Heracles Almelo at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Heracles Almelo

8.5%14.5%77.0%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.60
1Final Score 2

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Utrecht+220
L 0-3 at Ajax+2500
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-120
T 0-0 at NEC Nijmegen+190
T 1-1 vs Cambuur-120
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 4-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-185
W 2-1 at PSV Eindhoven+355
T 0-0 vs Cambuur-400
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard-210
W 0-1 vs Groningen-250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+900+725+810+783-+810+810+809.8
AZ Alkmaar-385-280-286-256--286-256-229.3
Draw+475+370+390+398-+390+398+416.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+740----+750+750+809.8
AZ Alkmaar-270-----265-265-229.3
Draw+390----+380+380+416.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +790 to +770
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -278 to -286

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +740 to +700
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o2¾+102o2¾+100o2½-131-o2¾+100o2½-131o2½-124
Underu3-105u2¾-122u2¾-120u2½+116-u2¾-120u2½+116u2½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-124
Under-----u2½+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.49%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 418.43%
Exactly 66.92%
Exactly 81.39%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.70%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 512.37%
Exactly 73.32%
Exactly 90.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 047.12%
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 213.34%
Exactly 33.35%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 07.40%
Exactly 119.26%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 414.17%
Exactly 57.38%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 80.39%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.14%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 313.22%
Exactly 51.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 070.58%
Exactly 124.59%
Exactly 24.28%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 029.95%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals2.20%
Wins by 3+ goals0.42%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals55.61%
Wins by 3+ goals33.91%
Wins by 4+ goals17.53%
Wins by 5+ goals7.76%
Wins by 6+ goals2.98%
Wins by 7+ goals0.99%
Wins by 8+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal6.17%
Wins by 2 goals1.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.37%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal21.39%
Wins by 2 goals21.70%
Wins by 3 goals16.38%
Wins by 4 goals9.77%
Wins by 5 goals4.79%
Wins by 6 goals1.99%
Wins by 7 goals0.71%
Wins by 8 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.51%3.49%
1.584.81%15.19%
2.565.18%34.82%
3.543.21%56.79%
4.524.78%75.22%
5.512.40%87.60%
6.55.48%94.52%
7.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.88%47.12%
1.517.42%82.58%
2.54.08%95.92%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.60%7.40%
1.573.34%26.66%
2.548.26%51.74%
3.526.49%73.51%
4.512.32%87.68%
5.54.93%95.07%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.86%21.14%
1.546.01%53.99%
2.520.48%79.52%
3.57.26%92.74%
4.52.12%97.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.49%
9.08%
11.82%
10.26%
6.68%
3.48%
1
2.62%
6.83%
8.89%
7.72%
5.03%
2.62%
2
0.99%
2.57%
3.35%
2.90%
1.89%
0.98%
3
0.25%
0.64%
0.84%
0.73%
0.47%
0.25%
Heracles Almelo
1-02.62%
2-00.99%
2-12.57%
3-00.25%
3-10.64%
3-20.84%
Draw
0-03.49%
1-16.83%
2-23.35%
3-30.73%
AZ Alkmaar
0-19.08%
0-211.82%
1-28.89%
0-310.26%
1-37.72%
2-32.90%
0-46.68%
1-45.03%
2-41.89%
3-40.47%
0-53.48%
1-52.62%
2-50.98%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
21.14%
25.49%
15.36%
6.18%
1.86%
0.45%
1
7.36%
8.88%
5.35%
2.15%
0.65%
0.16%
2
1.28%
1.55%
0.93%
0.37%
0.11%
0.03%
3
0.15%
0.18%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-07.36%
2-01.28%
2-11.55%
3-00.15%
3-10.18%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-021.14%
1-18.88%
2-20.93%
AZ Alkmaar
0-125.49%
0-215.36%
1-25.35%
0-36.18%
1-32.15%
2-30.37%
0-41.86%
1-40.65%
2-40.11%
0-50.45%
1-50.16%
Ajax at Willem II
Groningen at Zwolle