Utrecht at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Utrecht

66.8%15.3%17.9%
Utrecht WinDrawWin
2.43Projected Goals 0.65
3Final Score 0

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-375
L 0-1 at Twente-125
W 1-3 vs Feyenoord+160
T 0-0 at Groningen+115
W 0-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam-165
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+250
T 0-0 vs Willem II+190
W 1-0 at Heracles Almelo+300
W 0-2 vs Zwolle+150
L 0-5 at Ajax

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-135-115-113-113--113-113-106.2
NEC Nijmegen+360+310+300+324-+305+324+336.8
Draw+285+265+255+279-+255+279+290.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-130-----125-125-106.2
NEC Nijmegen+350----+325+325+336.8
Draw+280----+280+280+290.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from -120 to -130
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +320 to +310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from -115 to -125
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +315 to +285

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2½-118o2½-120o2½-114-o2½-120o2½-114o2½-108
Underu2¾-112u2½-102u2½+100u2½+102-u2½+100u2½+102u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-108
Under-----u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.58%
Exactly 221.78%
Exactly 417.25%
Exactly 65.46%
Exactly 80.93%
 
Exactly 114.13%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.63%
Exactly 72.41%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 08.79%
Exactly 121.37%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 321.06%
Exactly 412.80%
Exactly 56.23%
Exactly 62.52%
Exactly 70.88%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 052.16%
Exactly 133.95%
Exactly 211.05%
Exactly 32.40%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.00%
Exactly 224.44%
Exactly 44.15%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.25%
Exactly 311.63%
Exactly 51.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 032.44%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 073.98%
Exactly 122.30%
Exactly 23.36%
Exactly 30.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals53.99%
Wins by 3+ goals31.72%
Wins by 4+ goals15.63%
Wins by 5+ goals6.54%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals1.91%
Wins by 3+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal22.63%
Wins by 2 goals22.28%
Wins by 3 goals16.08%
Wins by 4 goals9.09%
Wins by 5 goals4.21%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal6.05%
Wins by 2 goals1.58%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.42%4.58%
1.581.29%18.71%
2.559.51%40.49%
3.537.13%62.87%
4.519.88%80.12%
5.59.25%90.75%
6.53.78%96.22%
7.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.21%8.79%
1.569.84%30.16%
2.543.86%56.14%
3.522.79%77.21%
4.59.99%90.01%
5.53.76%96.24%
6.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.84%52.16%
1.513.89%86.11%
2.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.00%24.00%
1.541.75%58.25%
2.517.31%82.69%
3.55.68%94.32%
4.51.54%98.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
4.58%
2.98%
0.97%
0.21%
1
11.15%
7.26%
2.36%
0.51%
2
13.55%
8.82%
2.87%
0.62%
3
10.99%
7.15%
2.33%
0.50%
4
6.68%
4.35%
1.41%
0.31%
5
3.25%
2.11%
0.69%
0.15%
Utrecht
1-011.15%
2-013.55%
2-18.82%
3-010.99%
3-17.15%
3-22.33%
4-06.68%
4-14.35%
4-21.41%
4-30.31%
5-03.25%
5-12.11%
5-20.69%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-04.58%
1-17.26%
2-22.87%
3-30.50%
NEC Nijmegen
0-12.98%
0-20.97%
1-22.36%
0-30.21%
1-30.51%
2-30.62%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
24.00%
7.23%
1.09%
0.11%
1
27.02%
8.14%
1.23%
0.12%
2
15.21%
4.58%
0.69%
0.07%
3
5.71%
1.72%
0.26%
0.03%
4
1.61%
0.48%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.36%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-027.02%
2-015.21%
2-14.58%
3-05.71%
3-11.72%
3-20.26%
4-01.61%
4-10.48%
5-00.36%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-024.00%
1-18.14%
2-20.69%
NEC Nijmegen
0-17.23%
0-21.09%
1-21.23%
0-30.11%
1-30.12%