Emmen at Ajax

Updated

Emmen

2.5%6.3%91.1%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.56Projected Goals 3.70
1Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Emmen
Money Line
T 0-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+185
W 2-1 at Cambuur+220
L 2-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+185
W 0-2 vs Excelsior-155
L 1-3 at Volendam+185
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-850
T 0-0 at Go Ahead Eagles-260
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord-140
W 4-2 at Heerenveen-270
W 0-1 vs NEC Nijmegen-480

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Emmen+1600+2137+1800+2000+2316+2000+2316+2104.4
Ajax-800-842-950-1000-827-1000-827-646.4
Draw+725+885+800+975+915+975+975+1028.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Emmen+1850----+2000+2000+2104.4
Ajax-725-----950-950-646.4
Draw+735----+925+925+1028.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Emmen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Emmen: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Emmen: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Emmen ML moved from +1900 to +1800
Ajax ML moved from -816 to -839

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Emmen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Emmen: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Emmen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Emmen ML moved from +1800 to +1750
Ajax ML moved from -875 to -950

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-102o3½-126o3½-122o3¾-105o3½-113o3¾-105o3½-113o3¾+104
Underu3½-118u3½+106u3½+102u3¾-115u3½-102u3¾-115u3¾-115u3¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾+104
Under-----u3¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.41%
Exactly 212.78%
Exactly 419.37%
Exactly 611.74%
Exactly 83.81%
Exactly 100.77%
Exactly 120.11%
 
Exactly 15.99%
Exactly 318.17%
Exactly 516.52%
Exactly 77.16%
Exactly 91.81%
Exactly 110.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Emmen
Exactly 056.60%
Exactly 132.22%
Exactly 29.17%
Exactly 31.74%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 02.48%
Exactly 19.18%
Exactly 216.96%
Exactly 320.89%
Exactly 419.30%
Exactly 514.26%
Exactly 68.79%
Exactly 74.64%
Exactly 82.14%
Exactly 90.88%
Exactly 100.33%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 013.88%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.79%
Exactly 61.14%
 
Exactly 127.41%
Exactly 317.81%
Exactly 53.47%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Emmen
Exactly 076.83%
Exactly 120.25%
Exactly 22.67%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 018.07%
Exactly 130.92%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 315.08%
Exactly 46.45%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Emmen
Wins by 2+ goals0.50%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals78.16%
Wins by 3+ goals59.79%
Wins by 4+ goals40.28%
Wins by 5+ goals23.87%
Wins by 6+ goals12.50%
Wins by 7+ goals5.82%
Wins by 8+ goals2.42%
Wins by 9+ goals0.89%
Wins by 10+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Emmen
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Emmen
Wins by 1 goal1.99%
Wins by 2 goals0.43%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal12.94%
Wins by 2 goals18.37%
Wins by 3 goals19.51%
Wins by 4 goals16.41%
Wins by 5 goals11.37%
Wins by 6 goals6.68%
Wins by 7 goals3.40%
Wins by 8 goals1.53%
Wins by 9 goals0.61%
Wins by 10 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.59%1.41%
1.592.60%7.40%
2.579.82%20.18%
3.561.65%38.35%
4.542.27%57.73%
5.525.75%74.25%
6.514.00%86.00%
7.56.85%93.15%
8.53.03%96.97%
9.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Emmen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.40%56.60%
1.511.19%88.81%
2.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.52%2.48%
1.588.34%11.66%
2.571.38%28.62%
3.550.49%49.51%
4.531.19%68.81%
5.516.93%83.07%
6.58.14%91.86%
7.53.50%96.50%
8.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.12%13.88%
1.558.71%41.29%
2.531.64%68.36%
3.513.83%86.17%
4.55.04%94.96%
5.51.57%98.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Emmen
Ajax
Score012345
0
1.41%
5.19%
9.60%
11.82%
10.92%
8.07%
1
0.80%
2.96%
5.46%
6.73%
6.22%
4.60%
2
0.23%
0.84%
1.55%
1.92%
1.77%
1.31%
Emmen
1-00.80%
2-00.23%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-01.41%
1-12.96%
2-21.55%
3-30.36%
Ajax
0-15.19%
0-29.60%
1-25.46%
0-311.82%
1-36.73%
2-31.92%
0-410.92%
1-46.22%
2-41.77%
3-40.34%
0-58.07%
1-54.60%
2-51.31%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Emmen
Ajax
Score01234567
0
13.88%
23.75%
20.32%
11.59%
4.96%
1.70%
0.48%
0.12%
1
3.66%
6.26%
5.36%
3.05%
1.31%
0.45%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.48%
0.82%
0.71%
0.40%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Emmen
1-03.66%
2-00.48%
2-10.82%
Draw
0-013.88%
1-16.26%
2-20.71%
Ajax
0-123.75%
0-220.32%
1-25.36%
0-311.59%
1-33.05%
2-30.40%
0-44.96%
1-41.31%
2-40.17%
0-51.70%
1-50.45%
0-60.48%
1-60.13%
0-70.12%