Willem II at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Willem II

26.5%21.8%51.7%
Willem II WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.93
2Final Score 3

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
W 1-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+575
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+190
W 1-2 vs Groningen+120
T 0-0 at NEC Nijmegen+140
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-115
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-155
L 1-2 at Cambuur+200
W 2-3 vs AZ Alkmaar+350
L 1-0 vs NEC Nijmegen-115
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+210+340+345+352+315+345+352+365.2
Heracles Almelo+120-130-128-124-127-128-124-116.4
Draw+260+280+280+293+284+280+293+304.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+250----+330+330+365.2
Heracles Almelo+105-----120-120-116.4
Draw+255----+265+265+304.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +320 to +292
Heracles Almelo ML moved from -116 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +385 to +330
Heracles Almelo ML moved from -115 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+101-o2¾+100o2¾+101o2¾+107
Underu2¾-122u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-113-u2¾-120u2¾-113u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.43%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 416.30%
Exactly 64.61%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.81%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.50%
Exactly 71.92%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 037.27%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 014.56%
Exactly 128.05%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.36%
Exactly 48.36%
Exactly 53.22%
Exactly 61.04%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.94%
Exactly 223.61%
Exactly 43.58%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 310.62%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 063.32%
Exactly 128.94%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 040.97%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.31%
Exactly 34.85%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals6.47%
Wins by 3+ goals1.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals35.13%
Wins by 3+ goals16.94%
Wins by 4+ goals6.74%
Wins by 5+ goals2.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal12.34%
Wins by 2 goals4.77%
Wins by 3 goals1.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals18.19%
Wins by 3 goals10.20%
Wins by 4 goals4.51%
Wins by 5 goals1.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.57%5.43%
1.578.76%21.24%
2.555.73%44.27%
3.533.35%66.65%
4.517.05%82.95%
5.57.55%92.45%
6.52.94%97.06%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.73%37.27%
1.525.95%74.05%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.44%14.56%
1.557.39%42.61%
2.530.36%69.64%
3.513.00%87.00%
4.54.63%95.37%
5.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.06%25.94%
1.539.05%60.95%
2.515.44%84.56%
3.54.82%95.18%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
5.43%
10.45%
10.07%
6.47%
3.12%
1.20%
1
5.36%
10.32%
9.94%
6.39%
3.08%
1.19%
2
2.64%
5.09%
4.91%
3.15%
1.52%
0.59%
3
0.87%
1.68%
1.61%
1.04%
0.50%
0.19%
4
0.21%
0.41%
0.40%
0.26%
0.12%
0.05%
Willem II
1-05.36%
2-02.64%
2-15.09%
3-00.87%
3-11.68%
3-21.61%
4-00.21%
4-10.41%
4-20.40%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-05.43%
1-110.32%
2-24.91%
3-31.04%
4-40.12%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.45%
0-210.07%
1-29.94%
0-36.47%
1-36.39%
2-33.15%
0-43.12%
1-43.08%
2-41.52%
3-40.50%
0-51.20%
1-51.19%
2-50.59%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
25.94%
23.15%
10.33%
3.07%
0.69%
0.12%
1
11.86%
10.58%
4.72%
1.40%
0.31%
0.06%
2
2.71%
2.42%
1.08%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.41%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Willem II
1-011.86%
2-02.71%
2-12.42%
3-00.41%
3-10.37%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-025.94%
1-110.58%
2-21.08%
Heracles Almelo
0-123.15%
0-210.33%
1-24.72%
0-33.07%
1-31.40%
2-30.32%
0-40.69%
1-40.31%
0-50.12%
Go Ahead Eag at RKC Waalwijk
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