Ajax at Heerenveen

Updated

Ajax

70.6%12.6%16.8%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.75Projected Goals 0.66
2Final Score 1

Heerenveen

Last 4 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-5 vs ADO Den Haag
W 2-0 at Zwolle-500
W 1-3 vs Groningen-425
T 1-1 at PSV Eindhoven+105
Heerenveen
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Twente+180
L 1-3 at Willem II+155
W 0-3 vs ADO Den Haag-170
L 1-4 at Zwolle+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-325-476-500-500-481-500-476-
Heerenveen+700+1011+950+1200+1038+1200+1200-
Draw+475+633+575+630+632+630+633-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-350-----425-425-
Heerenveen+800----+1000+1000-
Draw+500----+575+575-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -476 to -500
Heerenveen ML moved from +900 to +875

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -350 to -425
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o4-102o4+100o4-106-o4-106o3½-114-
Underu3½-105u4-119u4-120u4-114-u4-114u3½-103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.32%
Exactly 219.24%
Exactly 418.60%
Exactly 67.19%
Exactly 81.49%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.30%
Exactly 321.85%
Exactly 512.67%
Exactly 73.50%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.39%
Exactly 117.58%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 415.23%
Exactly 58.38%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 80.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 051.89%
Exactly 134.04%
Exactly 211.17%
Exactly 32.44%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.66%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 45.32%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.58%
Exactly 313.50%
Exactly 51.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 028.00%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 073.80%
Exactly 122.42%
Exactly 23.40%
Exactly 30.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals60.73%
Wins by 3+ goals38.73%
Wins by 4+ goals21.01%
Wins by 5+ goals9.78%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals1.49%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Heerenveen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.23%
Wins by 2 goals22.01%
Wins by 3 goals17.72%
Wins by 4 goals11.22%
Wins by 5 goals5.84%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal4.82%
Wins by 2 goals1.24%
Wins by 3 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.68%3.32%
1.585.38%14.62%
2.566.14%33.86%
3.544.29%55.71%
4.525.69%74.31%
5.513.02%86.98%
6.55.83%94.17%
7.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.61%6.39%
1.576.02%23.98%
2.551.85%48.15%
3.529.69%70.31%
4.514.46%85.54%
5.56.08%93.92%
6.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.11%51.89%
1.514.07%85.93%
2.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.34%20.66%
1.546.76%53.24%
2.521.07%78.93%
3.57.57%92.43%
4.52.24%97.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
3.32%
2.18%
0.71%
0.16%
1
9.12%
5.99%
1.96%
0.43%
2
12.54%
8.23%
2.70%
0.59%
3
11.50%
7.54%
2.47%
0.54%
4
7.90%
5.19%
1.70%
0.37%
5
4.35%
2.85%
0.94%
0.20%
Ajax
1-09.12%
2-012.54%
2-18.23%
3-011.50%
3-17.54%
3-22.47%
4-07.90%
4-15.19%
4-21.70%
4-30.37%
5-04.35%
5-12.85%
5-20.94%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-03.32%
1-15.99%
2-22.70%
3-30.54%
Heerenveen
0-12.18%
0-20.71%
1-21.96%
0-30.16%
1-30.43%
2-30.59%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
20.66%
6.28%
0.95%
0.10%
1
26.30%
7.99%
1.21%
0.12%
2
16.74%
5.09%
0.77%
0.08%
3
7.11%
2.16%
0.33%
0.03%
4
2.26%
0.69%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.58%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-026.30%
2-016.74%
2-15.09%
3-07.11%
3-12.16%
3-20.33%
4-02.26%
4-10.69%
4-20.10%
5-00.58%
5-10.17%
6-00.12%
Draw
0-020.66%
1-17.99%
2-20.77%
Heerenveen
0-16.28%
0-20.95%
1-21.21%
1-30.12%
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