Ajax at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Ajax

76.7%9.5%13.8%
Ajax WinDrawWin
3.07Projected Goals 0.55
5Final Score 0

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-9 vs Cambuur-1150
W 2-0 at Zwolle-550
W 0-5 vs Vitesse-700
T 1-1 at Twente-390
W 0-5 vs NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 0-1 at Heerenveen+360
L 1-3 at Sparta Rotterdam+255
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-130
W 1-2 vs Twente+190
L 1-2 at Willem II+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-550-800-700-725-758-700-700-562.2
Fortuna Sittard+1200+1500+1600+2051+1485+1600+2051+2108.0
Draw+600+750+720+824+781+720+824+845.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-450-----800-800-562.2
Fortuna Sittard+1100----+1900+1900+2108.0
Draw+575----+775+775+845.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -741 to -758
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +2056 to +2029

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -725 to -800
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +1700 to +1600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118o4+100o4-102o4+103-o4-102o4+103o4+110
Underu3¼-102u4-120u4-118u4-118-u4-118u4-118u4-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4+110
Under-----u4-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.4%
 
No59.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.68%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 419.16%
Exactly 68.37%
Exactly 81.96%
Exactly 100.29%
 
Exactly 19.69%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 513.88%
Exactly 74.33%
Exactly 90.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.65%
Exactly 114.26%
Exactly 221.88%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.18%
Exactly 510.54%
Exactly 65.39%
Exactly 72.36%
Exactly 80.91%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 057.60%
Exactly 131.78%
Exactly 28.77%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.71%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 46.15%
Exactly 60.58%
 
Exactly 131.36%
Exactly 314.69%
Exactly 52.06%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 024.15%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 311.55%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 077.46%
Exactly 119.79%
Exactly 22.53%
Exactly 30.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals68.95%
Wins by 3+ goals47.55%
Wins by 4+ goals28.18%
Wins by 5+ goals14.42%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals0.80%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal17.43%
Wins by 2 goals21.41%
Wins by 3 goals19.37%
Wins by 4 goals13.75%
Wins by 5 goals8.01%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal3.13%
Wins by 2 goals0.69%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.32%2.68%
1.587.63%12.37%
2.570.09%29.91%
3.548.91%51.09%
4.529.75%70.25%
5.515.87%84.13%
6.57.50%92.50%
7.53.17%96.83%
8.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.35%4.65%
1.581.09%18.91%
2.559.21%40.79%
3.536.82%63.18%
4.519.64%80.36%
5.59.10%90.90%
6.53.71%96.29%
7.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.40%57.60%
1.510.63%89.37%
2.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.29%18.71%
1.549.94%50.06%
2.523.65%76.35%
3.58.97%91.03%
4.52.81%97.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score012
0
2.68%
1.48%
0.41%
1
8.21%
4.53%
1.25%
2
12.60%
6.95%
1.92%
3
12.89%
7.11%
1.96%
4
9.89%
5.46%
1.51%
5
6.07%
3.35%
0.92%
Ajax
1-08.21%
2-012.60%
2-16.95%
3-012.89%
3-17.11%
3-21.96%
4-09.89%
4-15.46%
4-21.51%
4-30.28%
5-06.07%
5-13.35%
5-20.92%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-02.68%
1-14.53%
2-21.92%
3-30.36%
Fortuna Sittard
0-11.48%
0-20.41%
1-21.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score012
0
18.71%
4.78%
0.61%
1
26.58%
6.79%
0.87%
2
18.88%
4.82%
0.62%
3
8.94%
2.28%
0.29%
4
3.18%
0.81%
0.10%
5
0.90%
0.23%
0.03%
6
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
Ajax
1-026.58%
2-018.88%
2-14.82%
3-08.94%
3-12.28%
3-20.29%
4-03.18%
4-10.81%
4-20.10%
5-00.90%
5-10.23%
6-00.21%
Draw
0-018.71%
1-16.79%
2-20.62%
Fortuna Sittard
0-14.78%
0-20.61%
1-20.87%