Heracles Almelo at Groningen

Updated

Heracles Almelo

19.6%24.2%56.2%
WinDrawGroningen Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.68
1Final Score 0

Groningen

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+585
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
T 0-0 vs Vitesse+150
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1000
Groningen
Money Line
L 1-3 at Heerenveen+240
L 3-1 vs Ajax+1100
W 3-1 at Utrecht+350
W 3-4 vs NEC Nijmegen-110
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+1200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+250+320+370+354+321+370+370+383.2
Groningen+110-115-125-110-119-125-110-107.3
Draw+230+240+250+252+258+250+258+262.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+270----+340+340+383.2
Groningen+105-----115-115-107.3
Draw+240----+245+245+262.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Groningen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +340 to +320
Groningen ML moved from -119 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Groningen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML
Groningen ML moved from +105 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2¼-118o2¼-118o2½+120-o2¼-118o2¼-118o2½+124
Underu2½-118u2¼-102u2¼-102u2½-135-u2¼-102u2½-135u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+124
Under-----u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.78%
Exactly 225.37%
Exactly 413.78%
Exactly 62.99%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.87%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 57.04%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 041.59%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.01%
Exactly 34.68%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 018.71%
Exactly 131.36%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 314.68%
Exactly 46.15%
Exactly 52.06%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.66%
Exactly 221.42%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 38.44%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 066.61%
Exactly 127.06%
Exactly 25.50%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 046.03%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 213.86%
Exactly 33.58%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals6.29%
Wins by 3+ goals1.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals30.93%
Wins by 3+ goals13.55%
Wins by 4+ goals4.85%
Wins by 5+ goals1.44%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Groningen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal13.24%
Wins by 2 goals4.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal25.29%
Wins by 2 goals17.37%
Wins by 3 goals8.71%
Wins by 4 goals3.41%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.22%7.78%
1.572.35%27.65%
2.546.98%53.02%
3.525.39%74.61%
4.511.61%88.39%
5.54.57%95.43%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.41%41.59%
1.521.93%78.07%
2.55.92%94.08%
3.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.29%18.71%
1.549.92%50.08%
2.523.64%76.36%
3.58.96%91.04%
4.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.34%30.66%
1.533.09%66.91%
2.511.67%88.33%
3.53.22%96.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Groningen
Score012345
0
7.78%
13.04%
10.93%
6.11%
2.56%
0.86%
1
6.83%
11.44%
9.59%
5.36%
2.24%
0.75%
2
3.00%
5.02%
4.21%
2.35%
0.98%
0.33%
3
0.88%
1.47%
1.23%
0.69%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.19%
0.32%
0.27%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Heracles Almelo
1-06.83%
2-03.00%
2-15.02%
3-00.88%
3-11.47%
3-21.23%
4-00.19%
4-10.32%
4-20.27%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-07.78%
1-111.44%
2-24.21%
3-30.69%
Groningen
0-113.04%
0-210.93%
1-29.59%
0-36.11%
1-35.36%
2-32.35%
0-42.56%
1-42.24%
2-40.98%
3-40.29%
0-50.86%
1-50.75%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Groningen
Score01234
0
30.66%
23.79%
9.23%
2.39%
0.46%
1
12.46%
9.66%
3.75%
0.97%
0.19%
2
2.53%
1.96%
0.76%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.34%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-012.46%
2-02.53%
2-11.96%
3-00.34%
3-10.27%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-030.66%
1-19.66%
2-20.76%
Groningen
0-123.79%
0-29.23%
1-23.75%
0-32.39%
1-30.97%
2-30.20%
0-40.46%
1-40.19%