VVV-Venlo at Ajax

Updated

VVV-Venlo

9.5%5.5%85.0%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.41Projected Goals 3.62
1Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

VVV-Venlo
Money Line
T 3-3 vs RKC Waalwijk+140
L 0-4 at Heracles Almelo+360
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+450
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+950
L 1-0 vs Groningen+265
Ajax
Money Line
W 3-0 at Feyenoord-190
W 0-4 vs Emmen-800
W 0-2 vs AZ Alkmaar-195
T 1-1 vs Utrecht-230
W 1-0 at RKC Waalwijk-600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
VVV-Venlo+2000+1586+1800+2000+1806+2000+2000-
Ajax-1200-769-950-1100-962-1100-769-
Draw+900+846+850+1000+880+1000+1000-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
VVV-Venlo+2250----+2000+2000-
Ajax-950-----950-950-
Draw+875----+900+900-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
VVV-Venlo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

VVV-Venlo: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

VVV-Venlo: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

VVV-Venlo ML moved from +1881 to +1682
Ajax ML moved from -877 to -962

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
VVV-Venlo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

VVV-Venlo: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

VVV-Venlo: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

VVV-Venlo ML moved from +2250 to +2000
Ajax ML moved from -950 to -1000

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-102o4-109o4-105o4-113-o4-113o4-105-
Underu3½-118u4-112u4-115u4-107-u4-107u4-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes32.4%
 
No67.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.78%
Exactly 214.45%
Exactly 419.53%
Exactly 610.56%
Exactly 83.06%
Exactly 100.55%
 
Exactly 17.18%
Exactly 319.40%
Exactly 515.73%
Exactly 76.08%
Exactly 91.37%
Exactly 110.20%
Exact Goals Scored - VVV-Venlo
Exactly 066.68%
Exactly 127.03%
Exactly 25.48%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 02.67%
Exactly 19.68%
Exactly 217.53%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 419.17%
Exactly 513.88%
Exactly 68.38%
Exactly 74.34%
Exactly 81.96%
Exactly 90.79%
Exactly 100.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.50%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 47.80%
Exactly 60.90%
 
Exactly 128.89%
Exactly 316.74%
Exactly 52.91%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - VVV-Venlo
Exactly 082.89%
Exactly 115.56%
Exactly 21.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 018.70%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 314.69%
Exactly 46.16%
Exactly 52.07%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

VVV-Venlo
Wins by 2+ goals0.24%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals80.15%
Wins by 3+ goals61.59%
Wins by 4+ goals41.47%
Wins by 5+ goals24.45%
Wins by 6+ goals12.67%
Wins by 7+ goals5.80%
Wins by 8+ goals2.33%
Wins by 9+ goals0.79%
Wins by 10+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

VVV-Venlo
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
VVV-Venlo
Wins by 1 goal1.38%
Wins by 2 goals0.22%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal12.50%
Wins by 2 goals18.57%
Wins by 3 goals20.12%
Wins by 4 goals17.02%
Wins by 5 goals11.77%
Wins by 6 goals6.87%
Wins by 7 goals3.47%
Wins by 8 goals1.54%
Wins by 9 goals0.60%
Wins by 10 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.22%1.78%
1.591.04%8.96%
2.576.58%23.42%
3.557.18%42.82%
4.537.64%62.36%
5.521.91%78.09%
6.511.35%88.65%
7.55.28%94.72%
8.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals VVV-Venlo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.533.32%66.68%
1.56.30%93.70%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.33%2.67%
1.587.64%12.36%
2.570.11%29.89%
3.548.94%51.06%
4.529.77%70.23%
5.515.89%84.11%
6.57.51%92.49%
7.53.17%96.83%
8.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.50%15.50%
1.555.61%44.39%
2.528.67%71.33%
3.511.93%88.07%
4.54.13%95.87%
5.51.22%98.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

VVV-Venlo
Ajax
Score0123456
0
1.78%
6.46%
11.69%
14.11%
12.78%
9.26%
5.59%
1
0.72%
2.62%
4.74%
5.72%
5.18%
3.75%
2.26%
2
0.15%
0.53%
0.96%
1.16%
1.05%
0.76%
0.46%
VVV-Venlo
1-00.72%
2-00.15%
2-10.53%
Draw
0-01.78%
1-12.62%
2-20.96%
3-30.16%
Ajax
0-16.46%
0-211.69%
1-24.74%
0-314.11%
1-35.72%
2-31.16%
0-412.78%
1-45.18%
2-41.05%
3-40.14%
0-59.26%
1-53.75%
2-50.76%
3-50.10%
0-65.59%
1-62.26%
2-60.46%

Correct Score - First Half

VVV-Venlo
Ajax
Score01234567
0
15.50%
25.99%
21.79%
12.18%
5.11%
1.71%
0.48%
0.11%
1
2.91%
4.88%
4.09%
2.29%
0.96%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
2
0.27%
0.46%
0.38%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
VVV-Venlo
1-02.91%
2-00.27%
2-10.46%
Draw
0-015.50%
1-14.88%
2-20.38%
Ajax
0-125.99%
0-221.79%
1-24.09%
0-312.18%
1-32.29%
2-30.21%
0-45.11%
1-40.96%
0-51.71%
1-50.32%
0-60.48%
0-70.11%