Fortuna Sittard at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

26.2%21.2%52.6%
Fortuna Sittard WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.99
1Final Score 3

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 4-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+840
L 3-4 at Go Ahead Eagles+310
T 1-1 at Willem II+320
W 0-1 vs Cambuur+190
L 3-1 vs NEC Nijmegen+160
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 0-1 at Twente+230
T 0-0 vs Ajax+1200
L 0-1 at Zwolle+140
L 2-4 at Go Ahead Eagles+140
W 2-3 vs Willem II-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+400+370+395+422+376+395+422+434.4
Heracles Almelo-155-140-141-135-146-141-135-128.9
Draw+310+275+280+279+290+280+290+300.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+455----+410+410+434.4
Heracles Almelo-170-----150-150-128.9
Draw+315----+290+290+300.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +380 to +370
Heracles Almelo ML moved from -158 to -167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +435 to +400
No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o2½-115o2½-114o3+146-o2½-114o2½-115o2½-107
Underu2¾-102u2½-105u2½-106u3-161-u2½-106u3-147u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-107
Under-----u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.3%
 
No45.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.06%
Exactly 222.53%
Exactly 416.71%
Exactly 64.96%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.11%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.97%
Exactly 72.11%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 037.07%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.25%
Exactly 36.04%
Exactly 41.50%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 013.66%
Exactly 127.19%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.96%
Exactly 48.94%
Exactly 53.56%
Exactly 61.18%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.13%
Exactly 223.97%
Exactly 43.81%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 311.03%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 063.16%
Exactly 129.02%
Exactly 26.67%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 039.79%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.90%
Exactly 35.19%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals6.23%
Wins by 3+ goals1.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals36.53%
Wins by 3+ goals18.03%
Wins by 4+ goals7.36%
Wins by 5+ goals2.50%
Wins by 6+ goals0.69%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal11.92%
Wins by 2 goals4.60%
Wins by 3 goals1.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal23.91%
Wins by 2 goals18.50%
Wins by 3 goals10.67%
Wins by 4 goals4.86%
Wins by 5 goals1.81%
Wins by 6 goals0.56%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.94%5.06%
1.579.83%20.17%
2.557.30%42.70%
3.534.90%65.10%
4.518.19%81.81%
5.58.22%91.78%
6.53.27%96.73%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.93%37.07%
1.526.15%73.85%
2.57.89%92.11%
3.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.34%13.66%
1.559.14%40.86%
2.532.08%67.92%
3.514.12%85.88%
4.55.18%94.82%
5.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.87%25.13%
1.540.16%59.84%
2.516.20%83.80%
3.55.16%94.84%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
5.06%
10.08%
10.03%
6.66%
3.31%
1.32%
1
5.03%
10.00%
9.96%
6.61%
3.29%
1.31%
2
2.49%
4.96%
4.94%
3.28%
1.63%
0.65%
3
0.83%
1.64%
1.63%
1.08%
0.54%
0.21%
4
0.20%
0.41%
0.41%
0.27%
0.13%
0.05%
Fortuna Sittard
1-05.03%
2-02.49%
2-14.96%
3-00.83%
3-11.64%
3-21.63%
4-00.20%
4-10.41%
4-20.41%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-05.06%
1-110.00%
2-24.94%
3-31.08%
4-40.13%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.08%
0-210.03%
1-29.96%
0-36.66%
1-36.61%
2-33.28%
0-43.31%
1-43.29%
2-41.63%
3-40.54%
0-51.32%
1-51.31%
2-50.65%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
25.13%
23.16%
10.67%
3.28%
0.76%
0.14%
1
11.55%
10.64%
4.90%
1.51%
0.35%
0.06%
2
2.65%
2.45%
1.13%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.41%
0.37%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortuna Sittard
1-011.55%
2-02.65%
2-12.45%
3-00.41%
3-10.37%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-025.13%
1-110.64%
2-21.13%
Heracles Almelo
0-123.16%
0-210.67%
1-24.90%
0-33.28%
1-31.51%
2-30.35%
0-40.76%
1-40.35%
0-50.14%
NEC Nijmegen at AZ Alkmaar
Groningen at Go Ahead Eag