Ajax at Heerenveen

Updated

Ajax

75.3%15.4%9.2%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.49Projected Goals 0.76
4Final Score 2

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-1 vs NEC Nijmegen-480
W 2-1 at Vitesse-205
W 0-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam-435
W 1-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-700
W 5-0 at Cambuur-380
Heerenveen
Money Line
T 3-3 at Twente+470
L 4-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+100
W 2-1 at Cambuur+135
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord+460
L 0-1 at Utrecht+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-190-259-275-280-261-280-259-235.3
Heerenveen+460+702+625+715+751+715+751+755.8
Draw+340+415+420+425+425+425+425+451.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-220-----270-270-235.3
Heerenveen+555----+700+700+755.8
Draw+375----+410+410+451.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -267 to -274
Heerenveen ML moved from +737 to +728

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -250 to -265
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-123o3-115o3-118o3-113o3-118o3-113o3-107
Underu3-110u3+103u3-105u3-102u3-102u3-102u3+103u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-107
Under-----u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.88%
Exactly 220.47%
Exactly 418.03%
Exactly 66.35%
Exactly 81.20%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.60%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 511.72%
Exactly 72.95%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 08.25%
Exactly 120.58%
Exactly 225.68%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 413.32%
Exactly 56.65%
Exactly 62.76%
Exactly 70.99%
Exactly 80.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 046.97%
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 213.41%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.20%
Exactly 225.14%
Exactly 44.75%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 312.61%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 031.50%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.02%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 070.48%
Exactly 124.66%
Exactly 24.31%
Exactly 30.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals53.09%
Wins by 3+ goals31.42%
Wins by 4+ goals15.67%
Wins by 5+ goals6.65%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals2.43%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Heerenveen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.14%
Wins by 2 goals21.67%
Wins by 3 goals15.75%
Wins by 4 goals9.02%
Wins by 5 goals4.25%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal6.69%
Wins by 2 goals1.97%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.12%3.88%
1.583.53%16.47%
2.563.06%36.94%
3.540.87%59.13%
4.522.85%77.15%
5.511.13%88.87%
6.54.78%95.22%
7.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.75%8.25%
1.571.17%28.83%
2.545.49%54.51%
3.524.13%75.87%
4.510.81%89.19%
5.54.17%95.83%
6.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.03%46.97%
1.517.54%82.46%
2.54.13%95.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.80%22.20%
1.544.39%55.61%
2.519.24%80.76%
3.56.63%93.37%
4.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
3.88%
2.93%
1.11%
0.28%
1
9.67%
7.31%
2.76%
0.70%
2
12.06%
9.11%
3.44%
0.87%
3
10.03%
7.58%
2.86%
0.72%
4
6.26%
4.73%
1.79%
0.45%
5
3.12%
2.36%
0.89%
0.22%
Ajax
1-09.67%
2-012.06%
2-19.11%
3-010.03%
3-17.58%
3-22.86%
4-06.26%
4-14.73%
4-21.79%
4-30.45%
5-03.12%
5-12.36%
5-20.89%
5-30.22%
Draw
0-03.88%
1-17.31%
2-23.44%
3-30.72%
Heerenveen
0-12.93%
0-21.11%
1-22.76%
0-30.28%
1-30.70%
2-30.87%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
22.20%
7.77%
1.36%
0.16%
1
25.65%
8.97%
1.57%
0.18%
2
14.81%
5.18%
0.91%
0.11%
3
5.70%
2.00%
0.35%
0.04%
4
1.65%
0.58%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.38%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.65%
2-014.81%
2-15.18%
3-05.70%
3-12.00%
3-20.35%
4-01.65%
4-10.58%
4-20.10%
5-00.38%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-022.20%
1-18.97%
2-20.91%
Heerenveen
0-17.77%
0-21.36%
1-21.57%
0-30.16%
1-30.18%
2-30.11%
Utrecht at NEC Nijmegen
Cambuur at PSV Eindhoven