Heerenveen at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Heerenveen

11.0%16.9%72.1%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.37
1Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 2-0 at Groningen+170
L 4-2 vs Ajax+700
T 3-3 at Twente+470
L 4-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+100
W 2-1 at Cambuur+135
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 1-2 at Twente+240
W 0-1 vs Groningen-300
W 1-0 at Vitesse+125
W 1-2 vs Cambuur-375
L 1-2 at Feyenoord+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+500+457+420+460+493+460+493+487.6
AZ Alkmaar-200-162-170-168-172-168-162-148.4
Draw+340+313+310+310+336+310+336+330.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+515----+480+480+487.6
AZ Alkmaar-195-----180-180-148.4
Draw+340----+320+320+330.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 10.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +484 to +477
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -183 to -191

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 10.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +505 to +475
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o2½-139o2¾-112o2¾-108o2½-131o2¾-108o2½-131o2¾+102
Underu2¾-102u2½+117u2¾-108u2¾-112u2½+116u2¾-112u2¾-108u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+102
Under-----u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.15%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 417.73%
Exactly 65.98%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.21%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 511.28%
Exactly 72.72%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 044.43%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 214.62%
Exactly 33.95%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 09.34%
Exactly 122.15%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 412.29%
Exactly 55.83%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 70.78%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.92%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 312.21%
Exactly 51.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 068.68%
Exactly 125.80%
Exactly 24.85%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 033.37%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.10%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals3.18%
Wins by 3+ goals0.70%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals49.13%
Wins by 3+ goals27.94%
Wins by 4+ goals13.34%
Wins by 5+ goals5.41%
Wins by 6+ goals1.87%
Wins by 7+ goals0.53%
Wins by 8+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal7.83%
Wins by 2 goals2.48%
Wins by 3 goals0.58%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.87%
Wins by 2 goals21.19%
Wins by 3 goals14.60%
Wins by 4 goals7.93%
Wins by 5 goals3.54%
Wins by 6 goals1.34%
Wins by 7 goals0.43%
Wins by 8 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.85%4.15%
1.582.64%17.36%
2.561.63%38.37%
3.539.35%60.65%
4.521.62%78.38%
5.510.34%89.66%
6.54.35%95.65%
7.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.57%44.43%
1.519.53%80.47%
2.54.91%95.09%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.66%9.34%
1.568.51%31.49%
2.542.26%57.74%
3.521.51%78.49%
4.59.22%90.78%
5.53.39%96.61%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.08%22.92%
1.543.32%56.68%
2.518.45%81.55%
3.56.23%93.77%
4.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
4.15%
9.84%
11.66%
9.22%
5.46%
2.59%
1
3.37%
7.98%
9.46%
7.48%
4.43%
2.10%
2
1.37%
3.24%
3.84%
3.03%
1.80%
0.85%
3
0.37%
0.88%
1.04%
0.82%
0.49%
0.23%
Heerenveen
1-03.37%
2-01.37%
2-13.24%
3-00.37%
3-10.88%
3-21.04%
Draw
0-04.15%
1-17.98%
2-23.84%
3-30.82%
AZ Alkmaar
0-19.84%
0-211.66%
1-29.46%
0-39.22%
1-37.48%
2-33.03%
0-45.46%
1-44.43%
2-41.80%
3-40.49%
0-52.59%
1-52.10%
2-50.85%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
22.92%
25.15%
13.80%
5.05%
1.39%
0.30%
1
8.61%
9.45%
5.19%
1.90%
0.52%
0.11%
2
1.62%
1.77%
0.97%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.20%
0.22%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-08.61%
2-01.62%
2-11.77%
3-00.20%
3-10.22%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-022.92%
1-19.45%
2-20.97%
AZ Alkmaar
0-125.15%
0-213.80%
1-25.19%
0-35.05%
1-31.90%
2-30.36%
0-41.39%
1-40.52%
0-50.30%
1-50.11%
AZ Alkmaar at Twente
Twente at Excelsior