Utrecht at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Utrecht

35.0%28.0%37.0%
Utrecht WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 2

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-170
W 3-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+165
T 2-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+250
L 0-2 at Vitesse+170
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-140
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Ajax+1050
W 0-3 vs Volendam-200
W 3-0 at Excelsior+115
T 0-0 vs Cambuur-165
L 0-1 at Go Ahead Eagles+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+180+175+170+172+181+172+181+185.5
NEC Nijmegen+155+161+155+155+160+155+161+167.7
Draw+210+241+225+245+250+245+250+262.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+185----+185+185+185.5
NEC Nijmegen+150----+150+150+167.7
Draw+235----+235+235+262.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +180 to +170
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +154 to +148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 10.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML
No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-128o2¾+100o2½-122o2½-123o2½-122o2½-122o2½-111
Underu2½-105u2½+108u2¾-120u2½+102u2½+108u2½+102u2¾-120u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-111
Under-----u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.59%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 412.07%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.48%
Exactly 320.60%
Exactly 55.66%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 031.60%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 030.35%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 38.58%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.77%
Exactly 219.90%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 058.66%
Exactly 131.29%
Exactly 28.35%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 057.57%
Exactly 131.79%
Exactly 28.77%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals14.38%
Wins by 3+ goals4.56%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals15.64%
Wins by 3+ goals5.11%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal20.59%
Wins by 2 goals9.83%
Wins by 3 goals3.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal21.31%
Wins by 2 goals10.53%
Wins by 3 goals3.78%
Wins by 4 goals1.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.41%9.59%
1.567.93%32.07%
2.541.57%58.43%
3.520.98%79.02%
4.58.90%91.10%
5.53.24%96.76%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.40%31.60%
1.532.00%68.00%
2.511.03%88.97%
3.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.65%30.35%
1.533.46%66.54%
2.511.89%88.11%
3.53.31%96.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.23%33.77%
1.529.57%70.43%
2.59.67%90.33%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
9.59%
11.43%
6.82%
2.71%
0.81%
0.19%
1
11.05%
13.17%
7.85%
3.12%
0.93%
0.22%
2
6.36%
7.59%
4.52%
1.80%
0.54%
0.13%
3
2.44%
2.91%
1.74%
0.69%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.70%
0.84%
0.50%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.19%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-011.05%
2-06.36%
2-17.59%
3-02.44%
3-12.91%
3-21.74%
4-00.70%
4-10.84%
4-20.50%
4-30.20%
5-00.16%
5-10.19%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.59%
1-113.17%
2-24.52%
3-30.69%
NEC Nijmegen
0-111.43%
0-26.82%
1-27.85%
0-32.71%
1-33.12%
2-31.80%
0-40.81%
1-40.93%
2-40.54%
3-40.21%
0-50.19%
1-50.22%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
33.77%
18.65%
5.15%
0.95%
0.13%
1
18.01%
9.95%
2.75%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.80%
2.65%
0.73%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.85%
0.47%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-018.01%
2-04.80%
2-12.65%
3-00.85%
3-10.47%
3-20.13%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-033.77%
1-19.95%
2-20.73%
NEC Nijmegen
0-118.65%
0-25.15%
1-22.75%
0-30.95%
1-30.51%
2-30.13%
0-40.13%
Vitesse at Sparta R'dam
Ajax at Heerenveen