Ajax at Go Ahead Eag

Updated

Ajax

80.1%13.0%6.9%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.74Projected Goals 0.69
0Final Score 0

Go Ahead Eagles

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord-140
W 4-2 at Heerenveen-270
W 0-1 vs NEC Nijmegen-480
W 2-1 at Vitesse-205
W 0-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam-435
Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
W 2-1 at Utrecht+350
L 1-4 at Cambuur+160
T 2-2 at Emmen+200
W 0-2 vs Twente+245
L 1-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-280-210-215-245-212-220-210-189.5
Go Ahead Eag+675+551+500+600+544+530+551+561.7
Draw+400+378+350+405+408+390+408+414.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-275-----260-260-189.5
Go Ahead Eag+685----+620+620+561.7
Draw+425----+430+430+414.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -290 to -300
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +525 to +500

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -290 to -300
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +745 to +625

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-127o3-118o3-118o3-116o3-118o3-116o3-107
Underu3-105u3+107u3-102u3-102u3+101u3-102u3+107u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-107
Under-----u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.24%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 418.68%
Exactly 67.33%
Exactly 81.54%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.11%
Exactly 321.78%
Exactly 512.81%
Exactly 73.59%
Exactly 90.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.48%
Exactly 117.74%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 415.14%
Exactly 58.28%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 80.50%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 049.96%
Exactly 134.67%
Exactly 212.03%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.43%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 45.42%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.45%
Exactly 313.64%
Exactly 51.72%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 028.17%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 072.52%
Exactly 123.30%
Exactly 23.74%
Exactly 30.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals59.63%
Wins by 3+ goals37.76%
Wins by 4+ goals20.35%
Wins by 5+ goals9.42%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals1.69%
Wins by 3+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.40%
Wins by 2 goals21.86%
Wins by 3 goals17.41%
Wins by 4 goals10.93%
Wins by 5 goals5.64%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal5.16%
Wins by 2 goals1.39%
Wins by 3 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.76%3.24%
1.585.65%14.35%
2.566.60%33.40%
3.544.82%55.18%
4.526.14%73.86%
5.513.33%86.67%
6.56.00%94.00%
7.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.52%6.48%
1.575.78%24.22%
2.551.52%48.48%
3.529.39%70.61%
4.514.25%85.75%
5.55.97%94.03%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.04%49.96%
1.515.37%84.63%
2.53.34%96.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.57%20.43%
1.547.12%52.88%
2.521.36%78.64%
3.57.72%92.28%
4.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
Score0123
0
3.24%
2.25%
0.78%
0.18%
1
8.86%
6.15%
2.13%
0.49%
2
12.12%
8.41%
2.92%
0.68%
3
11.06%
7.67%
2.66%
0.62%
4
7.56%
5.25%
1.82%
0.42%
5
4.14%
2.87%
1.00%
0.23%
Ajax
1-08.86%
2-012.12%
2-18.41%
3-011.06%
3-17.67%
3-22.66%
4-07.56%
4-15.25%
4-21.82%
4-30.42%
5-04.14%
5-12.87%
5-21.00%
5-30.23%
Draw
0-03.24%
1-16.15%
2-22.92%
3-30.62%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-12.25%
0-20.78%
1-22.13%
0-30.18%
1-30.49%
2-30.68%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
Score0123
0
20.43%
6.56%
1.05%
0.11%
1
25.88%
8.32%
1.34%
0.14%
2
16.39%
5.27%
0.85%
0.09%
3
6.92%
2.22%
0.36%
0.04%
4
2.19%
0.70%
0.11%
0.01%
5
0.56%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.88%
2-016.39%
2-15.27%
3-06.92%
3-12.22%
3-20.36%
4-02.19%
4-10.70%
4-20.11%
5-00.56%
5-10.18%
6-00.12%
Draw
0-020.43%
1-18.32%
2-20.85%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-16.56%
0-21.05%
1-21.34%
0-30.11%
1-30.14%
Vitesse at RKC Waalwijk
Volendam at Utrecht