wins by 5+ goals1.27%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Zwolle
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal14.29%
Wins by 2 goals5.53%
Wins by 3 goals1.56%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal24.68%
Wins by 2 goals16.50%
Wins by 3 goals8.08%
Wins by 4 goals3.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.97%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.60%7.40%
1.573.34%26.66%
2.548.26%51.74%
3.526.49%73.51%
4.512.32%87.68%
5.54.93%95.07%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.51%38.49%
1.524.76%75.24%
2.57.22%92.78%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.78%19.22%
1.549.09%50.91%
2.522.95%77.05%
3.58.58%91.42%
4.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.05%29.95%
1.533.94%66.06%
2.512.18%87.82%
3.53.43%96.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Zwolle
Score012345
0
7.40%
12.20%
10.06%
5.53%
2.28%
0.75%
1
7.06%
11.65%
9.61%
5.28%
2.18%
0.72%
2
3.37%
5.56%
4.59%
2.52%
1.04%
0.34%
3
1.07%
1.77%
1.46%
0.80%
0.33%
0.11%
4
0.26%
0.42%
0.35%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Excelsior
1-07.06%
2-03.37%
2-15.56%
3-01.07%
3-11.77%
3-21.46%
4-00.26%
4-10.42%
4-20.35%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.40%
1-111.65%
2-24.59%
3-30.80%
Zwolle
0-112.20%
0-210.06%
1-29.61%
0-35.53%
1-35.28%
2-32.52%
0-42.28%
1-42.18%
2-41.04%
3-40.33%
0-50.75%
1-50.72%
2-50.34%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Zwolle
Score01234
0
29.95%
22.87%
8.73%
2.22%
0.42%
1
13.24%
10.11%
3.86%
0.98%
0.19%
2
2.93%
2.23%
0.85%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.43%
0.33%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-013.24%
2-02.93%
2-12.23%
3-00.43%
3-10.33%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-029.95%
1-110.11%
2-20.85%
Zwolle
0-122.87%
0-28.73%
1-23.86%
0-32.22%
1-30.98%
2-30.22%
0-40.42%
1-40.19%
AZ Alkmaar at PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard at Twente