Willem II at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Willem II

26.5%21.8%51.7%
Willem II WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.93
2Final Score 3

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
W 1-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+575
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+190
W 1-2 vs Groningen+120
T 0-0 at NEC Nijmegen+140
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-115
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-155
L 1-2 at Cambuur+200
W 2-3 vs AZ Alkmaar+350
L 1-0 vs NEC Nijmegen-115
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+210+340+345+352+315+345+352+365.2
Heracles Almelo+120-130-128-124-127-128-124-116.4
Draw+260+280+280+293+284+280+293+304.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+250----+330+330+365.2
Heracles Almelo+105-----120-120-116.4
Draw+255----+265+265+304.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +320 to +292
Heracles Almelo ML moved from -116 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +385 to +330
Heracles Almelo ML moved from -115 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+101-o2¾+100o2¾+101o2¾+107
Underu2¾-122u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-113-u2¾-120u2¾-113u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.43%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 416.30%
Exactly 64.61%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.81%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.50%
Exactly 71.92%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 037.27%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 014.56%
Exactly 128.05%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.36%
Exactly 48.36%
Exactly 53.22%
Exactly 61.04%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.94%
Exactly 223.61%
Exactly 43.58%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 310.62%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 063.32%
Exactly 128.94%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 040.97%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.31%
Exactly 34.85%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals6.47%
Wins by 3+ goals1.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals35.13%
Wins by 3+ goals16.94%
Wins by 4+ goals6.74%
Wins by 5+ goals2.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal12.34%
Wins by 2 goals4.77%
Wins by 3 goals1.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals18.19%
Wins by 3 goals10.20%
Wins by 4 goals4.51%
Wins by 5 goals1.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.57%5.43%
1.578.76%21.24%
2.555.73%44.27%
3.533.35%66.65%
4.517.05%82.95%
5.57.55%92.45%
6.52.94%97.06%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.73%37.27%
1.525.95%74.05%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.44%14.56%
1.557.39%42.61%
2.530.36%69.64%
3.513.00%87.00%
4.54.63%95.37%
5.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.06%25.94%
1.539.05%60.95%
2.515.44%84.56%
3.54.82%95.18%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
5.43%
10.45%
10.07%
6.47%
3.12%
1.20%
1
5.36%
10.32%
9.94%
6.39%
3.08%
1.19%
2
2.64%
5.09%
4.91%
3.15%
1.52%
0.59%
3
0.87%
1.68%
1.61%
1.04%
0.50%
0.19%
4
0.21%
0.41%
0.40%
0.26%
0.12%
0.05%
Willem II
1-05.36%
2-02.64%
2-15.09%
3-00.87%
3-11.68%
3-21.61%
4-00.21%
4-10.41%
4-20.40%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-05.43%
1-110.32%
2-24.91%
3-31.04%
4-40.12%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.45%
0-210.07%
1-29.94%
0-36.47%
1-36.39%
2-33.15%
0-43.12%
1-43.08%
2-41.52%
3-40.50%
0-51.20%
1-51.19%
2-50.59%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
25.94%
23.15%
10.33%
3.07%
0.69%
0.12%
1
11.86%
10.58%
4.72%
1.40%
0.31%
0.06%
2
2.71%
2.42%
1.08%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.41%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Willem II
1-011.86%
2-02.71%
2-12.42%
3-00.41%
3-10.37%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-025.94%
1-110.58%
2-21.08%
Heracles Almelo
0-123.15%
0-210.33%
1-24.72%
0-33.07%
1-31.40%
2-30.32%
0-40.69%
1-40.31%
0-50.12%