Ajax at Twente

Updated

Ajax

75.9%10.1%14.1%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.99Projected Goals 0.56
1Final Score 1

Twente

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-5 vs NEC Nijmegen
W 3-1 at Vitesse-175
W 1-3 vs VVV-Venlo-950
W 3-0 at Feyenoord-190
W 0-4 vs Emmen-800
Twente
Money Line
L 1-2 at Fortuna Sittard+135
W 2-3 vs ADO Den Haag-170
L 1-2 at RKC Waalwijk+170
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo+165
L 0-3 at Fortuna Sittard+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-265--425-400-422-400-400-
Twente+550-+900+900+939+900+939-
Draw+425-+525+560+543+560+560-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-325-----390-390-
Twente+775----+1000+1000-
Draw+480----+520+520-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Twente: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -400 to -425
Twente ML moved from +900 to +880

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Twente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -380 to -390
No Steam Moves On Twente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105-o3½-105o3½-109-o3½-109o3½-105-
Underu3½-115-u3½-115u3½-111-u3½-111u3½-111-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.5%
 
No59.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.88%
Exactly 218.13%
Exactly 419.00%
Exactly 67.97%
Exactly 81.79%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.22%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 513.48%
Exactly 74.04%
Exactly 90.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.02%
Exactly 115.02%
Exactly 222.47%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.75%
Exactly 510.02%
Exactly 65.00%
Exactly 72.13%
Exactly 80.80%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 057.39%
Exactly 131.87%
Exactly 28.85%
Exactly 31.64%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.36%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 45.86%
Exactly 60.53%
 
Exactly 131.79%
Exactly 314.28%
Exactly 51.93%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 025.04%
Exactly 134.67%
Exactly 224.01%
Exactly 311.08%
Exactly 43.84%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 077.33%
Exactly 119.88%
Exactly 22.56%
Exactly 30.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals67.52%
Wins by 3+ goals45.83%
Wins by 4+ goals26.66%
Wins by 5+ goals13.37%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals0.87%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Twente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.06%
Wins by 2 goals21.69%
Wins by 3 goals19.17%
Wins by 4 goals13.29%
Wins by 5 goals7.55%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal3.35%
Wins by 2 goals0.74%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.12%2.88%
1.586.89%13.11%
2.568.76%31.24%
3.547.33%52.67%
4.528.33%71.67%
5.514.86%85.14%
6.56.89%93.11%
7.52.86%97.14%
8.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.98%5.02%
1.579.95%20.05%
2.557.48%42.52%
3.535.08%64.92%
4.518.32%81.68%
5.58.30%91.70%
6.53.31%96.69%
7.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.61%57.39%
1.510.74%89.26%
2.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.64%19.36%
1.548.85%51.15%
2.522.75%77.25%
3.58.47%91.53%
4.52.61%97.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Twente
Score012
0
2.88%
1.60%
0.44%
1
8.62%
4.79%
1.33%
2
12.90%
7.16%
1.99%
3
12.86%
7.14%
1.98%
4
9.62%
5.34%
1.48%
5
5.75%
3.19%
0.89%
Ajax
1-08.62%
2-012.90%
2-17.16%
3-012.86%
3-17.14%
3-21.98%
4-09.62%
4-15.34%
4-21.48%
4-30.27%
5-05.75%
5-13.19%
5-20.89%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-02.88%
1-14.79%
2-21.99%
3-30.37%
Twente
0-11.60%
0-20.44%
1-21.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Twente
Score012
0
19.36%
4.98%
0.64%
1
26.81%
6.89%
0.89%
2
18.57%
4.77%
0.61%
3
8.57%
2.20%
0.28%
4
2.97%
0.76%
0.10%
5
0.82%
0.21%
0.03%
6
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Ajax
1-026.81%
2-018.57%
2-14.77%
3-08.57%
3-12.20%
3-20.28%
4-02.97%
4-10.76%
5-00.82%
5-10.21%
6-00.19%
Draw
0-019.36%
1-16.89%
2-20.61%
Twente
0-14.98%
0-20.64%
1-20.89%