Excelsior at Heerenveen

Updated

Excelsior

12.7%19.2%68.1%
WinDrawHeerenveen Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.12
3Final Score 0

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Almere City+115
L 1-3 at Heracles Almelo+345
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard+180
T 2-2 vs Ajax+875
W 4-3 at NEC Nijmegen+475
Heerenveen
Money Line
L 1-6 at Feyenoord+1150
L 2-3 at Go Ahead Eagles+235
L 3-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+120
W 2-0 at Utrecht+320
W 1-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+398+391+380+390+390+390+391+414.2
Heerenveen-153-150-160-160-160-160-150-141.8
Draw+328+324+300+335+335+335+335+356.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+390----+390+390+414.2
Heerenveen-160-----160-160-141.8
Draw+330----+330+330+356.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +385 to +360
Heerenveen ML moved from -147 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-127o3-127o3-118o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-104
Underu3+107u3+107u3-102u3-105u3-105u3-105u3+107u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-104
Under-----u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.44%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 416.28%
Exactly 64.60%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.84%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.48%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 045.38%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 214.16%
Exactly 33.73%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 011.99%
Exactly 125.43%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.07%
Exactly 410.11%
Exactly 54.29%
Exactly 61.52%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.98%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 310.60%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 069.37%
Exactly 125.37%
Exactly 24.64%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 037.45%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.06%
Exactly 35.91%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals3.66%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals43.73%
Wins by 3+ goals23.05%
Wins by 4+ goals10.10%
Wins by 5+ goals3.74%
Wins by 6+ goals1.18%
Wins by 7+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Heerenveen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal9.06%
Wins by 2 goals2.87%
Wins by 3 goals0.67%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals20.68%
Wins by 3 goals12.95%
Wins by 4 goals6.36%
Wins by 5 goals2.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.87%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.56%5.44%
1.578.72%21.28%
2.555.67%44.33%
3.533.29%66.71%
4.517.01%82.99%
5.57.52%92.48%
6.52.92%97.08%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.62%45.38%
1.518.76%81.24%
2.54.60%95.40%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.01%11.99%
1.562.58%37.42%
2.535.61%64.39%
3.516.54%83.46%
4.56.43%93.57%
5.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.02%25.98%
1.539.01%60.99%
2.515.41%84.59%
3.54.80%95.20%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
5.44%
11.54%
12.24%
8.66%
4.59%
1.95%
1
4.30%
9.12%
9.67%
6.84%
3.63%
1.54%
2
1.70%
3.60%
3.82%
2.70%
1.43%
0.61%
3
0.45%
0.95%
1.01%
0.71%
0.38%
0.16%
Excelsior
1-04.30%
2-01.70%
2-13.60%
3-00.45%
3-10.95%
3-21.01%
Draw
0-05.44%
1-19.12%
2-23.82%
3-30.71%
Heerenveen
0-111.54%
0-212.24%
1-29.67%
0-38.66%
1-36.84%
2-32.70%
0-44.59%
1-43.63%
2-41.43%
3-40.38%
0-51.95%
1-51.54%
2-50.61%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
25.98%
25.51%
12.53%
4.10%
1.01%
0.20%
1
9.50%
9.33%
4.58%
1.50%
0.37%
0.07%
2
1.74%
1.71%
0.84%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.21%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-09.50%
2-01.74%
2-11.71%
3-00.21%
3-10.21%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-025.98%
1-19.33%
2-20.84%
Heerenveen
0-125.51%
0-212.53%
1-24.58%
0-34.10%
1-31.50%
2-30.27%
0-41.01%
1-40.37%
0-50.20%
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