Groningen at Ajax

Updated

Groningen

9.5%8.5%82.0%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.34Projected Goals 2.96
0Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Vitesse+130
L 1-2 at Willem II+225
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen+105
L 2-5 at PSV Eindhoven+950
T 0-0 vs Utrecht+225
Ajax
Money Line
W 5-0 at Fortuna Sittard-800
W 0-9 vs Cambuur-1150
W 2-0 at Zwolle-550
W 0-5 vs Vitesse-700
T 1-1 at Twente-390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+2400+2400+2300+3471+2475+2500+3471+3620.5
Ajax-1400-1600-1111-1419-1669-1429-1419-956.3
Draw+1000+1200+1000+1324+1188+1200+1324+1375.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen-----+3620.5
Ajax------956.3
Draw-----+1375.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +2500 to +2400
Ajax ML moved from -1406 to -1421

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾+104o4¼-118o4¼-128o4¼-117-o4¼-128o4¼-117o4¼-108
Underu3¾-124u4¼-102u4¼+108u4¼+100-u4¼+108u4¼+108u4¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4¼-108
Under-----u4¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-120 to o4-118
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes27.6%
 
No72.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.67%
Exactly 220.05%
Exactly 418.24%
Exactly 66.64%
Exactly 81.29%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.14%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 512.05%
Exactly 73.13%
Exactly 90.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 070.93%
Exactly 124.36%
Exactly 24.18%
Exactly 30.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.18%
Exactly 115.33%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.58%
Exactly 59.82%
Exactly 64.84%
Exactly 72.05%
Exactly 80.76%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.66%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 44.94%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.13%
Exactly 312.92%
Exactly 51.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 085.30%
Exactly 113.56%
Exactly 21.08%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 025.39%
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 310.90%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 51.02%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals0.31%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals71.64%
Wins by 3+ goals49.34%
Wins by 4+ goals28.98%
Wins by 5+ goals14.62%
Wins by 6+ goals6.39%
Wins by 7+ goals2.42%
Wins by 8+ goals0.78%
Wins by 9+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal2.01%
Wins by 2 goals0.29%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal17.42%
Wins by 2 goals22.30%
Wins by 3 goals20.36%
Wins by 4 goals14.36%
Wins by 5 goals8.23%
Wins by 6 goals3.97%
Wins by 7 goals1.65%
Wins by 8 goals0.60%
Wins by 9 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.33%3.67%
1.584.19%15.81%
2.564.14%35.86%
3.542.05%57.95%
4.523.81%76.19%
5.511.76%88.24%
6.55.12%94.88%
7.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.529.07%70.93%
1.54.71%95.29%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.82%5.18%
1.579.49%20.51%
2.556.79%43.21%
3.534.39%65.61%
4.517.81%82.19%
5.58.00%92.00%
6.53.16%96.84%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.34%21.66%
1.545.21%54.79%
2.519.87%80.13%
3.56.94%93.06%
4.52.00%98.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Ajax
Score01234
0
3.67%
10.88%
16.10%
15.89%
11.76%
1
1.26%
3.74%
5.53%
5.46%
4.04%
2
0.22%
0.64%
0.95%
0.94%
0.69%
Groningen
1-01.26%
2-00.22%
2-10.64%
Draw
0-03.67%
1-13.74%
2-20.95%
3-30.11%
Ajax
0-110.88%
0-216.10%
1-25.53%
0-315.89%
1-35.46%
2-30.94%
0-411.76%
1-44.04%
2-40.69%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Ajax
Score0123456
0
21.66%
29.69%
20.35%
9.30%
3.19%
0.87%
0.20%
1
3.44%
4.72%
3.24%
1.48%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
2
0.27%
0.38%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-03.44%
2-00.27%
2-10.38%
Draw
0-021.66%
1-14.72%
2-20.26%
Ajax
0-129.69%
0-220.35%
1-23.24%
0-39.30%
1-31.48%
2-30.12%
0-43.19%
1-40.51%
0-50.87%
1-50.14%
0-60.20%