Heracles Almelo at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Heracles Almelo

24.3%21.9%53.8%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.88
0Final Score 0

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Cambuur-120
W 2-4 vs Groningen+135
L 1-2 at Vitesse+430
L 1-0 vs Heerenveen+115
L 1-2 at Feyenoord+900
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 1-0 at Willem II+175
W 2-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+210
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+875
L 1-2 at RKC Waalwijk+130
L 3-2 vs Cambuur+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+190+190+183+191-+183+191+197.7
NEC Nijmegen+140+160+155+160-+155+160+167.9
Draw+225+200+230+236-+230+236+243.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+185----+190+190+197.7
NEC Nijmegen+140----+150+150+167.9
Draw+250----+230+230+243.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +190 to +181
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +168 to +156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +175 to +160
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +175 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2¼-105o2¼-108o2½+122-o2¼-108o2¼-105o2¼+102
Underu2½-115u2¼-115u2¼-112u2½-137-u2¼-112u2½-137u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+102
Under-----u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.48%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 415.14%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.73%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 58.29%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 042.63%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.50%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 015.19%
Exactly 128.63%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 316.94%
Exactly 47.98%
Exactly 53.01%
Exactly 60.94%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.16%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 067.38%
Exactly 126.60%
Exactly 25.25%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 041.79%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.91%
Exactly 34.63%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals5.09%
Wins by 3+ goals1.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals36.59%
Wins by 3+ goals17.55%
Wins by 4+ goals6.92%
Wins by 5+ goals2.27%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal11.32%
Wins by 2 goals3.90%
Wins by 3 goals0.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal25.01%
Wins by 2 goals19.03%
Wins by 3 goals10.63%
Wins by 4 goals4.65%
Wins by 5 goals1.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.50%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.52%6.48%
1.575.80%24.20%
2.551.54%48.46%
3.529.41%70.59%
4.514.26%85.74%
5.55.97%94.03%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.37%42.63%
1.521.02%78.98%
2.55.53%94.47%
3.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.81%15.19%
1.556.18%43.82%
2.529.20%70.80%
3.512.26%87.74%
4.54.28%95.72%
5.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.84%28.16%
1.536.15%63.85%
2.513.54%86.46%
3.53.99%96.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
6.48%
12.20%
11.50%
7.22%
3.40%
1.28%
1
5.52%
10.41%
9.80%
6.16%
2.90%
1.09%
2
2.35%
4.44%
4.18%
2.63%
1.24%
0.47%
3
0.67%
1.26%
1.19%
0.75%
0.35%
0.13%
4
0.14%
0.27%
0.25%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
Heracles Almelo
1-05.52%
2-02.35%
2-14.44%
3-00.67%
3-11.26%
3-21.19%
4-00.14%
4-10.27%
4-20.25%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.48%
1-110.41%
2-24.18%
3-30.75%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.20%
0-211.50%
1-29.80%
0-37.22%
1-36.16%
2-32.63%
0-43.40%
1-42.90%
2-41.24%
3-40.35%
0-51.28%
1-51.09%
2-50.47%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
28.16%
24.57%
10.72%
3.12%
0.68%
0.12%
1
11.12%
9.70%
4.23%
1.23%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.19%
1.91%
0.84%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.25%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-011.12%
2-02.19%
2-11.91%
3-00.29%
3-10.25%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-028.16%
1-19.70%
2-20.84%
NEC Nijmegen
0-124.57%
0-210.72%
1-24.23%
0-33.12%
1-31.23%
2-30.24%
0-40.68%
1-40.27%
0-50.12%