NEC Nijmegen at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

34.9%27.6%37.6%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 1

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+340
L 0-4 at Twente+540
L 3-2 vs Heerenveen+110
L 4-1 vs Vitesse+120
T 0-0 at Emmen+150
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 0-3 at Excelsior+275
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven+1800
W 0-2 vs Vitesse+220
L 0-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+315
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+365

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+145+154+150+142+146+142+154+153.9
Fortuna Sittard+170+157+160+157+160+157+160+169.7
Draw+245+291+260+305+319+305+319+324.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+160----+150+150+153.9
Fortuna Sittard+155----+160+160+169.7
Draw+265----+275+275+324.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +152 to +142
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +155 to +148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
No Steam Moves On Fortuna Sittard ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3½+104o3¼-110o3¼-122o3-156o3¼-122o3¼-110o3¼-111
Underu3-122u3½-122u3¼-110u3¼+102u3+141u3¼+102u3½-122u3¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-111
Under-----u3¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.97%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 412.63%
Exactly 62.45%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.64%
Exactly 320.96%
Exactly 56.09%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 030.80%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 221.36%
Exactly 38.38%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 029.14%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 222.15%
Exactly 39.11%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.75%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 42.12%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 057.97%
Exactly 131.61%
Exactly 28.62%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 056.50%
Exactly 132.26%
Exactly 29.21%
Exactly 31.75%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals14.50%
Wins by 3+ goals4.67%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals16.23%
Wins by 3+ goals5.44%
Wins by 4+ goals1.46%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal20.34%
Wins by 2 goals9.84%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal21.30%
Wins by 2 goals10.79%
Wins by 3 goals3.98%
Wins by 4 goals1.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.03%8.97%
1.569.39%30.61%
2.543.31%56.69%
3.522.35%77.65%
4.59.72%90.28%
5.53.63%96.37%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.20%30.80%
1.532.93%67.07%
2.511.57%88.43%
3.53.19%96.81%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.86%29.14%
1.534.93%65.07%
2.512.78%87.22%
3.53.67%96.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.25%32.75%
1.530.69%69.31%
2.510.29%89.71%
3.52.70%97.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
8.97%
11.07%
6.82%
2.80%
0.86%
0.21%
1
10.57%
13.03%
8.04%
3.30%
1.02%
0.25%
2
6.22%
7.67%
4.73%
1.94%
0.60%
0.15%
3
2.44%
3.01%
1.86%
0.76%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.72%
0.89%
0.55%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.21%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-010.57%
2-06.22%
2-17.67%
3-02.44%
3-13.01%
3-21.86%
4-00.72%
4-10.89%
4-20.55%
4-30.22%
5-00.17%
5-10.21%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.97%
1-113.03%
2-24.73%
3-30.76%
Fortuna Sittard
0-111.07%
0-26.82%
1-28.04%
0-32.80%
1-33.30%
2-31.94%
0-40.86%
1-41.02%
2-40.60%
3-40.24%
0-50.21%
1-50.25%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
32.75%
18.70%
5.34%
1.02%
0.15%
1
17.86%
10.20%
2.91%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.87%
2.78%
0.79%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.88%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-017.86%
2-04.87%
2-12.78%
3-00.88%
3-10.51%
3-20.14%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-032.75%
1-110.20%
2-20.79%
Fortuna Sittard
0-118.70%
0-25.34%
1-22.91%
0-31.02%
1-30.55%
2-30.15%
0-40.15%
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