Fortuna Sittard at Excelsior

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

29.4%26.2%44.4%
Fortuna Sittard WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.44
0Final Score 3

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven+1800
W 0-2 vs Vitesse+220
L 0-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+315
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+365
L 0-4 at Ajax+1650
Excelsior
Money Line
T 0-0 at Heerenveen+490
L 2-0 vs Feyenoord+975
T 0-0 at Vitesse+580
W 1-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+195
L 0-4 at PSV Eindhoven+2350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+206+286+255+280-+280+286+298.6
Excelsior+126-107-105-114--114-105-103.2
Draw+269+279+275+295-+295+295+314.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+280----+275+275+298.6
Excelsior-115-----110-110-103.2
Draw+295----+285+285+314.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +265 to +255
Excelsior ML moved from -108 to -114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +280 to +260
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-111o3+104o3-105o3+100-o3+100o3+104o3+109
Underu3-105u3-122u3-115u3-120-u3-120u3-115u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+109
Under-----u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.75%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 413.81%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.83%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.06%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 032.65%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 42.14%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 023.75%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.61%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 059.55%
Exactly 130.87%
Exactly 28.00%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 051.40%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 211.38%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals11.49%
Wins by 3+ goals3.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals21.41%
Wins by 3+ goals8.14%
Wins by 4+ goals2.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal17.81%
Wins by 2 goals8.04%
Wins by 3 goals2.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal22.87%
Wins by 2 goals13.27%
Wins by 3 goals5.65%
Wins by 4 goals1.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.25%7.75%
1.572.42%27.58%
2.547.07%52.93%
3.525.47%74.53%
4.511.66%88.34%
5.54.59%95.41%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.35%32.65%
1.530.81%69.19%
2.510.35%89.65%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.25%23.75%
1.542.11%57.89%
2.517.56%82.44%
3.55.80%94.20%
4.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.39%30.61%
1.533.15%66.85%
2.511.70%88.30%
3.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Score012345
0
7.75%
11.15%
8.01%
3.84%
1.38%
0.40%
1
8.68%
12.48%
8.97%
4.30%
1.54%
0.44%
2
4.86%
6.98%
5.02%
2.41%
0.86%
0.25%
3
1.81%
2.61%
1.87%
0.90%
0.32%
0.09%
4
0.51%
0.73%
0.52%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
5
0.11%
0.16%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-08.68%
2-04.86%
2-16.98%
3-01.81%
3-12.61%
3-21.87%
4-00.51%
4-10.73%
4-20.52%
4-30.25%
5-00.11%
5-10.16%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-07.75%
1-112.48%
2-25.02%
3-30.90%
Excelsior
0-111.15%
0-28.01%
1-28.97%
0-33.84%
1-34.30%
2-32.41%
0-41.38%
1-41.54%
2-40.86%
3-40.32%
0-50.40%
1-50.44%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Score01234
0
30.61%
20.37%
6.78%
1.50%
0.25%
1
15.86%
10.56%
3.51%
0.78%
0.13%
2
4.11%
2.74%
0.91%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.71%
0.47%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-015.86%
2-04.11%
2-12.74%
3-00.71%
3-10.47%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-030.61%
1-110.56%
2-20.91%
Excelsior
0-120.37%
0-26.78%
1-23.51%
0-31.50%
1-30.78%
2-30.20%
0-40.25%
1-40.13%