Excelsior at RKC Waalwijk

Updated

Excelsior

29.1%27.0%43.8%
Excelsior WinDrawRKC Waalwijk Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.37
2Final Score 2

RKC Waalwijk

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Feyenoord+1050
T 2-2 at Utrecht+430
T 1-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+690
L 1-3 at Volendam+155
L 4-2 vs Zwolle+130
RKC Waalwijk
Money Line
W 2-1 at Zwolle+260
L 1-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles+210
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord+1250
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+330
W 1-2 vs Volendam-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+226+250+235+268+250+268+268+286.2
RKC Waalwijk+114+105+100-106+102-106+105+104.0
Draw+276+276+265+280+283+280+283+298.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+240----+260+260+286.2
RKC Waalwijk+100-----105-105+104.0
Draw+290----+285+285+298.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 20.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +230 to +220
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 20.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +240 to +215
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +110 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-101o3+108o3-105o2¾-116o2¾-117o2¾-116o2¾-116o2¾-105
Underu3-117u3-126u3-115u2¾-104u2¾-101u2¾-104u3-115u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-105
Under-----u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-115 to u2¾-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.78%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 412.81%
Exactly 62.53%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.36%
Exactly 321.07%
Exactly 56.23%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 034.54%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 025.42%
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 223.84%
Exactly 310.88%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 51.02%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.42%
Exactly 220.57%
Exactly 42.17%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 061.13%
Exactly 130.09%
Exactly 27.40%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 053.04%
Exactly 133.63%
Exactly 210.66%
Exactly 32.25%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals11.04%
Wins by 3+ goals3.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 2+ goals20.60%
Wins by 3+ goals7.57%
Wins by 4+ goals2.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
RKC Waalwijk
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal17.99%
Wins by 2 goals7.85%
Wins by 3 goals2.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 1 goal23.18%
Wins by 2 goals13.03%
Wins by 3 goals5.34%
Wins by 4 goals1.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.22%8.78%
1.569.86%30.14%
2.543.88%56.12%
3.522.81%77.19%
4.510.00%90.00%
5.53.77%96.23%
6.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.46%34.54%
1.528.74%71.26%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals RKC Waalwijk Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.58%25.42%
1.539.76%60.24%
2.515.92%84.08%
3.55.04%94.96%
4.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.58%32.42%
1.531.06%68.94%
2.510.49%89.51%
3.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
RKC Waalwijk
Score012345
0
8.78%
12.03%
8.23%
3.76%
1.29%
0.35%
1
9.33%
12.78%
8.75%
4.00%
1.37%
0.37%
2
4.96%
6.79%
4.65%
2.12%
0.73%
0.20%
3
1.76%
2.41%
1.65%
0.75%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.47%
0.64%
0.44%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Excelsior
1-09.33%
2-04.96%
2-16.79%
3-01.76%
3-12.41%
3-21.65%
4-00.47%
4-10.64%
4-20.44%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-08.78%
1-112.78%
2-24.65%
3-30.75%
RKC Waalwijk
0-112.03%
0-28.23%
1-28.75%
0-33.76%
1-34.00%
2-32.12%
0-41.29%
1-41.37%
2-40.73%
3-40.26%
0-50.35%
1-50.37%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
RKC Waalwijk
Score01234
0
32.42%
20.56%
6.52%
1.38%
0.22%
1
15.96%
10.12%
3.21%
0.68%
0.11%
2
3.93%
2.49%
0.79%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.64%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-015.96%
2-03.93%
2-12.49%
3-00.64%
3-10.41%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.42%
1-110.12%
2-20.79%
RKC Waalwijk
0-120.56%
0-26.52%
1-23.21%
0-31.38%
1-30.68%
2-30.17%
0-40.22%
1-40.11%