Excelsior at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Excelsior

6.0%12.3%81.6%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.64Projected Goals 2.76
0Final Score 4

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 2-5 at Fortuna Sittard+315
L 2-1 vs Vitesse+110
L 2-4 at Sparta Rotterdam+315
L 3-0 vs Twente+450
L 1-2 at Almere City+250
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+100
W 0-2 vs Ajax-115
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard-120
T 0-0 at Almere City-140
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord+435

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+948+1112+1100+1200+1182+1200+1200+1265.4
AZ Alkmaar-351-424-480-465-449-465-424-362.1
Draw+501+573+550+565+585+565+585+598.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+870----+1000+1000+1265.4
AZ Alkmaar-350-----410-410-362.1
Draw+490----+540+540+598.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 10.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +981 to +955
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -460 to -480

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -375 to -405

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-123o3½+111o3¼-115o3¼-106o3¼-104o3¼-106o3¼-104o3¼+104
Underu3+105u3½-131u3¼-105u3¼-114u3¼-114u3¼-114u3½-131u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+104
Under-----u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.34%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 418.58%
Exactly 67.16%
Exactly 81.48%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.35%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 512.63%
Exactly 73.48%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 053.01%
Exactly 133.65%
Exactly 210.68%
Exactly 32.26%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 06.30%
Exactly 117.42%
Exactly 224.08%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 415.33%
Exactly 58.48%
Exactly 63.91%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 80.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.72%
Exactly 225.67%
Exactly 45.30%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.62%
Exactly 313.47%
Exactly 51.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 074.54%
Exactly 121.90%
Exactly 23.22%
Exactly 30.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 027.80%
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 39.72%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals1.38%
Wins by 3+ goals0.23%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals61.50%
Wins by 3+ goals39.43%
Wins by 4+ goals21.51%
Wins by 5+ goals10.08%
Wins by 6+ goals4.09%
Wins by 7+ goals1.44%
Wins by 8+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal4.60%
Wins by 2 goals1.15%
Wins by 3 goals0.20%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal20.08%
Wins by 2 goals22.07%
Wins by 3 goals17.92%
Wins by 4 goals11.44%
Wins by 5 goals5.99%
Wins by 6 goals2.65%
Wins by 7 goals1.01%
Wins by 8 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.66%3.34%
1.585.31%14.69%
2.566.01%33.99%
3.544.15%55.85%
4.525.57%74.43%
5.512.94%87.06%
6.55.78%94.22%
7.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.99%53.01%
1.513.35%86.65%
2.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.70%6.30%
1.576.28%23.72%
2.552.21%47.79%
3.530.02%69.98%
4.514.69%85.31%
5.56.21%93.79%
6.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.28%20.72%
1.546.66%53.34%
2.520.99%79.01%
3.57.53%92.47%
4.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.34%
9.23%
12.76%
11.76%
8.13%
4.49%
1
2.12%
5.86%
8.10%
7.46%
5.16%
2.85%
2
0.67%
1.86%
2.57%
2.37%
1.64%
0.91%
3
0.14%
0.39%
0.54%
0.50%
0.35%
0.19%
Excelsior
1-02.12%
2-00.67%
2-11.86%
3-00.14%
3-10.39%
3-20.54%
Draw
0-03.34%
1-15.86%
2-22.57%
3-30.50%
AZ Alkmaar
0-19.23%
0-212.76%
1-28.10%
0-311.76%
1-37.46%
2-32.37%
0-48.13%
1-45.16%
2-41.64%
3-40.35%
0-54.49%
1-52.85%
2-50.91%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123456
0
20.72%
26.53%
16.98%
7.24%
2.32%
0.59%
0.13%
1
6.09%
7.80%
4.99%
2.13%
0.68%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.89%
1.15%
0.73%
0.31%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-06.09%
2-00.89%
2-11.15%
Draw
0-020.72%
1-17.80%
2-20.73%
AZ Alkmaar
0-126.53%
0-216.98%
1-24.99%
0-37.24%
1-32.13%
2-30.31%
0-42.32%
1-40.68%
2-40.10%
0-50.59%
1-50.17%
0-60.13%
Vitesse at RKC Waalwijk
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