PSV Eindhoven at Excelsior

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

80.5%12.7%6.8%
PSV Eindhoven WinDrawWin
2.78Projected Goals 0.70
2Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
L 1-3 at NEC Nijmegen-275
W 0-1 vs Twente-250
W 1-0 at Go Ahead Eagles-245
T 2-2 vs Feyenoord-115
W 7-1 at Zwolle-450
Excelsior
Money Line
L 0-3 at Go Ahead Eagles+520
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+125
L 0-4 at AZ Alkmaar+1000
L 2-5 at Fortuna Sittard+315
L 2-1 vs Vitesse+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven-553-649-725-625-759-625-625-462.6
Excelsior+1311+1483+1400+1300+1501+1300+1501+1367.8
Draw+718+806+725+770+835+770+835+812.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven-625-----750-750-462.6
Excelsior+1200----+1500+1500+1367.8
Draw+800----+850+850+812.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Excelsior: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Excelsior: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -742 to -759
Excelsior ML moved from +1300 to +1200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Excelsior: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Excelsior: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -650 to -750
Excelsior ML moved from +1280 to +1235

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4+117o4+107o4+102o4+105o3¾-115o4+105o3¾-115o4+114
Underu4-137u4-127u4-122u4-125u3¾-103u4-125u4-122u4-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4+114
Under-----u4-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.08%
Exactly 218.64%
Exactly 418.83%
Exactly 67.61%
Exactly 81.65%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.71%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 513.11%
Exactly 73.79%
Exactly 90.64%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 06.21%
Exactly 117.26%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 415.43%
Exactly 58.58%
Exactly 63.97%
Exactly 71.58%
Exactly 80.55%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 049.53%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 212.23%
Exactly 32.86%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.95%
Exactly 225.92%
Exactly 45.61%
Exactly 60.49%
 
Exactly 132.16%
Exactly 313.93%
Exactly 51.81%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 027.62%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 222.86%
Exactly 39.81%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 072.23%
Exactly 123.50%
Exactly 23.82%
Exactly 30.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals60.30%
Wins by 3+ goals38.54%
Wins by 4+ goals21.00%
Wins by 5+ goals9.84%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals1.67%
Wins by 3+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal20.09%
Wins by 2 goals21.76%
Wins by 3 goals17.54%
Wins by 4 goals11.16%
Wins by 5 goals5.84%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal5.07%
Wins by 2 goals1.37%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.92%3.08%
1.586.22%13.78%
2.567.58%32.42%
3.545.94%54.06%
4.527.11%72.89%
5.514.00%86.00%
6.56.39%93.61%
7.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.79%6.21%
1.576.54%23.46%
2.552.56%47.44%
3.530.34%69.66%
4.514.91%85.09%
5.56.33%93.67%
6.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.47%49.53%
1.515.67%84.33%
2.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.05%19.95%
1.547.90%52.10%
2.521.98%78.02%
3.58.05%91.95%
4.52.44%97.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Score0123
0
3.08%
2.16%
0.76%
0.18%
1
8.55%
6.01%
2.11%
0.49%
2
11.88%
8.34%
2.93%
0.69%
3
11.00%
7.73%
2.72%
0.64%
4
7.64%
5.37%
1.89%
0.44%
5
4.25%
2.99%
1.05%
0.25%
PSV Eindhoven
1-08.55%
2-011.88%
2-18.34%
3-011.00%
3-17.73%
3-22.72%
4-07.64%
4-15.37%
4-21.89%
4-30.44%
5-04.25%
5-12.99%
5-21.05%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-03.08%
1-16.01%
2-22.93%
3-30.64%
Excelsior
0-12.16%
0-20.76%
1-22.11%
0-30.18%
1-30.49%
2-30.69%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Score0123
0
19.95%
6.49%
1.06%
0.11%
1
25.67%
8.35%
1.36%
0.15%
2
16.51%
5.37%
0.87%
0.09%
3
7.08%
2.30%
0.37%
0.04%
4
2.28%
0.74%
0.12%
0.01%
5
0.59%
0.19%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-025.67%
2-016.51%
2-15.37%
3-07.08%
3-12.30%
3-20.37%
4-02.28%
4-10.74%
4-20.12%
5-00.59%
5-10.19%
6-00.13%
Draw
0-019.95%
1-18.35%
2-20.87%
Excelsior
0-16.49%
0-21.06%
1-21.36%
0-30.11%
1-30.15%
Sparta R'dam at Vitesse
NEC Nijmegen at Fortuna Sittard