Excelsior at Go Ahead Eag

Updated

Excelsior

17.1%21.9%61.0%
WinDrawGo Ahead Eag Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.89
0Final Score 3

Go Ahead Eagles

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+125
L 0-4 at AZ Alkmaar+1000
L 2-5 at Fortuna Sittard+315
L 2-1 vs Vitesse+110
L 2-4 at Sparta Rotterdam+315
Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
L 0-2 at Heracles Almelo+125
L 1-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+570
W 0-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-120
L 0-3 at Twente+600
W 2-0 at Heerenveen+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+421+524+500+490+524+490+524+517.6
Go Ahead Eag-161-201-215-196-202-196-196-172.2
Draw+331+373+350+365+370+365+373+386.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+395----+520+520+517.6
Go Ahead Eag-170-----210-210-172.2
Draw+355----+370+370+386.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 20.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 10.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +490 to +480
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from -193 to -201

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 20.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 10.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from -180 to -210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3½+117o3¼-108o3¼-109o3¼-108o3¼-109o3¼-108o3¼+101
Underu3-104u3½-139u3¼-112u3¼-111u3¼-110u3¼-111u3½-139u3¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+101
Under-----u3¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.25%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 415.39%
Exactly 63.95%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.32%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 58.54%
Exactly 71.56%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 041.32%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.14%
Exactly 34.75%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 015.12%
Exactly 128.56%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 316.99%
Exactly 48.03%
Exactly 53.03%
Exactly 60.95%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.69%
Exactly 222.83%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 39.77%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 066.42%
Exactly 127.18%
Exactly 25.56%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 041.70%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.95%
Exactly 34.65%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals5.42%
Wins by 3+ goals1.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals36.12%
Wins by 3+ goals17.32%
Wins by 4+ goals6.83%
Wins by 5+ goals2.24%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal11.61%
Wins by 2 goals4.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal24.81%
Wins by 2 goals18.80%
Wins by 3 goals10.49%
Wins by 4 goals4.59%
Wins by 5 goals1.64%
Wins by 6 goals0.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.75%6.25%
1.576.43%23.57%
2.552.41%47.59%
3.530.21%69.79%
4.514.82%85.18%
5.56.28%93.72%
6.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.68%41.32%
1.522.16%77.84%
2.56.02%93.98%
3.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.88%15.12%
1.556.32%43.68%
2.529.34%70.66%
3.512.35%87.65%
4.54.32%95.68%
5.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.31%27.69%
1.536.75%63.25%
2.513.92%86.08%
3.54.15%95.85%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
Score012345
0
6.25%
11.80%
11.15%
7.02%
3.32%
1.25%
1
5.52%
10.43%
9.85%
6.21%
2.93%
1.11%
2
2.44%
4.61%
4.35%
2.74%
1.30%
0.49%
3
0.72%
1.36%
1.28%
0.81%
0.38%
0.14%
4
0.16%
0.30%
0.28%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
Excelsior
1-05.52%
2-02.44%
2-14.61%
3-00.72%
3-11.36%
3-21.28%
4-00.16%
4-10.30%
4-20.28%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-06.25%
1-110.43%
2-24.35%
3-30.81%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-111.80%
0-211.15%
1-29.85%
0-37.02%
1-36.21%
2-32.74%
0-43.32%
1-42.93%
2-41.30%
3-40.38%
0-51.25%
1-51.11%
2-50.49%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
Score012345
0
27.69%
24.23%
10.60%
3.09%
0.68%
0.12%
1
11.33%
9.91%
4.34%
1.26%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.32%
2.03%
0.89%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.32%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-011.33%
2-02.32%
2-12.03%
3-00.32%
3-10.28%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.69%
1-19.91%
2-20.89%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-124.23%
0-210.60%
1-24.34%
0-33.09%
1-31.26%
2-30.26%
0-40.68%
1-40.28%
0-50.12%
Fortuna Sittard at Sparta R'dam
Heerenveen at RKC Waalwijk