Excelsior at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Excelsior

3.4%8.0%88.5%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.59Projected Goals 3.38
0Final Score 4

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Twente+510
W 1-4 vs Cambuur+155
L 0-2 at Emmen+435
L 4-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+265
L 0-3 at Groningen+330
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 4-2 at NEC Nijmegen-150
T 1-1 at Vitesse-190
W 2-5 vs Cambuur-800
W 1-0 at RKC Waalwijk-230
W 1-3 vs Twente-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+2300+2322+2000+2400-+2400+2400+2524.2
PSV Eindhoven-1200-1011-1200-1100--1100-1011-689.1
Draw+875+1027+1000+975-+975+1027+1028.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+2200----+2350+2350+2524.2
PSV Eindhoven-935-----1100-1100-689.1
Draw+875----+975+975+1028.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +2395 to +2322
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -994 to -1015

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -1025 to -1100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-112o4-133o4¼-102o4¼+100-o4¼+100o4¼+100o4¼+109
Underu3½-108u4+113u4¼-118u4¼-120-u4¼-120u4+113u4¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4¼+109
Under-----u4¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.89%
Exactly 214.87%
Exactly 419.53%
Exactly 610.26%
Exactly 82.89%
Exactly 100.51%
 
Exactly 17.49%
Exactly 319.68%
Exactly 515.51%
Exactly 75.82%
Exactly 91.27%
Exactly 110.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 055.24%
Exactly 132.79%
Exactly 29.73%
Exactly 31.92%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 03.42%
Exactly 111.53%
Exactly 219.47%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 418.50%
Exactly 512.50%
Exactly 67.03%
Exactly 73.39%
Exactly 81.43%
Exactly 90.54%
Exactly 100.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.91%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 47.57%
Exactly 60.85%
 
Exactly 129.25%
Exactly 316.47%
Exactly 52.78%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 075.97%
Exactly 120.88%
Exactly 22.87%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 020.94%
Exactly 132.74%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 313.34%
Exactly 45.21%
Exactly 51.63%
Exactly 60.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals0.72%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals73.17%
Wins by 3+ goals53.16%
Wins by 4+ goals33.63%
Wins by 5+ goals18.56%
Wins by 6+ goals8.99%
Wins by 7+ goals3.84%
Wins by 8+ goals1.44%
Wins by 9+ goals0.46%
Wins by 10+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal2.68%
Wins by 2 goals0.61%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal15.28%
Wins by 2 goals20.00%
Wins by 3 goals19.54%
Wins by 4 goals15.07%
Wins by 5 goals9.57%
Wins by 6 goals5.15%
Wins by 7 goals2.40%
Wins by 8 goals0.98%
Wins by 9 goals0.36%
Wins by 10 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.11%1.89%
1.590.62%9.38%
2.575.75%24.25%
3.556.07%43.93%
4.536.54%63.46%
5.521.02%78.98%
6.510.76%89.24%
7.54.94%95.06%
8.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.76%55.24%
1.511.98%88.02%
2.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.58%3.42%
1.585.05%14.95%
2.565.57%34.43%
3.543.65%56.35%
4.525.15%74.85%
5.512.65%87.35%
6.55.62%94.38%
7.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.09%15.91%
1.554.84%45.16%
2.527.96%72.04%
3.511.49%88.51%
4.53.92%96.08%
5.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
1.89%
6.37%
10.76%
12.11%
10.22%
6.90%
1
1.12%
3.78%
6.38%
7.19%
6.07%
4.10%
2
0.33%
1.12%
1.89%
2.13%
1.80%
1.22%
Excelsior
1-01.12%
2-00.33%
2-11.12%
Draw
0-01.89%
1-13.78%
2-21.89%
3-30.42%
PSV Eindhoven
0-16.37%
0-210.76%
1-26.38%
0-312.11%
1-37.19%
2-32.13%
0-410.22%
1-46.07%
2-41.80%
3-40.36%
0-56.90%
1-54.10%
2-51.22%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Score0123456
0
15.91%
24.87%
19.44%
10.13%
3.96%
1.24%
0.32%
1
4.37%
6.84%
5.34%
2.78%
1.09%
0.34%
0.09%
2
0.60%
0.94%
0.73%
0.38%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-04.37%
2-00.60%
2-10.94%
Draw
0-015.91%
1-16.84%
2-20.73%
PSV Eindhoven
0-124.87%
0-219.44%
1-25.34%
0-310.13%
1-32.78%
2-30.38%
0-43.96%
1-41.09%
2-40.15%
0-51.24%
1-50.34%
0-60.32%