AZ Alkmaar at Heracles Almelo

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

54.6%20.8%24.6%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
2.01Projected Goals 0.91
2Final Score 3

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 3-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+210
W 3-1 at Heerenveen-110
L 0-1 at RKC Waalwijk-150
W 0-5 vs Heracles Almelo-170
T 0-0 at Groningen-160
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 1-0 vs NEC Nijmegen-115
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+270
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+450
L 0-5 at AZ Alkmaar+410
T 1-1 vs Feyenoord+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-150-145-141-141--141-141-131.6
Heracles Almelo+380+360+370+382-+370+382+396.2
Draw+290+300+295+322-+295+322+334.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-125-----140-140-131.6
Heracles Almelo+320----+350+350+396.2
Draw+290----+305+305+334.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -135 to -143
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +320 to +310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -125 to -140
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +320 to +310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-103o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-111-o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-105
Underu2¾-119u2¾-108u2¾-109u2¾-101-u2¾-109u2¾-101u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-105
Under-----u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.38%
Exactly 222.98%
Exactly 416.35%
Exactly 64.65%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.73%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.55%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 013.35%
Exactly 126.88%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.17%
Exactly 49.14%
Exactly 53.68%
Exactly 61.24%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 040.32%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.63%
Exactly 35.04%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.85%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 310.67%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 039.37%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.11%
Exactly 35.32%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 065.67%
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 25.81%
Exactly 30.81%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals38.67%
Wins by 3+ goals19.38%
Wins by 4+ goals8.03%
Wins by 5+ goals2.77%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals5.19%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal24.28%
Wins by 2 goals19.29%
Wins by 3 goals11.35%
Wins by 4 goals5.26%
Wins by 5 goals2.00%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal10.95%
Wins by 2 goals3.92%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.62%5.38%
1.578.89%21.11%
2.555.91%44.09%
3.533.53%66.47%
4.517.18%82.82%
5.57.62%92.38%
6.52.97%97.03%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.65%13.35%
1.559.76%40.24%
2.532.70%67.30%
3.514.53%85.47%
4.55.39%94.61%
5.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.68%40.32%
1.523.06%76.94%
2.56.42%93.58%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.15%25.85%
1.539.18%60.82%
2.515.52%84.48%
3.54.86%95.14%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
5.38%
4.89%
2.22%
0.67%
0.15%
1
10.84%
9.85%
4.47%
1.35%
0.31%
2
10.91%
9.91%
4.50%
1.36%
0.31%
3
7.32%
6.65%
3.02%
0.91%
0.21%
4
3.69%
3.35%
1.52%
0.46%
0.10%
5
1.48%
1.35%
0.61%
0.19%
0.04%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.84%
2-010.91%
2-19.91%
3-07.32%
3-16.65%
3-23.02%
4-03.69%
4-13.35%
4-21.52%
4-30.46%
5-01.48%
5-11.35%
5-20.61%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.38%
1-19.85%
2-24.50%
3-30.91%
4-40.10%
Heracles Almelo
0-14.89%
0-22.22%
1-24.47%
0-30.67%
1-31.35%
2-31.36%
0-40.15%
1-40.31%
2-40.31%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
Score0123
0
25.85%
10.87%
2.29%
0.32%
1
24.10%
10.14%
2.13%
0.30%
2
11.23%
4.72%
0.99%
0.14%
3
3.49%
1.47%
0.31%
0.04%
4
0.81%
0.34%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-024.10%
2-011.23%
2-14.72%
3-03.49%
3-11.47%
3-20.31%
4-00.81%
4-10.34%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-025.85%
1-110.14%
2-20.99%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.87%
0-22.29%
1-22.13%
0-30.32%
1-30.30%
2-30.14%