Utrecht at Excelsior

Updated

Utrecht

56.6%23.2%20.1%
Utrecht WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.78Projected Goals 0.96
1Final Score 1

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+655
T 0-0 at Vitesse+130
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-130
W 2-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+225
T 1-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+335
Excelsior
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen+220
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+3000
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+190
L 2-4 at Twente+950
T 2-2 at RKC Waalwijk+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+132+119+120+115+116+115+120+125.9
Excelsior+197+224+210+217+223+217+224+233.1
Draw+267+264+260+270+271+270+271+288.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+120----+120+120+125.9
Excelsior+200----+205+205+233.1
Draw+280----+275+275+288.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 40.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +122 to +115
Excelsior ML moved from +217 to +208

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 40.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o2½-138o2¾-112o2¾-108o2¾-107o2¾-108o2½-138o2¾+102
Underu2½+118u2½+118u2¾-108u2¾-112u2¾-111u2¾-112u2¾-108u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+102
Under-----u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.48%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 415.14%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.73%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 58.29%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 016.90%
Exactly 130.05%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 315.83%
Exactly 47.04%
Exactly 52.50%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 038.32%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.16%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 043.90%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.87%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 064.14%
Exactly 128.48%
Exactly 26.32%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals32.03%
Wins by 3+ goals14.58%
Wins by 4+ goals5.45%
Wins by 5+ goals1.69%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals6.85%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal24.55%
Wins by 2 goals17.45%
Wins by 3 goals9.14%
Wins by 4 goals3.76%
Wins by 5 goals1.26%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal13.24%
Wins by 2 goals5.07%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.52%6.48%
1.575.80%24.20%
2.551.54%48.46%
3.529.41%70.59%
4.514.26%85.74%
5.55.98%94.02%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.10%16.90%
1.553.06%46.94%
2.526.35%73.65%
3.510.52%89.48%
4.53.48%96.52%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.68%38.32%
1.524.92%75.08%
2.57.29%92.71%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.84%28.16%
1.536.15%63.85%
2.513.54%86.46%
3.53.99%96.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Excelsior
Score01234
0
6.48%
6.21%
2.98%
0.95%
0.23%
1
11.51%
11.04%
5.30%
1.69%
0.41%
2
10.24%
9.82%
4.71%
1.51%
0.36%
3
6.07%
5.82%
2.79%
0.89%
0.21%
4
2.70%
2.59%
1.24%
0.40%
0.10%
5
0.96%
0.92%
0.44%
0.14%
0.03%
Utrecht
1-011.51%
2-010.24%
2-19.82%
3-06.07%
3-15.82%
3-22.79%
4-02.70%
4-12.59%
4-21.24%
4-30.40%
5-00.96%
5-10.92%
5-20.44%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.48%
1-111.04%
2-24.71%
3-30.89%
Excelsior
0-16.21%
0-22.98%
1-25.30%
0-30.95%
1-31.69%
2-31.51%
0-40.23%
1-40.41%
2-40.36%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Excelsior
Score0123
0
28.16%
12.51%
2.78%
0.41%
1
23.18%
10.29%
2.29%
0.34%
2
9.54%
4.24%
0.94%
0.14%
3
2.62%
1.16%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.54%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-023.18%
2-09.54%
2-14.24%
3-02.62%
3-11.16%
3-20.26%
4-00.54%
4-10.24%
Draw
0-028.16%
1-110.29%
2-20.94%
Excelsior
0-112.51%
0-22.78%
1-22.29%
0-30.41%
1-30.34%
2-30.14%
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