Feyenoord at Excelsior

Updated

Feyenoord

77.7%14.4%7.9%
Feyenoord WinDrawWin
2.58Projected Goals 0.70
2Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Feyenoord
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Utrecht-300
W 3-0 at Cambuur-475
W 1-5 vs RKC Waalwijk-650
W 3-1 at Sparta Rotterdam-200
W 3-2 at Ajax+350
Excelsior
Money Line
T 0-0 at Vitesse+580
W 1-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+195
L 0-4 at PSV Eindhoven+2350
T 0-0 vs Twente+510
W 1-4 vs Cambuur+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Feyenoord-407-427-460-460--460-427-360.0
Excelsior+1020+1011+1000+975-+975+1011+1028.3
Draw+575+615+575+640-+640+640+676.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Feyenoord-425-----465-465-360.0
Excelsior+935----+975+975+1028.3
Draw+600----+640+640+676.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Feyenoord: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Feyenoord: 10.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Feyenoord: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Feyenoord ML moved from -435 to -460
Excelsior ML moved from +1000 to +900

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Feyenoord: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Feyenoord: 10.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Feyenoord: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Feyenoord ML moved from -460 to -475
Excelsior ML moved from +1000 to +975

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-107o3½-118o3½-118o3½-116-o3½-116o3½-116o3½-105
Underu3½-109u3½+100u3½-102u3½-104-u3½-104u3½+100u3½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-105
Under-----u3½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.78%
Exactly 220.27%
Exactly 418.13%
Exactly 66.49%
Exactly 81.24%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.37%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 511.88%
Exactly 73.04%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Feyenoord
Exactly 07.63%
Exactly 119.63%
Exactly 225.26%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 413.94%
Exactly 57.17%
Exactly 63.08%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 80.36%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 049.51%
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 212.23%
Exactly 32.87%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.94%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 44.84%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.28%
Exactly 312.76%
Exactly 51.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Feyenoord
Exactly 030.38%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 38.56%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 072.22%
Exactly 123.51%
Exactly 23.83%
Exactly 30.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Feyenoord
Wins by 2+ goals56.03%
Wins by 3+ goals34.06%
Wins by 4+ goals17.51%
Wins by 5+ goals7.70%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals1.98%
Wins by 3+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Feyenoord
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Feyenoord
Wins by 1 goal21.59%
Wins by 2 goals21.97%
Wins by 3 goals16.55%
Wins by 4 goals9.81%
Wins by 5 goals4.77%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal5.89%
Wins by 2 goals1.62%
Wins by 3 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.22%3.78%
1.583.85%16.15%
2.563.58%36.42%
3.541.45%58.55%
4.523.31%76.69%
5.511.43%88.57%
6.54.94%95.06%
7.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Feyenoord Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.37%7.63%
1.572.75%27.25%
2.547.49%52.51%
3.525.82%74.18%
4.511.89%88.11%
5.54.71%95.29%
6.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.49%49.51%
1.515.68%84.32%
2.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.06%21.94%
1.544.79%55.21%
2.519.54%80.46%
3.56.78%93.22%
4.51.94%98.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Feyenoord
Excelsior
Score0123
0
3.78%
2.65%
0.93%
0.22%
1
9.72%
6.83%
2.40%
0.56%
2
12.50%
8.79%
3.09%
0.72%
3
10.73%
7.54%
2.65%
0.62%
4
6.90%
4.85%
1.71%
0.40%
5
3.55%
2.50%
0.88%
0.21%
Feyenoord
1-09.72%
2-012.50%
2-18.79%
3-010.73%
3-17.54%
3-22.65%
4-06.90%
4-14.85%
4-21.71%
4-30.40%
5-03.55%
5-12.50%
5-20.88%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-03.78%
1-16.83%
2-23.09%
3-30.62%
Excelsior
0-12.65%
0-20.93%
1-22.40%
0-30.22%
1-30.56%
2-30.72%

Correct Score - First Half

Feyenoord
Excelsior
Score0123
0
21.94%
7.14%
1.16%
0.13%
1
26.14%
8.51%
1.38%
0.15%
2
15.57%
5.07%
0.82%
0.09%
3
6.18%
2.01%
0.33%
0.04%
4
1.84%
0.60%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.44%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
Feyenoord
1-026.14%
2-015.57%
2-15.07%
3-06.18%
3-12.01%
3-20.33%
4-01.84%
4-10.60%
5-00.44%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-021.94%
1-18.51%
2-20.82%
Excelsior
0-17.14%
0-21.16%
1-21.38%
0-30.13%
1-30.15%