Excelsior at Heerenveen

Updated

Excelsior

12.7%19.2%68.1%
WinDrawHeerenveen Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.12
3Final Score 0

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Almere City+115
L 1-3 at Heracles Almelo+345
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard+180
T 2-2 vs Ajax+875
W 4-3 at NEC Nijmegen+475
Heerenveen
Money Line
L 1-6 at Feyenoord+1150
L 2-3 at Go Ahead Eagles+235
L 3-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+120
W 2-0 at Utrecht+320
W 1-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+398+391+380+390+390+390+391+414.2
Heerenveen-153-150-160-160-160-160-150-141.8
Draw+328+324+300+335+335+335+335+356.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+390----+390+390+414.2
Heerenveen-160-----160-160-141.8
Draw+330----+330+330+356.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +385 to +360
Heerenveen ML moved from -147 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-127o3-127o3-118o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-104
Underu3+107u3+107u3-102u3-105u3-105u3-105u3+107u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-104
Under-----u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.44%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 416.28%
Exactly 64.60%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.84%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.48%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 045.38%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 214.16%
Exactly 33.73%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 011.99%
Exactly 125.43%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.07%
Exactly 410.11%
Exactly 54.29%
Exactly 61.52%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.98%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 310.60%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 069.37%
Exactly 125.37%
Exactly 24.64%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 037.45%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.06%
Exactly 35.91%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals3.66%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals43.73%
Wins by 3+ goals23.05%
Wins by 4+ goals10.10%
Wins by 5+ goals3.74%
Wins by 6+ goals1.18%
Wins by 7+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Heerenveen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal9.06%
Wins by 2 goals2.87%
Wins by 3 goals0.67%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals20.68%
Wins by 3 goals12.95%
Wins by 4 goals6.36%
Wins by 5 goals2.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.87%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.56%5.44%
1.578.72%21.28%
2.555.67%44.33%
3.533.29%66.71%
4.517.01%82.99%
5.57.52%92.48%
6.52.92%97.08%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.62%45.38%
1.518.76%81.24%
2.54.60%95.40%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.01%11.99%
1.562.58%37.42%
2.535.61%64.39%
3.516.54%83.46%
4.56.43%93.57%
5.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.02%25.98%
1.539.01%60.99%
2.515.41%84.59%
3.54.80%95.20%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
5.44%
11.54%
12.24%
8.66%
4.59%
1.95%
1
4.30%
9.12%
9.67%
6.84%
3.63%
1.54%
2
1.70%
3.60%
3.82%
2.70%
1.43%
0.61%
3
0.45%
0.95%
1.01%
0.71%
0.38%
0.16%
Excelsior
1-04.30%
2-01.70%
2-13.60%
3-00.45%
3-10.95%
3-21.01%
Draw
0-05.44%
1-19.12%
2-23.82%
3-30.71%
Heerenveen
0-111.54%
0-212.24%
1-29.67%
0-38.66%
1-36.84%
2-32.70%
0-44.59%
1-43.63%
2-41.43%
3-40.38%
0-51.95%
1-51.54%
2-50.61%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
25.98%
25.51%
12.53%
4.10%
1.01%
0.20%
1
9.50%
9.33%
4.58%
1.50%
0.37%
0.07%
2
1.74%
1.71%
0.84%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.21%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-09.50%
2-01.74%
2-11.71%
3-00.21%
3-10.21%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-025.98%
1-19.33%
2-20.84%
Heerenveen
0-125.51%
0-212.53%
1-24.58%
0-34.10%
1-31.50%
2-30.27%
0-41.01%
1-40.37%
0-50.20%