Utrecht at Ajax

Updated

Utrecht

11.4%7.8%80.8%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.46Projected Goals 3.23
1Final Score 0

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Zwolle-260
W 3-0 at NEC Nijmegen-125
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-375
L 0-1 at Twente-125
W 1-3 vs Feyenoord+160
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Groningen
W 5-0 at Fortuna Sittard-800
W 0-9 vs Cambuur-1150
W 2-0 at Zwolle-550
W 0-5 vs Vitesse-700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+900+900+1000+1176+990+1000+1176+1223.0
Ajax-475-450-455-463-458-455-450-383.5
Draw+575+575+610+635+578+610+635+662.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+1250----+1000+1000+1223.0
Ajax-525-----455-455-383.5
Draw+625----+600+600+662.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Ajax ML moved from -450 to -463

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Ajax ML moved from -525 to -575

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-102o3¾-105o3¾-114o3¾-101-o3¾-114o3¾-101o3¾+102
Underu3¾-118u3¾-115u3¾-106u3¾-113-u3¾-106u3¾-106u3¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾+102
Under-----u3¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.2%
 
No64.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.51%
Exactly 217.03%
Exactly 419.28%
Exactly 68.73%
Exactly 82.12%
Exactly 100.32%
 
Exactly 19.24%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 514.22%
Exactly 74.60%
Exactly 90.87%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 063.34%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.96%
Exactly 112.78%
Exactly 220.64%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 417.94%
Exactly 511.59%
Exactly 66.24%
Exactly 72.88%
Exactly 81.16%
Exactly 90.42%
Exactly 100.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.15%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 46.42%
Exactly 60.62%
 
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 315.04%
Exactly 52.19%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 080.94%
Exactly 117.12%
Exactly 21.81%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 022.42%
Exactly 133.52%
Exactly 225.06%
Exactly 312.49%
Exactly 44.67%
Exactly 51.40%
Exactly 60.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals0.47%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals73.70%
Wins by 3+ goals52.90%
Wins by 4+ goals32.80%
Wins by 5+ goals17.65%
Wins by 6+ goals8.30%
Wins by 7+ goals3.44%
Wins by 8+ goals1.25%
Wins by 9+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal2.22%
Wins by 2 goals0.41%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.73%
Wins by 2 goals20.81%
Wins by 3 goals20.09%
Wins by 4 goals15.16%
Wins by 5 goals9.34%
Wins by 6 goals4.86%
Wins by 7 goals2.19%
Wins by 8 goals0.87%
Wins by 9 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.49%2.51%
1.588.25%11.75%
2.571.22%28.78%
3.550.30%49.70%
4.531.01%68.99%
5.516.80%83.20%
6.58.06%91.94%
7.53.46%96.54%
8.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.536.66%63.34%
1.57.74%92.26%
2.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.04%3.96%
1.583.26%16.74%
2.562.62%37.38%
3.540.40%59.60%
4.522.47%77.53%
5.510.88%89.12%
6.54.64%95.36%
7.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.85%18.15%
1.550.88%49.12%
2.524.46%75.54%
3.59.42%90.58%
4.53.00%97.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.51%
8.10%
13.07%
14.07%
11.36%
7.34%
1
1.14%
3.70%
5.97%
6.43%
5.19%
3.35%
2
0.26%
0.84%
1.36%
1.47%
1.18%
0.77%
Utrecht
1-01.14%
2-00.26%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-02.51%
1-13.70%
2-21.36%
3-30.22%
Ajax
0-18.10%
0-213.07%
1-25.97%
0-314.07%
1-36.43%
2-31.47%
0-411.36%
1-45.19%
2-41.18%
3-40.18%
0-57.34%
1-53.35%
2-50.77%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Ajax
Score0123456
0
18.15%
27.13%
20.29%
10.11%
3.78%
1.13%
0.28%
1
3.84%
5.74%
4.29%
2.14%
0.80%
0.24%
0.06%
2
0.41%
0.61%
0.45%
0.23%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-03.84%
2-00.41%
2-10.61%
Draw
0-018.15%
1-15.74%
2-20.45%
Ajax
0-127.13%
0-220.29%
1-24.29%
0-310.11%
1-32.14%
2-30.23%
0-43.78%
1-40.80%
0-51.13%
1-50.24%
0-60.28%
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