AZ Alkmaar at Excelsior

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

71.6%17.4%11.0%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawWin
2.29Projected Goals 0.78
1Final Score 1

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 2-1 vs NEC Nijmegen-375
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen-275
W 2-1 at Ajax+165
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-300
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo-430
Excelsior
Money Line
L 1-3 at Volendam+155
L 4-2 vs Zwolle+130
T 0-0 at Vitesse+330
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+230
W 3-0 at Heerenveen+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-182-264-290-300-290-300-264-250.4
Excelsior+444+707+675+750+685+750+750+792.0
Draw+375+425+400+450+455+450+455+477.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-240-----275-275-250.4
Excelsior+600----+690+690+792.0
Draw+390----+425+425+477.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -290 to -300
Excelsior ML moved from +675 to +660

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -260 to -290
Excelsior ML moved from +750 to +690

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+120o3-127o3-122o3¼+102o3-120o3¼+102o3-120o3¼+111
Underu3½-142u3+107u3+102u3¼-122u3+100u3¼-122u3¼-122u3¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+111
Under-----u3¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.63%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 417.20%
Exactly 65.41%
Exactly 80.91%
 
Exactly 114.22%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.57%
Exactly 72.38%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 010.06%
Exactly 123.10%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 411.66%
Exactly 55.36%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 70.67%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 046.02%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 213.86%
Exactly 33.59%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.10%
Exactly 224.40%
Exactly 44.12%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.29%
Exactly 311.57%
Exactly 51.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 034.53%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 069.81%
Exactly 125.09%
Exactly 24.51%
Exactly 30.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals48.19%
Wins by 3+ goals26.90%
Wins by 4+ goals12.57%
Wins by 5+ goals4.98%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals3.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.66%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.38%
Wins by 2 goals21.29%
Wins by 3 goals14.33%
Wins by 4 goals7.59%
Wins by 5 goals3.30%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal7.90%
Wins by 2 goals2.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.37%4.63%
1.581.15%18.85%
2.559.30%40.70%
3.536.91%63.09%
4.519.72%80.28%
5.59.15%90.85%
6.53.73%96.27%
7.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.94%10.06%
1.566.84%33.16%
2.540.31%59.69%
3.520.00%80.00%
4.58.34%91.66%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.98%46.02%
1.518.27%81.73%
2.54.41%95.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.90%24.10%
1.541.60%58.40%
2.517.20%82.80%
3.55.63%94.37%
4.51.52%98.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Score0123
0
4.63%
3.59%
1.39%
0.36%
1
10.63%
8.25%
3.20%
0.83%
2
12.21%
9.48%
3.68%
0.95%
3
9.35%
7.25%
2.82%
0.73%
4
5.37%
4.17%
1.62%
0.42%
5
2.47%
1.91%
0.74%
0.19%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.63%
2-012.21%
2-19.48%
3-09.35%
3-17.25%
3-22.82%
4-05.37%
4-14.17%
4-21.62%
4-30.42%
5-02.47%
5-11.91%
5-20.74%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-04.63%
1-18.25%
2-23.68%
3-30.73%
Excelsior
0-13.59%
0-21.39%
1-23.20%
0-30.36%
1-30.83%
2-30.95%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Score0123
0
24.10%
8.66%
1.56%
0.19%
1
25.63%
9.21%
1.66%
0.20%
2
13.63%
4.90%
0.88%
0.11%
3
4.83%
1.74%
0.31%
0.04%
4
1.28%
0.46%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.27%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-025.63%
2-013.63%
2-14.90%
3-04.83%
3-11.74%
3-20.31%
4-01.28%
4-10.46%
5-00.27%
Draw
0-024.10%
1-19.21%
2-20.88%
Excelsior
0-18.66%
0-21.56%
1-21.66%
0-30.19%
1-30.20%
2-30.11%