NEC Nijmegen at Ajax

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

9.3%7.2%83.4%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.36Projected Goals 3.18
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
Ajax
Money Line
W 3-1 at Vitesse-175
W 1-3 vs VVV-Venlo-950
W 3-0 at Feyenoord-190
W 0-4 vs Emmen-800
W 0-2 vs AZ Alkmaar-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+2200-+2500+1800-+2300+2500-
Ajax-1200--1600-1111--1111-1111-
Draw+900-+1200+800-+1000+1200-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen------
Ajax------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +2500 to +2300
Ajax ML moved from -1600 to -1800

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-115-o4¼-110o4-120-o4-120o4-120-
Underu3¾-105-u4¼-110u4+100-u4+100u4¼-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-115 to o4-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes28.7%
 
No71.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.90%
Exactly 218.18%
Exactly 418.99%
Exactly 67.93%
Exactly 81.78%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.27%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 513.44%
Exactly 74.01%
Exactly 90.70%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 070.07%
Exactly 124.92%
Exactly 24.43%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.14%
Exactly 113.18%
Exactly 220.99%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 417.74%
Exactly 511.30%
Exactly 66.00%
Exactly 72.73%
Exactly 81.09%
Exactly 90.38%
Exactly 100.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.41%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 45.84%
Exactly 60.52%
 
Exactly 131.82%
Exactly 314.25%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 084.82%
Exactly 113.97%
Exactly 21.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 022.89%
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 312.23%
Exactly 44.51%
Exactly 51.33%
Exactly 60.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals0.27%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals75.12%
Wins by 3+ goals54.01%
Wins by 4+ goals33.45%
Wins by 5+ goals17.92%
Wins by 6+ goals8.38%
Wins by 7+ goals3.45%
Wins by 8+ goals1.25%
Wins by 9+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal1.73%
Wins by 2 goals0.25%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.55%
Wins by 2 goals21.11%
Wins by 3 goals20.57%
Wins by 4 goals15.53%
Wins by 5 goals9.54%
Wins by 6 goals4.93%
Wins by 7 goals2.20%
Wins by 8 goals0.86%
Wins by 9 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.10%2.90%
1.586.83%13.17%
2.568.66%31.34%
3.547.21%52.79%
4.528.22%71.78%
5.514.78%85.22%
6.56.84%93.16%
7.52.83%97.17%
8.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.529.93%70.07%
1.55.01%94.99%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.86%4.14%
1.582.68%17.32%
2.561.69%38.31%
3.539.41%60.59%
4.521.67%78.33%
5.510.37%89.63%
6.54.37%95.63%
7.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.59%19.41%
1.548.76%51.24%
2.522.68%77.32%
3.58.43%91.57%
4.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
Score01234
0
2.90%
9.24%
14.71%
15.61%
12.43%
1
1.03%
3.29%
5.23%
5.55%
4.42%
2
0.18%
0.58%
0.93%
0.99%
0.79%
NEC Nijmegen
1-01.03%
2-00.18%
2-10.58%
Draw
0-02.90%
1-13.29%
2-20.93%
3-30.12%
Ajax
0-19.24%
0-214.71%
1-25.23%
0-315.61%
1-35.55%
2-30.99%
0-412.43%
1-44.42%
2-40.79%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
Score0123456
0
19.41%
28.63%
21.10%
10.37%
3.82%
1.13%
0.28%
1
3.20%
4.71%
3.48%
1.71%
0.63%
0.19%
0.05%
2
0.26%
0.39%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-03.20%
2-00.26%
2-10.39%
Draw
0-019.41%
1-14.71%
2-20.29%
Ajax
0-128.63%
0-221.10%
1-23.48%
0-310.37%
1-31.71%
2-30.14%
0-43.82%
1-40.63%
0-51.13%
1-50.19%
0-60.28%