Groningen at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Groningen

31.4%28.2%40.4%
Groningen WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.28
2Final Score 4

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Feyenoord+560
T 1-1 vs Zwolle-130
W 4-1 at Fortuna Sittard+165
W 1-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+200
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-125
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 1-2 at Vitesse+430
L 1-0 vs Heerenveen+115
L 1-2 at Feyenoord+900
L 0-1 at Utrecht+360
W 1-3 vs Fortuna Sittard-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+280+220+220+216+212+220+220+230.9
Heracles Almelo-110+135+136+146+133+136+146+155.9
Draw+250+210+215+220+223+215+223+225.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+255----+230+230+230.9
Heracles Almelo+115----+135+135+155.9
Draw+230----+210+210+225.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +220 to +210
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +121 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +240 to +230
No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2¼-108o2¼+101o2½+135-o2¼+101o2¼+101o2¼+110
Underu2½-102u2¼-112u2¼-121u2½-150-u2¼-121u2½-150u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-115 to u2¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.24%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.50%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.34%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 55.24%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 036.94%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.32%
Exactly 36.08%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 027.73%
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 222.81%
Exactly 39.75%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.82%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 063.06%
Exactly 129.08%
Exactly 26.70%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 055.22%
Exactly 132.79%
Exactly 29.74%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals10.52%
Wins by 3+ goals2.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals19.45%
Wins by 3+ goals6.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Heracles Almelo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal18.26%
Wins by 2 goals7.62%
Wins by 3 goals2.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal23.52%
Wins by 2 goals12.64%
Wins by 3 goals4.91%
Wins by 4 goals1.48%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.76%10.24%
1.566.42%33.58%
2.539.83%60.17%
3.519.63%80.37%
4.58.13%91.87%
5.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.06%36.94%
1.526.27%73.73%
2.57.96%92.04%
3.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.27%27.73%
1.536.70%63.30%
2.513.89%86.11%
3.54.14%95.86%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.18%34.82%
1.528.44%71.56%
2.59.07%90.93%
3.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
10.24%
13.14%
8.43%
3.60%
1.16%
0.30%
1
10.20%
13.08%
8.39%
3.59%
1.15%
0.30%
2
5.08%
6.52%
4.18%
1.79%
0.57%
0.15%
3
1.69%
2.16%
1.39%
0.59%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.42%
0.54%
0.35%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Groningen
1-010.20%
2-05.08%
2-16.52%
3-01.69%
3-12.16%
3-21.39%
4-00.42%
4-10.54%
4-20.35%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.24%
1-113.08%
2-24.18%
3-30.59%
Heracles Almelo
0-113.14%
0-28.43%
1-28.39%
0-33.60%
1-33.59%
2-31.79%
0-41.16%
1-41.15%
2-40.57%
3-40.19%
0-50.30%
1-50.30%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
34.82%
20.68%
6.14%
1.22%
0.18%
1
16.06%
9.53%
2.83%
0.56%
0.08%
2
3.70%
2.20%
0.65%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.57%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Groningen
1-016.06%
2-03.70%
2-12.20%
3-00.57%
3-10.34%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-034.82%
1-19.53%
2-20.65%
Heracles Almelo
0-120.68%
0-26.14%
1-22.83%
0-31.22%
1-30.56%
2-30.13%
0-40.18%
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