NEC Nijmegen at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

15.3%12.0%72.7%
WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
0.57Projected Goals 2.75
3Final Score 1

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 3-5 at Feyenoord+1100
L 3-0 vs Utrecht+325
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+250
T 0-0 vs Willem II+190
W 1-0 at Heracles Almelo+300
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
T 1-1 at Vitesse+500
L 5-0 vs Ajax+1900
L 0-1 at Heerenveen+360
L 1-3 at Sparta Rotterdam+255
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+230+165+172+172-+169+172+179.2
Fortuna Sittard+105+165+158+168-+159+168+175.1
Draw+265+230+240+250-+240+250+259.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+190----+165+165+179.2
Fortuna Sittard+140----+160+160+175.1
Draw+250----+245+245+259.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +184 to +178
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +166 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +185 to +165
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +140 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2½-115o2½-112o2½-108-o2½-112o2½-108o2½-102
Underu2¾-112u2½-105u2½-108u2½-104-u2½-108u2½-104u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-102
Under-----u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-114 to u2½-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.1%
 
No58.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.60%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 418.32%
Exactly 66.75%
Exactly 81.33%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 111.97%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 512.18%
Exactly 73.20%
Exactly 90.49%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 056.09%
Exactly 132.43%
Exactly 29.37%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 06.42%
Exactly 117.63%
Exactly 224.20%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 415.20%
Exactly 58.35%
Exactly 63.82%
Exactly 71.50%
Exactly 80.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.46%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 45.02%
Exactly 60.40%
 
Exactly 133.03%
Exactly 313.04%
Exactly 51.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 076.52%
Exactly 120.48%
Exactly 22.74%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 028.05%
Exactly 135.66%
Exactly 222.66%
Exactly 39.60%
Exactly 43.05%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals1.16%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals62.38%
Wins by 3+ goals40.04%
Wins by 4+ goals21.83%
Wins by 5+ goals10.20%
Wins by 6+ goals4.13%
Wins by 7+ goals1.45%
Wins by 8+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal4.23%
Wins by 2 goals0.98%
Wins by 3 goals0.16%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal20.11%
Wins by 2 goals22.34%
Wins by 3 goals18.21%
Wins by 4 goals11.62%
Wins by 5 goals6.07%
Wins by 6 goals2.68%
Wins by 7 goals1.02%
Wins by 8 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.40%3.60%
1.584.43%15.57%
2.564.54%35.46%
3.542.49%57.51%
4.524.18%75.82%
5.512.00%88.00%
6.55.26%94.74%
7.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.91%56.09%
1.511.48%88.52%
2.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.58%6.42%
1.575.95%24.05%
2.551.75%48.25%
3.529.60%70.40%
4.514.40%85.60%
5.56.05%93.95%
6.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.54%21.46%
1.545.51%54.49%
2.520.10%79.90%
3.57.06%92.94%
4.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
3.60%
9.89%
13.58%
12.42%
8.53%
4.68%
1
2.08%
5.72%
7.85%
7.18%
4.93%
2.71%
2
0.60%
1.65%
2.27%
2.08%
1.43%
0.78%
3
0.12%
0.32%
0.44%
0.40%
0.27%
0.15%
NEC Nijmegen
1-02.08%
2-00.60%
2-11.65%
3-00.12%
3-10.32%
3-20.44%
Draw
0-03.60%
1-15.72%
2-22.27%
3-30.40%
Fortuna Sittard
0-19.89%
0-213.58%
1-27.85%
0-312.42%
1-37.18%
2-32.08%
0-48.53%
1-44.93%
2-41.43%
3-40.27%
0-54.68%
1-52.71%
2-50.78%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Score0123456
0
21.46%
27.28%
17.34%
7.35%
2.34%
0.59%
0.13%
1
5.74%
7.30%
4.64%
1.97%
0.63%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.77%
0.98%
0.62%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-05.74%
2-00.77%
2-10.98%
Draw
0-021.46%
1-17.30%
2-20.62%
Fortuna Sittard
0-127.28%
0-217.34%
1-24.64%
0-37.35%
1-31.97%
2-30.26%
0-42.34%
1-40.63%
0-50.59%
1-50.16%
0-60.13%