VVV-Venlo at Willem II

Updated

VVV-Venlo

13.4%17.6%69.0%
WinDrawWillem II Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.38
2Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

VVV-Venlo
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Emmen+380
L 1-3 at Ajax+2000
T 3-3 vs RKC Waalwijk+140
L 0-4 at Heracles Almelo+360
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+450
Willem II
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+110
T 1-1 at Cambuur+135
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo+120
L 2-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1780
W 0-1 vs Vitesse+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
VVV-Venlo+506-+500+580+476+580+580+613.7
Willem II-250--210-220-243-220-210-189.9
Draw+316-+340+365+320+365+365+388.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
VVV-Venlo-----+613.7
Willem II------189.9
Draw-----+388.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
VVV-Venlo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

VVV-Venlo: 0.0%
Willem II: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

VVV-Venlo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

VVV-Venlo: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

VVV-Venlo ML moved from +460 to +440
Willem II ML moved from -233 to -243

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o2¾-115o2¾-115o2½-148o2¾-115o2½-148o2¾-104
Underu2¾-115-u2¾-105u2¾-105u2½+133u2¾-105u2½+133u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.8%
 
No44.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.56%
Exactly 219.81%
Exactly 418.36%
Exactly 66.81%
Exactly 81.35%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.88%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 512.24%
Exactly 73.24%
Exactly 90.50%
Exact Goals Scored - VVV-Venlo
Exactly 038.50%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 09.25%
Exactly 122.02%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 320.80%
Exactly 412.38%
Exactly 55.89%
Exactly 62.34%
Exactly 70.79%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.35%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 45.06%
Exactly 60.40%
 
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 313.10%
Exactly 51.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - VVV-Venlo
Exactly 064.28%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 033.22%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.17%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

VVV-Venlo
Wins by 2+ goals4.33%
Wins by 3+ goals1.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals46.38%
Wins by 3+ goals26.11%
Wins by 4+ goals12.39%
Wins by 5+ goals5.00%
Wins by 6+ goals1.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

VVV-Venlo
Willem II
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
VVV-Venlo
Wins by 1 goal9.03%
Wins by 2 goals3.25%
Wins by 3 goals0.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal22.53%
Wins by 2 goals20.27%
Wins by 3 goals13.73%
Wins by 4 goals7.39%
Wins by 5 goals3.28%
Wins by 6 goals1.23%
Wins by 7 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.44%3.56%
1.584.56%15.44%
2.564.75%35.25%
3.542.74%57.26%
4.524.38%75.62%
5.512.14%87.86%
6.55.33%94.67%
7.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals VVV-Venlo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.50%38.50%
1.524.75%75.25%
2.57.21%92.79%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.75%9.25%
1.568.73%31.27%
2.542.52%57.48%
3.521.72%78.28%
4.59.34%90.66%
5.53.45%96.55%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.65%21.35%
1.545.68%54.32%
2.520.23%79.77%
3.57.13%92.87%
4.52.07%97.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

VVV-Venlo
Willem II
Score012345
0
3.56%
8.48%
10.09%
8.01%
4.76%
2.27%
1
3.40%
8.09%
9.63%
7.64%
4.55%
2.17%
2
1.62%
3.86%
4.60%
3.65%
2.17%
1.03%
3
0.52%
1.23%
1.46%
1.16%
0.69%
0.33%
4
0.12%
0.29%
0.35%
0.28%
0.16%
0.08%
VVV-Venlo
1-03.40%
2-01.62%
2-13.86%
3-00.52%
3-11.23%
3-21.46%
4-00.12%
4-10.29%
4-20.35%
4-30.28%
Draw
0-03.56%
1-18.09%
2-24.60%
3-31.16%
4-40.16%
Willem II
0-18.48%
0-210.09%
1-29.63%
0-38.01%
1-37.64%
2-33.65%
0-44.76%
1-44.55%
2-42.17%
3-40.69%
0-52.27%
1-52.17%
2-51.03%
3-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

VVV-Venlo
Willem II
Score012345
0
21.35%
23.53%
12.97%
4.76%
1.31%
0.29%
1
9.44%
10.40%
5.73%
2.11%
0.58%
0.13%
2
2.09%
2.30%
1.27%
0.47%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.31%
0.34%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
VVV-Venlo
1-09.44%
2-02.09%
2-12.30%
3-00.31%
3-10.34%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-021.35%
1-110.40%
2-21.27%
Willem II
0-123.53%
0-212.97%
1-25.73%
0-34.76%
1-32.11%
2-30.47%
0-41.31%
1-40.58%
2-40.13%
0-50.29%
1-50.13%
Groningen at Vitesse
Ajax at Twente