Emmen at Ajax

Updated

Emmen

5.6%3.1%91.3%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.24Projected Goals 4.07
0Final Score 4

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Emmen
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Heracles Almelo+145
W 3-1 at Fortuna Sittard+200
W 1-3 vs RKC Waalwijk+105
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+630
T 1-1 at Groningen+295
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-2 vs AZ Alkmaar-195
T 1-1 vs Utrecht-230
W 1-0 at RKC Waalwijk-600
W 2-1 at Heerenveen-425
W 0-5 vs ADO Den Haag

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Emmen+1817+2026+2000+1500+2079+1500+2079-
Ajax-833-909-950-718-1250-718-718-
Draw+845+907+850+820+940+820+940-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Emmen+1850----+1850+1850-
Ajax-800-----800-800-
Draw+785----+800+800-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Emmen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Emmen: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Emmen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Emmen ML moved from +2100 to +2026
Ajax ML moved from -1020 to -1250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Emmen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Emmen: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Emmen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Emmen ML
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4+100o3¾-120o4+100o3¾-132-o3¾-132o3¾-120-
Underu4-120u3¾-101u4-120u3¾+112-u3¾+112u3¾+112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-130 to o4+110
The Under moved from u4-130 to u3½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes21.6%
 
No78.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.34%
Exactly 212.45%
Exactly 419.31%
Exactly 611.98%
Exactly 83.98%
Exactly 100.82%
Exactly 120.12%
 
Exactly 15.77%
Exactly 317.91%
Exactly 516.66%
Exactly 77.38%
Exactly 91.91%
Exactly 110.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Emmen
Exactly 078.00%
Exactly 119.38%
Exactly 22.41%
Exactly 30.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 01.72%
Exactly 16.98%
Exactly 214.18%
Exactly 319.21%
Exactly 419.53%
Exactly 515.88%
Exactly 610.76%
Exactly 76.25%
Exactly 83.17%
Exactly 91.43%
Exactly 100.58%
Exactly 110.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 013.57%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 49.00%
Exactly 61.20%
 
Exactly 127.11%
Exactly 318.02%
Exactly 53.59%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Emmen
Exactly 089.13%
Exactly 110.25%
Exactly 20.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 015.23%
Exactly 128.66%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 316.92%
Exactly 47.96%
Exactly 53.00%
Exactly 60.94%
Exactly 70.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Emmen
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals87.53%
Wins by 3+ goals72.25%
Wins by 4+ goals53.07%
Wins by 5+ goals34.49%
Wins by 6+ goals19.87%
Wins by 7+ goals10.19%
Wins by 8+ goals4.67%
Wins by 9+ goals1.90%
Wins by 10+ goals0.66%
Wins by 11+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Emmen
Ajax
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Emmen
Wins by 1 goal0.53%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal8.69%
Wins by 2 goals15.29%
Wins by 3 goals19.17%
Wins by 4 goals18.58%
Wins by 5 goals14.62%
Wins by 6 goals9.68%
Wins by 7 goals5.52%
Wins by 8 goals2.77%
Wins by 9 goals1.24%
Wins by 10 goals0.50%
Wins by 11 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.66%1.34%
1.592.89%7.11%
2.580.43%19.57%
3.562.53%37.47%
4.543.22%56.78%
5.526.56%73.44%
6.514.58%85.42%
7.57.20%92.80%
8.53.22%96.78%
9.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Emmen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.522.00%78.00%
1.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.28%1.72%
1.591.31%8.69%
2.577.13%22.87%
3.557.91%42.09%
4.538.39%61.61%
5.522.51%77.49%
6.511.76%88.24%
7.55.51%94.49%
8.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.43%13.57%
1.559.32%40.68%
2.532.25%67.75%
3.514.24%85.76%
4.55.24%94.76%
5.51.65%98.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Emmen
Ajax
Score01234
0
1.34%
5.44%
11.06%
14.99%
15.23%
1
0.33%
1.35%
2.75%
3.72%
3.78%
Emmen
1-00.33%
Draw
0-01.34%
1-11.35%
2-20.34%
Ajax
0-15.44%
0-211.06%
1-22.75%
0-314.99%
1-33.72%
2-30.46%
0-415.23%
1-43.78%
2-40.47%

Correct Score - First Half

Emmen
Ajax
Score01234567
0
13.57%
25.54%
24.04%
15.08%
7.10%
2.67%
0.84%
0.23%
1
1.56%
2.94%
2.77%
1.73%
0.82%
0.31%
0.10%
0.03%
Emmen
1-01.56%
Draw
0-013.57%
1-12.94%
Ajax
0-125.54%
0-224.04%
1-22.77%
0-315.08%
1-31.73%
0-47.10%
1-40.82%
0-52.67%
1-50.31%
0-60.84%
0-70.23%