Excelsior at Vitesse

Updated

Excelsior

14.4%19.9%65.7%
WinDrawVitesse Win
0.85Projected Goals 2.08
0Final Score 0

Vitesse

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+195
L 0-4 at PSV Eindhoven+2350
T 0-0 vs Twente+510
W 1-4 vs Cambuur+155
L 0-2 at Emmen+435
Vitesse
Money Line
W 4-1 at NEC Nijmegen+225
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+115
L 0-1 at RKC Waalwijk+160
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+520
L 1-3 at Sparta Rotterdam+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+500+579+525+580-+580+580+613.0
Vitesse-210-227-240-235--235-227-202.1
Draw+360+405+400+400-+400+405+424.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+585----+580+580+613.0
Vitesse-220-----230-230-202.1
Draw+360----+390+390+424.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 10.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +550 to +525
Vitesse ML moved from -227 to -235

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 10.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +585 to +550
Vitesse ML moved from -215 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o3-139o3¼-102o3¼-103-o3¼-103o3¼-102o3¼+106
Underu3-122u3+117u3¼-118u3¼-117-u3¼-117u3+117u3¼-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+106
Under-----u3¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-115 to o3-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.35%
Exactly 222.93%
Exactly 416.39%
Exactly 64.69%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.66%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.60%
Exactly 71.96%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 042.60%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.51%
Exactly 34.41%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 012.55%
Exactly 126.05%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.70%
Exactly 49.70%
Exactly 54.03%
Exactly 61.39%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.77%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 43.63%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 310.71%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 067.36%
Exactly 126.61%
Exactly 25.26%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 038.25%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.66%
Exactly 35.66%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals4.40%
Wins by 3+ goals1.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals41.34%
Wins by 3+ goals21.33%
Wins by 4+ goals9.15%
Wins by 5+ goals3.31%
Wins by 6+ goals1.02%
Wins by 7+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Vitesse
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal9.99%
Wins by 2 goals3.38%
Wins by 3 goals0.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal24.29%
Wins by 2 goals20.01%
Wins by 3 goals12.18%
Wins by 4 goals5.83%
Wins by 5 goals2.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.76%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.65%5.35%
1.579.00%21.00%
2.556.07%43.93%
3.533.68%66.32%
4.517.29%82.71%
5.57.69%92.31%
6.53.00%97.00%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.40%42.60%
1.521.05%78.95%
2.55.54%94.46%
3.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.45%12.55%
1.561.41%38.59%
2.534.38%65.62%
3.515.68%84.32%
4.55.97%94.03%
5.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.23%25.77%
1.539.29%60.71%
2.515.60%84.40%
3.54.89%95.11%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Vitesse
Score012345
0
5.35%
11.10%
11.51%
7.97%
4.13%
1.72%
1
4.56%
9.47%
9.83%
6.80%
3.53%
1.46%
2
1.95%
4.04%
4.19%
2.90%
1.50%
0.62%
3
0.55%
1.15%
1.19%
0.83%
0.43%
0.18%
4
0.12%
0.25%
0.25%
0.18%
0.09%
0.04%
Excelsior
1-04.56%
2-01.95%
2-14.04%
3-00.55%
3-11.15%
3-21.19%
4-00.12%
4-10.25%
4-20.25%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.35%
1-19.47%
2-24.19%
3-30.83%
Vitesse
0-111.10%
0-211.51%
1-29.83%
0-37.97%
1-36.80%
2-32.90%
0-44.13%
1-43.53%
2-41.50%
3-40.43%
0-51.72%
1-51.46%
2-50.62%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Vitesse
Score012345
0
25.77%
24.76%
11.90%
3.81%
0.92%
0.18%
1
10.18%
9.78%
4.70%
1.51%
0.36%
0.07%
2
2.01%
1.93%
0.93%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-010.18%
2-02.01%
2-11.93%
3-00.26%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.77%
1-19.78%
2-20.93%
Vitesse
0-124.76%
0-211.90%
1-24.70%
0-33.81%
1-31.51%
2-30.30%
0-40.92%
1-40.36%
0-50.18%