Fortuna Sittard at Excelsior

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

27.4%25.8%46.8%
Fortuna Sittard WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.50
2Final Score 2

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Almere City-125
T 0-0 at Feyenoord+1320
T 1-1 vs NEC Nijmegen+160
L 0-3 at Excelsior+275
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven+1800
Excelsior
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Ajax+875
W 4-3 at NEC Nijmegen+475
L 2-3 at Volendam+335
W 0-3 vs Fortuna Sittard-110
T 0-0 at Heerenveen+490

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+253+146+135+135+146+135+146+146.6
Excelsior+102+180+180+186+175+186+186+200.1
Draw+282+262+245+265+268+265+268+282.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+200----+140+140+146.6
Excelsior+125----+180+180+200.1
Draw+270----+260+260+282.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Excelsior: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +172 to +146
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Excelsior: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +155 to +140
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+101o3+113o2¾-115o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-102
Underu3-119u3-133u2¾-105u2¾-108u2¾-105u2¾-108u3-133u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-102
Under-----u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.52%
Exactly 225.18%
Exactly 414.05%
Exactly 63.14%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.46%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 57.27%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 033.77%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.90%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 022.27%
Exactly 133.45%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 312.58%
Exactly 44.72%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.18%
Exactly 221.66%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 060.49%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 27.64%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 049.88%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 212.06%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals10.42%
Wins by 3+ goals3.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals23.34%
Wins by 3+ goals9.20%
Wins by 4+ goals2.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal16.89%
Wins by 2 goals7.38%
Wins by 3 goals2.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal23.38%
Wins by 2 goals14.14%
Wins by 3 goals6.29%
Wins by 4 goals2.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.48%7.52%
1.573.02%26.98%
2.547.85%52.15%
3.526.13%73.87%
4.512.08%87.92%
5.54.81%95.19%
6.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.23%33.77%
1.529.57%70.43%
2.59.67%90.33%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.73%22.27%
1.544.29%55.71%
2.519.17%80.83%
3.56.59%93.41%
4.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.82%30.18%
1.533.67%66.33%
2.512.01%87.99%
3.53.36%96.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Score012345
0
7.52%
11.29%
8.48%
4.25%
1.59%
0.48%
1
8.16%
12.26%
9.21%
4.61%
1.73%
0.52%
2
4.43%
6.66%
5.00%
2.50%
0.94%
0.28%
3
1.60%
2.41%
1.81%
0.91%
0.34%
0.10%
4
0.44%
0.65%
0.49%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
Fortuna Sittard
1-08.16%
2-04.43%
2-16.66%
3-01.60%
3-12.41%
3-21.81%
4-00.44%
4-10.65%
4-20.49%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-07.52%
1-112.26%
2-25.00%
3-30.91%
Excelsior
0-111.29%
0-28.48%
1-29.21%
0-34.25%
1-34.61%
2-32.50%
0-41.59%
1-41.73%
2-40.94%
3-40.34%
0-50.48%
1-50.52%
2-50.28%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Score01234
0
30.18%
20.99%
7.30%
1.69%
0.29%
1
15.17%
10.55%
3.67%
0.85%
0.15%
2
3.81%
2.65%
0.92%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.64%
0.44%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-015.17%
2-03.81%
2-12.65%
3-00.64%
3-10.44%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-030.18%
1-110.55%
2-20.92%
Excelsior
0-120.99%
0-27.30%
1-23.67%
0-31.69%
1-30.85%
2-30.21%
0-40.29%
1-40.15%
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