Heracles Almelo at Willem II

Updated

Heracles Almelo

34.5%27.7%37.9%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawWillem II Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.23
0Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Twente+250
W 1-0 at Groningen+340
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+585
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
Willem II
Money Line
L 2-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1780
W 0-1 vs Vitesse+265
L 0-4 at Go Ahead Eagles+255
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+1500
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+480

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+205+210+215+227+199+215+227+228.2
Willem II+125+140+136+144+137+136+144+150.6
Draw+230+205+220+224+231+220+231+237.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+220----+250+250+228.2
Willem II+120----+120+120+150.6
Draw+250----+220+220+237.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +199 to +191
Willem II ML moved from +151 to +135

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Heracles Almelo: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 60.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +185 to +155
Willem II ML moved from +150 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2¼-112o2¼-110o2½+123-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼+100
Underu2¾-112u2¼-108u2¼-110u2½-138-u2¼-110u2½-138u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.11%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 412.50%
Exactly 62.39%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.83%
Exactly 320.88%
Exactly 55.99%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 031.27%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 029.15%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 222.15%
Exactly 39.10%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.99%
Exactly 220.29%
Exactly 42.08%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.50%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 058.38%
Exactly 131.42%
Exactly 28.46%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 056.51%
Exactly 132.25%
Exactly 29.21%
Exactly 31.75%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals14.20%
Wins by 3+ goals4.52%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals16.38%
Wins by 3+ goals5.50%
Wins by 4+ goals1.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal20.23%
Wins by 2 goals9.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal21.46%
Wins by 2 goals10.89%
Wins by 3 goals4.02%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.89%9.11%
1.569.05%30.95%
2.542.91%57.09%
3.522.03%77.97%
4.59.53%90.47%
5.53.54%96.46%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.73%31.27%
1.532.38%67.62%
2.511.25%88.75%
3.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.85%29.15%
1.534.92%65.08%
2.512.77%87.23%
3.53.67%96.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.01%32.99%
1.530.43%69.57%
2.510.14%89.86%
3.52.64%97.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
Score012345
0
9.11%
11.24%
6.93%
2.85%
0.88%
0.22%
1
10.60%
13.06%
8.05%
3.31%
1.02%
0.25%
2
6.16%
7.59%
4.68%
1.92%
0.59%
0.15%
3
2.39%
2.94%
1.81%
0.75%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.69%
0.85%
0.53%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-010.60%
2-06.16%
2-17.59%
3-02.39%
3-12.94%
3-21.81%
4-00.69%
4-10.85%
4-20.53%
4-30.22%
5-00.16%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.11%
1-113.06%
2-24.68%
3-30.75%
Willem II
0-111.24%
0-26.93%
1-28.05%
0-32.85%
1-33.31%
2-31.92%
0-40.88%
1-41.02%
2-40.59%
3-40.23%
0-50.22%
1-50.25%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
Score01234
0
32.99%
18.83%
5.37%
1.02%
0.15%
1
17.75%
10.13%
2.89%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.78%
2.73%
0.78%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.86%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-017.75%
2-04.78%
2-12.73%
3-00.86%
3-10.49%
3-20.14%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-032.99%
1-110.13%
2-20.78%
Willem II
0-118.83%
0-25.37%
1-22.89%
0-31.02%
1-30.55%
2-30.15%
0-40.15%
Fortuna Sittard at Twente
Utrecht at Zwolle