Heracles Almelo at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Heracles Almelo

7.6%13.0%79.5%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.82
1Final Score 3

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Zwolle+105
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+750
W 0-1 vs Utrecht+220
L 0-3 at Ajax+2500
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-120
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam-215
W 1-3 vs Heerenveen-600
W 5-0 at Vitesse-155
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar-130
L 2-1 vs Ajax+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1500+1300+1400+1467+1361+1400+1467+1447.0
PSV Eindhoven-625-575-556-535-599-556-535-407.5
Draw+625+600+620+678+643+620+678+655.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1230----+1000+1000+1447.0
PSV Eindhoven-450-----450-450-407.5
Draw+535----+600+600+655.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +1361 to +1336
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -545 to -599

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +1100 to +1000
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -425 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105o3¼-108o3¼-108o3-140-o3¼-108o3-140o3¼+100
Underu3¼-115u3¼-112u3¼-112u3+125-u3¼-112u3+125u3¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+100
Under-----u3¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.75%
Exactly 217.75%
Exactly 419.11%
Exactly 68.23%
Exactly 81.90%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.88%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 513.74%
Exactly 74.23%
Exactly 90.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 045.97%
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 213.88%
Exactly 33.60%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 05.98%
Exactly 116.84%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 415.69%
Exactly 58.84%
Exactly 64.15%
Exactly 71.67%
Exactly 80.59%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.93%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 46.05%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.51%
Exactly 314.55%
Exactly 52.01%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 069.78%
Exactly 125.11%
Exactly 24.52%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 027.13%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 310.04%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals2.05%
Wins by 3+ goals0.42%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals59.46%
Wins by 3+ goals38.07%
Wins by 4+ goals20.83%
Wins by 5+ goals9.82%
Wins by 6+ goals4.02%
Wins by 7+ goals1.42%
Wins by 8+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal5.50%
Wins by 2 goals1.63%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal19.94%
Wins by 2 goals21.39%
Wins by 3 goals17.23%
Wins by 4 goals11.01%
Wins by 5 goals5.80%
Wins by 6 goals2.59%
Wins by 7 goals1.00%
Wins by 8 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.25%2.75%
1.587.38%12.62%
2.569.63%30.37%
3.548.36%51.64%
4.529.25%70.75%
5.515.51%84.49%
6.57.28%92.72%
7.53.06%96.94%
8.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.03%45.97%
1.518.30%81.70%
2.54.42%95.58%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.02%5.98%
1.577.19%22.81%
2.553.47%46.53%
3.531.19%68.81%
4.515.50%84.50%
5.56.66%93.34%
6.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.07%18.93%
1.549.56%50.44%
2.523.34%76.66%
3.58.79%91.21%
4.52.74%97.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
2.75%
7.74%
10.90%
10.24%
7.21%
4.06%
1
2.14%
6.02%
8.47%
7.96%
5.61%
3.16%
2
0.83%
2.34%
3.29%
3.09%
2.18%
1.23%
3
0.21%
0.61%
0.85%
0.80%
0.56%
0.32%
Heracles Almelo
1-02.14%
2-00.83%
2-12.34%
3-00.21%
3-10.61%
3-20.85%
Draw
0-02.75%
1-16.02%
2-23.29%
3-30.80%
4-40.11%
PSV Eindhoven
0-17.74%
0-210.90%
1-28.47%
0-310.24%
1-37.96%
2-33.09%
0-47.21%
1-45.61%
2-42.18%
3-40.56%
0-54.06%
1-53.16%
2-51.23%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
Score0123456
0
18.93%
24.70%
16.11%
7.00%
2.28%
0.60%
0.13%
1
6.81%
8.89%
5.80%
2.52%
0.82%
0.21%
0.05%
2
1.23%
1.60%
1.04%
0.45%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.15%
0.19%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-06.81%
2-01.23%
2-11.60%
3-00.15%
3-10.19%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-018.93%
1-18.89%
2-21.04%
PSV Eindhoven
0-124.70%
0-216.11%
1-25.80%
0-37.00%
1-32.52%
2-30.45%
0-42.28%
1-40.82%
2-40.15%
0-50.60%
1-50.21%
0-60.13%
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