Fortuna Sittard at Willem II

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

31.8%24.5%43.7%
Fortuna Sittard WinDrawWillem II Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 1

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cambuur+190
L 3-1 vs NEC Nijmegen+160
T 1-1 at Vitesse+500
L 5-0 vs Ajax+1900
L 0-1 at Heerenveen+360
Willem II
Money Line
T 1-1 at Twente+440
L 2-3 at Heracles Almelo+330
W 1-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+575
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+190
W 1-2 vs Groningen+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+285+300+285+317+311+285+317+329.3
Willem II-105-110-117-113-120-117-110-106.3
Draw+265+260+285+286+270+285+286+297.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+330----+320+320+329.3
Willem II-125-----120-120-106.3
Draw+280----+275+275+297.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +320 to +300
Willem II ML moved from -113 to -119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +330 to +320
No Steam Moves On Willem II ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2¾-102o2½-125o2½-117-o2½-125o2½-117o2½-110
Underu2½-102u2¾-118u2½+105u2½+104-u2½+105u2¾-118u2½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-110
Under-----u2½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-118 to o2¾-112
The Under moved from u2¾-119 to u2½-109

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.7%
 
No44.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.03%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 415.63%
Exactly 64.11%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.93%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.78%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 030.65%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 221.43%
Exactly 38.45%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 019.66%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 314.10%
Exactly 45.74%
Exactly 51.87%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.24%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 39.99%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 057.84%
Exactly 131.67%
Exactly 28.67%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 047.09%
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 213.36%
Exactly 33.35%
Exactly 40.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals11.17%
Wins by 3+ goals3.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals24.90%
Wins by 3+ goals10.41%
Wins by 4+ goals3.57%
Wins by 5+ goals1.01%
Wins by 6+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal16.56%
Wins by 2 goals7.65%
Wins by 3 goals2.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal22.79%
Wins by 2 goals14.48%
Wins by 3 goals6.85%
Wins by 4 goals2.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Wins by 6 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.97%6.03%
1.577.05%22.95%
2.553.27%46.73%
3.531.01%68.99%
4.515.38%84.62%
5.56.59%93.41%
6.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.35%30.65%
1.533.10%66.90%
2.511.67%88.33%
3.53.23%96.77%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.34%19.66%
1.548.37%51.63%
2.522.36%77.64%
3.58.25%91.75%
4.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.76%27.24%
1.537.34%62.66%
2.514.30%85.70%
3.54.32%95.68%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Willem II
Score012345
0
6.03%
9.80%
7.97%
4.32%
1.76%
0.57%
1
7.12%
11.59%
9.43%
5.11%
2.08%
0.68%
2
4.21%
6.85%
5.57%
3.02%
1.23%
0.40%
3
1.66%
2.70%
2.20%
1.19%
0.48%
0.16%
4
0.49%
0.80%
0.65%
0.35%
0.14%
0.05%
5
0.12%
0.19%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-07.12%
2-04.21%
2-16.85%
3-01.66%
3-12.70%
3-22.20%
4-00.49%
4-10.80%
4-20.65%
4-30.35%
5-00.12%
5-10.19%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-06.03%
1-111.59%
2-25.57%
3-31.19%
4-40.14%
Willem II
0-19.80%
0-27.97%
1-29.43%
0-34.32%
1-35.11%
2-33.02%
0-41.76%
1-42.08%
2-41.23%
3-40.48%
0-50.57%
1-50.68%
2-50.40%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Willem II
Score01234
0
27.24%
20.51%
7.73%
1.94%
0.37%
1
14.91%
11.23%
4.23%
1.06%
0.20%
2
4.08%
3.07%
1.16%
0.29%
0.05%
3
0.74%
0.56%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortuna Sittard
1-014.91%
2-04.08%
2-13.07%
3-00.74%
3-10.56%
3-20.21%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-027.24%
1-111.23%
2-21.16%
Willem II
0-120.51%
0-27.73%
1-24.23%
0-31.94%
1-31.06%
2-30.29%
0-40.37%
1-40.20%