Twente at Excelsior

Updated

Twente

65.9%20.1%14.0%
Twente WinDrawWin
2.04Projected Goals 0.82
3Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-425
T 0-0 at Feyenoord+680
L 0-1 at NEC Nijmegen-115
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar-120
T 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam-125
Excelsior
Money Line
L 1-2 at Almere City+250
T 1-1 vs Utrecht+205
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen+220
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+3000
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-183-150-155-165-158-165-150-145.8
Excelsior+506+424+390+465+440+465+465+493.0
Draw+337+302+300+300+309+300+309+319.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-200-----160-160-145.8
Excelsior+530----+450+450+493.0
Draw+340----+295+295+319.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 20.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Excelsior: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from -183 to -189
Excelsior ML moved from +428 to +422

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 20.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twente ML
Excelsior ML moved from +480 to +450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o3+115o2¾-118o2¾-115o2¾-112o2¾-115o2¾-112o2¾-104
Underu3-122u3-135u2¾-102u2¾-105u2¾-106u2¾-105u3-135u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-112 to o2¾-113
The Under moved from u3-123 to u2½-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.71%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 415.99%
Exactly 64.37%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.34%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.15%
Exactly 71.79%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 012.94%
Exactly 126.47%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.44%
Exactly 49.42%
Exactly 53.85%
Exactly 61.31%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 044.10%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.78%
Exactly 34.03%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.56%
Exactly 223.34%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 310.31%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 038.81%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.39%
Exactly 35.49%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 068.45%
Exactly 125.95%
Exactly 24.92%
Exactly 30.62%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals41.18%
Wins by 3+ goals21.03%
Wins by 4+ goals8.87%
Wins by 5+ goals3.12%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals4.17%
Wins by 3+ goals0.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal24.58%
Wins by 2 goals20.15%
Wins by 3 goals12.16%
Wins by 4 goals5.76%
Wins by 5 goals2.23%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal9.84%
Wins by 2 goals3.23%
Wins by 3 goals0.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.29%5.71%
1.577.95%22.05%
2.554.55%45.45%
3.532.22%67.78%
4.516.23%83.77%
5.57.08%92.92%
6.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.06%12.94%
1.560.59%39.41%
2.533.54%66.46%
3.515.10%84.90%
4.55.68%94.32%
5.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.90%44.10%
1.519.80%80.20%
2.55.02%94.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.44%26.56%
1.538.22%61.78%
2.514.88%85.12%
3.54.57%95.43%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Excelsior
Score01234
0
5.71%
4.67%
1.91%
0.52%
0.11%
1
11.67%
9.56%
3.91%
1.07%
0.22%
2
11.93%
9.77%
4.00%
1.09%
0.22%
3
8.13%
6.66%
2.73%
0.74%
0.15%
4
4.16%
3.40%
1.39%
0.38%
0.08%
5
1.70%
1.39%
0.57%
0.16%
0.03%
Twente
1-011.67%
2-011.93%
2-19.77%
3-08.13%
3-16.66%
3-22.73%
4-04.16%
4-13.40%
4-21.39%
4-30.38%
5-01.70%
5-11.39%
5-20.57%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.71%
1-19.56%
2-24.00%
3-30.74%
Excelsior
0-14.67%
0-21.91%
1-23.91%
0-30.52%
1-31.07%
2-31.09%
0-40.11%
1-40.22%
2-40.22%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Excelsior
Score0123
0
26.56%
10.07%
1.91%
0.24%
1
25.14%
9.53%
1.81%
0.23%
2
11.90%
4.51%
0.86%
0.11%
3
3.76%
1.42%
0.27%
0.03%
4
0.89%
0.34%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Twente
1-025.14%
2-011.90%
2-14.51%
3-03.76%
3-11.42%
3-20.27%
4-00.89%
4-10.34%
5-00.17%
Draw
0-026.56%
1-19.53%
2-20.86%
Excelsior
0-110.07%
0-21.91%
1-21.81%
0-30.24%
1-30.23%
2-30.11%