Twente at Excelsior

Updated

Twente

59.6%22.5%18.0%
Twente WinDrawWin
1.84Projected Goals 0.90
0Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+120
W 3-0 at Fortuna Sittard-115
T 3-3 vs Heerenveen-170
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+450
L 0-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+115
Excelsior
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Cambuur+155
L 0-2 at Emmen+435
L 4-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+265
L 0-3 at Groningen+330
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-180-207-225-210--210-207-181.3
Excelsior+460+530+500+540-+540+540+572.7
Draw+320+383+380+360-+360+383+383.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-175-----210-210-181.3
Excelsior+450----+510+510+572.7
Draw+330----+375+375+383.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Excelsior: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from -208 to -215
Excelsior ML moved from +550 to +540

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Excelsior: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from -185 to -210
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-129o3-120o3-120-o3-120o3-120o3-109
Underu3-120u3+109u3+100u3+100-u3+100u3+109u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-109
Under-----u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.44%
Exactly 224.22%
Exactly 415.19%
Exactly 63.81%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.66%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 58.33%
Exactly 71.49%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 015.84%
Exactly 129.19%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 316.52%
Exactly 47.61%
Exactly 52.80%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 040.64%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.47%
Exactly 34.94%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.08%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 43.04%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 39.59%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 042.61%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.51%
Exactly 34.41%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 065.91%
Exactly 127.47%
Exactly 25.73%
Exactly 30.80%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals34.67%
Wins by 3+ goals16.30%
Wins by 4+ goals6.29%
Wins by 5+ goals2.02%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals5.81%
Wins by 3+ goals1.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal24.83%
Wins by 2 goals18.38%
Wins by 3 goals10.01%
Wins by 4 goals4.27%
Wins by 5 goals1.49%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal12.13%
Wins by 2 goals4.38%
Wins by 3 goals1.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.56%6.44%
1.575.90%24.10%
2.551.69%48.31%
3.529.54%70.46%
4.514.36%85.64%
5.56.03%93.97%
6.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.16%15.84%
1.554.98%45.02%
2.528.09%71.91%
3.511.57%88.43%
4.53.96%96.04%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.36%40.64%
1.522.76%77.24%
2.56.29%93.71%
3.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.92%28.08%
1.536.25%63.75%
2.513.60%86.40%
3.54.02%95.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Excelsior
Score01234
0
6.44%
5.80%
2.61%
0.78%
0.18%
1
11.86%
10.68%
4.81%
1.44%
0.32%
2
10.93%
9.84%
4.43%
1.33%
0.30%
3
6.71%
6.04%
2.72%
0.82%
0.18%
4
3.09%
2.78%
1.25%
0.38%
0.08%
5
1.14%
1.03%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
Twente
1-011.86%
2-010.93%
2-19.84%
3-06.71%
3-16.04%
3-22.72%
4-03.09%
4-12.78%
4-21.25%
4-30.38%
5-01.14%
5-11.03%
5-20.46%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.44%
1-110.68%
2-24.43%
3-30.82%
Excelsior
0-15.80%
0-22.61%
1-24.81%
0-30.78%
1-31.44%
2-31.33%
0-40.18%
1-40.32%
2-40.30%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Excelsior
Score0123
0
28.08%
11.71%
2.44%
0.34%
1
23.96%
9.99%
2.08%
0.29%
2
10.22%
4.26%
0.89%
0.12%
3
2.91%
1.21%
0.25%
0.04%
4
0.62%
0.26%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Twente
1-023.96%
2-010.22%
2-14.26%
3-02.91%
3-11.21%
3-20.25%
4-00.62%
4-10.26%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-028.08%
1-19.99%
2-20.89%
Excelsior
0-111.71%
0-22.44%
1-22.08%
0-30.34%
1-30.29%
2-30.12%
Heerenveen at AZ Alkmaar
Emmen at Cambuur