Utrecht at Willem II

Updated

Utrecht

50.1%24.5%25.4%
Utrecht WinDrawWillem II Win
1.65Projected Goals 1.10
0Final Score 3

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+210
T 1-1 at Zwolle+185
W 0-1 vs NEC Nijmegen-160
L 1-2 at Feyenoord+675
T 1-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-250
Willem II
Money Line
T 1-1 at Cambuur+135
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo+120
L 2-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1780
W 0-1 vs Vitesse+265
L 0-4 at Go Ahead Eagles+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+110+210+200+213+205+200+213+229.3
Willem II+220+115+116+120+113+116+120+122.7
Draw+260+260+290+294+280+290+294+304.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+200----+215+215+229.3
Willem II+120----+110+110+122.7
Draw+280----+285+285+304.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 50.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +224 to +218
Willem II ML moved from +120 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 50.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML
Willem II ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o3-115o3-118o3-110-o3-118o3-110o3-104
Underu2½+102u3-105u3-102u3-105-u3-102u3-102u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-104
Under-----u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%
 
No46.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.40%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 415.23%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.59%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.38%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 019.24%
Exactly 131.71%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 314.36%
Exactly 45.92%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 033.25%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 37.40%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.00%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 046.62%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 213.58%
Exactly 33.45%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 060.06%
Exactly 130.62%
Exactly 27.81%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals26.61%
Wins by 3+ goals11.31%
Wins by 4+ goals3.94%
Wins by 5+ goals1.14%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals9.63%
Wins by 3+ goals2.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal23.49%
Wins by 2 goals15.30%
Wins by 3 goals7.38%
Wins by 4 goals2.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal15.69%
Wins by 2 goals6.82%
Wins by 3 goals2.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.60%6.40%
1.576.02%23.98%
2.551.84%48.16%
3.529.69%70.31%
4.514.46%85.54%
5.56.08%93.92%
6.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.76%19.24%
1.549.06%50.94%
2.522.92%77.08%
3.58.56%91.44%
4.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.75%33.25%
1.530.14%69.86%
2.59.98%90.02%
3.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.00%28.00%
1.536.36%63.64%
2.513.67%86.33%
3.54.05%95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Willem II
Score01234
0
6.40%
7.04%
3.88%
1.42%
0.39%
1
10.54%
11.61%
6.39%
2.35%
0.65%
2
8.69%
9.57%
5.27%
1.93%
0.53%
3
4.77%
5.26%
2.89%
1.06%
0.29%
4
1.97%
2.17%
1.19%
0.44%
0.12%
5
0.65%
0.71%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
Utrecht
1-010.54%
2-08.69%
2-19.57%
3-04.77%
3-15.26%
3-22.89%
4-01.97%
4-12.17%
4-21.19%
4-30.44%
5-00.65%
5-10.71%
5-20.39%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.40%
1-111.61%
2-25.27%
3-31.06%
4-40.12%
Willem II
0-17.04%
0-23.88%
1-26.39%
0-31.42%
1-32.35%
2-31.93%
0-40.39%
1-40.65%
2-40.53%
3-40.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Willem II
Score0123
0
28.00%
14.27%
3.64%
0.62%
1
21.37%
10.89%
2.78%
0.47%
2
8.15%
4.16%
1.06%
0.18%
3
2.07%
1.06%
0.27%
0.05%
4
0.40%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-021.37%
2-08.15%
2-14.16%
3-02.07%
3-11.06%
3-20.27%
4-00.40%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.00%
1-110.89%
2-21.06%
Willem II
0-114.27%
0-23.64%
1-22.78%
0-30.62%
1-30.47%
2-30.18%
AZ Alkmaar at Utrecht
RKC Waalwijk at AZ Alkmaar