AZ Alkmaar at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

66.6%18.7%14.6%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawWin
2.25Projected Goals 0.96
3Final Score 0

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam-175
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen-180
L 1-2 at Twente+240
W 0-1 vs Groningen-300
W 1-0 at Vitesse+125
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 0-4 at Ajax+1650
W 1-3 vs Groningen+115
L 1-2 at Volendam+185
L 3-0 vs Twente+300
W 2-1 at Utrecht+430

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-143-139-140-145-141-145-139-129.4
Fortuna Sittard+394+390+360+375+420+375+420+398.4
Draw+301+294+275+305+299+305+305+325.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-140-----140-140-129.4
Fortuna Sittard+370----+365+365+398.4
Draw+290----+300+300+325.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -134 to -141
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +371 to +362

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -130 to -140
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +370 to +340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o2½-131o2¾+100o2¾-105o2½-119o2¾-105o2½-119o2¾+104
Underu3-135u2½+111u2¾-120u2¾-115u2½+104u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.1%
 
No44.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.04%
Exactly 220.80%
Exactly 417.85%
Exactly 66.13%
Exactly 81.13%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.96%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 511.45%
Exactly 72.81%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 010.52%
Exactly 123.68%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 320.02%
Exactly 411.28%
Exactly 55.08%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 038.42%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.58%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.63%
Exactly 224.98%
Exactly 44.59%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.63%
Exactly 312.37%
Exactly 51.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 035.25%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.16%
Exactly 36.66%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 064.22%
Exactly 128.44%
Exactly 26.30%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals43.44%
Wins by 3+ goals23.54%
Wins by 4+ goals10.70%
Wins by 5+ goals4.12%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals4.79%
Wins by 3+ goals1.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.13%
Wins by 2 goals19.90%
Wins by 3 goals12.85%
Wins by 4 goals6.57%
Wins by 5 goals2.77%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal9.82%
Wins by 2 goals3.58%
Wins by 3 goals0.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.96%4.04%
1.582.99%17.01%
2.562.19%37.81%
3.539.94%60.06%
4.522.10%77.90%
5.510.64%89.36%
6.54.52%95.48%
7.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.48%10.52%
1.565.80%34.20%
2.539.13%60.87%
3.519.10%80.90%
4.57.83%92.17%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.58%38.42%
1.524.82%75.18%
2.57.25%92.75%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.37%22.63%
1.543.74%56.26%
2.518.76%81.24%
3.56.39%93.61%
4.51.79%98.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
4.04%
3.86%
1.85%
0.59%
0.14%
1
9.10%
8.70%
4.16%
1.33%
0.32%
2
10.25%
9.80%
4.69%
1.49%
0.36%
3
7.69%
7.36%
3.52%
1.12%
0.27%
4
4.33%
4.14%
1.98%
0.63%
0.15%
5
1.95%
1.87%
0.89%
0.28%
0.07%
AZ Alkmaar
1-09.10%
2-010.25%
2-19.80%
3-07.69%
3-17.36%
3-23.52%
4-04.33%
4-14.14%
4-21.98%
4-30.63%
5-01.95%
5-11.87%
5-20.89%
5-30.28%
Draw
0-04.04%
1-18.70%
2-24.69%
3-31.12%
4-40.15%
Fortuna Sittard
0-13.86%
0-21.85%
1-24.16%
0-30.59%
1-31.33%
2-31.49%
0-40.14%
1-40.32%
2-40.36%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Score0123
0
22.63%
10.02%
2.22%
0.33%
1
23.60%
10.45%
2.31%
0.34%
2
12.31%
5.45%
1.21%
0.18%
3
4.28%
1.89%
0.42%
0.06%
4
1.12%
0.49%
0.11%
0.02%
5
0.23%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-023.60%
2-012.31%
2-15.45%
3-04.28%
3-11.89%
3-20.42%
4-01.12%
4-10.49%
4-20.11%
5-00.23%
5-10.10%
Draw
0-022.63%
1-110.45%
2-21.21%
Fortuna Sittard
0-110.02%
0-22.22%
1-22.31%
0-30.33%
1-30.34%
2-30.18%