Utrecht at Ajax

Updated

Utrecht

11.4%7.8%80.8%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.46Projected Goals 3.23
1Final Score 0

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Zwolle-260
W 3-0 at NEC Nijmegen-125
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-375
L 0-1 at Twente-125
W 1-3 vs Feyenoord+160
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Groningen
W 5-0 at Fortuna Sittard-800
W 0-9 vs Cambuur-1150
W 2-0 at Zwolle-550
W 0-5 vs Vitesse-700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+900+900+1000+1176+990+1000+1176+1223.0
Ajax-475-450-455-463-458-455-450-383.5
Draw+575+575+610+635+578+610+635+662.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+1250----+1000+1000+1223.0
Ajax-525-----455-455-383.5
Draw+625----+600+600+662.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Ajax ML moved from -450 to -463

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Ajax ML moved from -525 to -575

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-102o3¾-105o3¾-114o3¾-101-o3¾-114o3¾-101o3¾+102
Underu3¾-118u3¾-115u3¾-106u3¾-113-u3¾-106u3¾-106u3¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾+102
Under-----u3¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.2%
 
No64.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.51%
Exactly 217.03%
Exactly 419.28%
Exactly 68.73%
Exactly 82.12%
Exactly 100.32%
 
Exactly 19.24%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 514.22%
Exactly 74.60%
Exactly 90.87%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 063.34%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.96%
Exactly 112.78%
Exactly 220.64%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 417.94%
Exactly 511.59%
Exactly 66.24%
Exactly 72.88%
Exactly 81.16%
Exactly 90.42%
Exactly 100.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.15%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 46.42%
Exactly 60.62%
 
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 315.04%
Exactly 52.19%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 080.94%
Exactly 117.12%
Exactly 21.81%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 022.42%
Exactly 133.52%
Exactly 225.06%
Exactly 312.49%
Exactly 44.67%
Exactly 51.40%
Exactly 60.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals0.47%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals73.70%
Wins by 3+ goals52.90%
Wins by 4+ goals32.80%
Wins by 5+ goals17.65%
Wins by 6+ goals8.30%
Wins by 7+ goals3.44%
Wins by 8+ goals1.25%
Wins by 9+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal2.22%
Wins by 2 goals0.41%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.73%
Wins by 2 goals20.81%
Wins by 3 goals20.09%
Wins by 4 goals15.16%
Wins by 5 goals9.34%
Wins by 6 goals4.86%
Wins by 7 goals2.19%
Wins by 8 goals0.87%
Wins by 9 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.49%2.51%
1.588.25%11.75%
2.571.22%28.78%
3.550.30%49.70%
4.531.01%68.99%
5.516.80%83.20%
6.58.06%91.94%
7.53.46%96.54%
8.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.536.66%63.34%
1.57.74%92.26%
2.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.04%3.96%
1.583.26%16.74%
2.562.62%37.38%
3.540.40%59.60%
4.522.47%77.53%
5.510.88%89.12%
6.54.64%95.36%
7.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.85%18.15%
1.550.88%49.12%
2.524.46%75.54%
3.59.42%90.58%
4.53.00%97.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.51%
8.10%
13.07%
14.07%
11.36%
7.34%
1
1.14%
3.70%
5.97%
6.43%
5.19%
3.35%
2
0.26%
0.84%
1.36%
1.47%
1.18%
0.77%
Utrecht
1-01.14%
2-00.26%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-02.51%
1-13.70%
2-21.36%
3-30.22%
Ajax
0-18.10%
0-213.07%
1-25.97%
0-314.07%
1-36.43%
2-31.47%
0-411.36%
1-45.19%
2-41.18%
3-40.18%
0-57.34%
1-53.35%
2-50.77%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Ajax
Score0123456
0
18.15%
27.13%
20.29%
10.11%
3.78%
1.13%
0.28%
1
3.84%
5.74%
4.29%
2.14%
0.80%
0.24%
0.06%
2
0.41%
0.61%
0.45%
0.23%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-03.84%
2-00.41%
2-10.61%
Draw
0-018.15%
1-15.74%
2-20.45%
Ajax
0-127.13%
0-220.29%
1-24.29%
0-310.11%
1-32.14%
2-30.23%
0-43.78%
1-40.80%
0-51.13%
1-50.24%
0-60.28%