Excelsior at Groningen

Updated

Excelsior

16.9%23.0%60.1%
WinDrawGroningen Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.77
0Final Score 3

Groningen

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+235
L 0-5 at AZ Alkmaar+950
T 0-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+175
L 4-1 vs Ajax+970
L 0-1 at Utrecht+650
Groningen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Emmen+145
L 0-6 at PSV Eindhoven+1100
T 1-1 vs Twente+500
L 2-3 at Volendam+205
L 1-0 vs Cambuur+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+295+369+320+375-+375+375+398.9
Groningen-120-136-135-140--140-136-124.9
Draw+275+300+300+290-+290+300+309.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+280----+330+330+398.9
Groningen-110-----125-125-124.9
Draw+280----+280+280+309.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Groningen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +294 to +285
Groningen ML moved from -130 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Groningen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
Groningen ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2½-138o2¾-108o2¾-104-o2¾-104o2¾-104o2¾+105
Underu2¾-110u2½+118u2¾-112u2¾-116-u2¾-116u2¾-112u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+105
Under-----u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-110 to u2½-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.56%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 414.00%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.53%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 57.23%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 044.35%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 214.66%
Exactly 33.97%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 017.05%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 315.73%
Exactly 46.96%
Exactly 52.46%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.26%
Exactly 221.62%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.62%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 068.63%
Exactly 125.84%
Exactly 24.86%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 044.09%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.79%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals5.09%
Wins by 3+ goals1.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals34.44%
Wins by 3+ goals15.81%
Wins by 4+ goals5.93%
Wins by 5+ goals1.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Groningen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal11.77%
Wins by 2 goals3.93%
Wins by 3 goals0.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal25.60%
Wins by 2 goals18.63%
Wins by 3 goals9.88%
Wins by 4 goals4.09%
Wins by 5 goals1.38%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.44%7.56%
1.572.91%27.09%
2.547.70%52.30%
3.526.01%73.99%
4.512.00%88.00%
5.54.77%95.23%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.65%44.35%
1.519.59%80.41%
2.54.93%95.07%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.95%17.05%
1.552.78%47.22%
2.526.11%73.89%
3.510.38%89.62%
4.53.42%96.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.74%30.26%
1.533.57%66.43%
2.511.95%88.05%
3.53.34%96.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Groningen
Score012345
0
7.56%
13.38%
11.83%
6.98%
3.08%
1.09%
1
6.15%
10.88%
9.62%
5.67%
2.51%
0.89%
2
2.50%
4.42%
3.91%
2.31%
1.02%
0.36%
3
0.68%
1.20%
1.06%
0.62%
0.28%
0.10%
4
0.14%
0.24%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Excelsior
1-06.15%
2-02.50%
2-14.42%
3-00.68%
3-11.20%
3-21.06%
4-00.14%
4-10.24%
4-20.22%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.56%
1-110.88%
2-23.91%
3-30.62%
Groningen
0-113.38%
0-211.83%
1-29.62%
0-36.98%
1-35.67%
2-32.31%
0-43.08%
1-42.51%
2-41.02%
3-40.28%
0-51.09%
1-50.89%
2-50.36%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Groningen
Score01234
0
30.26%
24.78%
10.15%
2.77%
0.57%
1
11.39%
9.33%
3.82%
1.04%
0.21%
2
2.14%
1.76%
0.72%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.27%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-011.39%
2-02.14%
2-11.76%
3-00.27%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-030.26%
1-19.33%
2-20.72%
Groningen
0-124.78%
0-210.15%
1-23.82%
0-32.77%
1-31.04%
2-30.20%
0-40.57%
1-40.21%
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