Fortuna Sittard at Excelsior

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

29.4%26.2%44.4%
Fortuna Sittard WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.44
0Final Score 3

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven+1800
W 0-2 vs Vitesse+220
L 0-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+315
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+365
L 0-4 at Ajax+1650
Excelsior
Money Line
T 0-0 at Heerenveen+490
L 2-0 vs Feyenoord+975
T 0-0 at Vitesse+580
W 1-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+195
L 0-4 at PSV Eindhoven+2350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+206+286+255+280-+280+286+298.6
Excelsior+126-107-105-114--114-105-103.2
Draw+269+279+275+295-+295+295+314.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+280----+275+275+298.6
Excelsior-115-----110-110-103.2
Draw+295----+285+285+314.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +265 to +255
Excelsior ML moved from -108 to -114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +280 to +260
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-111o3+104o3-105o3+100-o3+100o3+104o3+109
Underu3-105u3-122u3-115u3-120-u3-120u3-115u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+109
Under-----u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.75%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 413.81%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.83%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.06%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 032.65%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 42.14%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 023.75%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.61%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 059.55%
Exactly 130.87%
Exactly 28.00%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 051.40%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 211.38%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals11.49%
Wins by 3+ goals3.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals21.41%
Wins by 3+ goals8.14%
Wins by 4+ goals2.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal17.81%
Wins by 2 goals8.04%
Wins by 3 goals2.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal22.87%
Wins by 2 goals13.27%
Wins by 3 goals5.65%
Wins by 4 goals1.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.25%7.75%
1.572.42%27.58%
2.547.07%52.93%
3.525.47%74.53%
4.511.66%88.34%
5.54.59%95.41%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.35%32.65%
1.530.81%69.19%
2.510.35%89.65%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.25%23.75%
1.542.11%57.89%
2.517.56%82.44%
3.55.80%94.20%
4.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.39%30.61%
1.533.15%66.85%
2.511.70%88.30%
3.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Score012345
0
7.75%
11.15%
8.01%
3.84%
1.38%
0.40%
1
8.68%
12.48%
8.97%
4.30%
1.54%
0.44%
2
4.86%
6.98%
5.02%
2.41%
0.86%
0.25%
3
1.81%
2.61%
1.87%
0.90%
0.32%
0.09%
4
0.51%
0.73%
0.52%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
5
0.11%
0.16%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-08.68%
2-04.86%
2-16.98%
3-01.81%
3-12.61%
3-21.87%
4-00.51%
4-10.73%
4-20.52%
4-30.25%
5-00.11%
5-10.16%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-07.75%
1-112.48%
2-25.02%
3-30.90%
Excelsior
0-111.15%
0-28.01%
1-28.97%
0-33.84%
1-34.30%
2-32.41%
0-41.38%
1-41.54%
2-40.86%
3-40.32%
0-50.40%
1-50.44%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Score01234
0
30.61%
20.37%
6.78%
1.50%
0.25%
1
15.86%
10.56%
3.51%
0.78%
0.13%
2
4.11%
2.74%
0.91%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.71%
0.47%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-015.86%
2-04.11%
2-12.74%
3-00.71%
3-10.47%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-030.61%
1-110.56%
2-20.91%
Excelsior
0-120.37%
0-26.78%
1-23.51%
0-31.50%
1-30.78%
2-30.20%
0-40.25%
1-40.13%
Fortuna Sittard at PSV Eindhoven
Cambuur at Sparta R'dam