Willem II at Twente

Updated

Willem II

27.3%22.0%50.8%
Willem II WinDrawTwente Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.92
1Final Score 1

Twente

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 2-3 at Heracles Almelo+330
W 1-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+575
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+190
W 1-2 vs Groningen+120
T 0-0 at NEC Nijmegen+140
Twente
Money Line
T 1-1 at Groningen+165
W 3-2 at Heerenveen+215
W 1-3 vs AZ Alkmaar+230
W 4-1 at Vitesse+300
W 0-1 vs Utrecht+335

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+330+400+440+430+375+440+440+446.5
Twente-125-160-152-145-144-152-144-134.7
Draw+270+310+280+299+286+280+310+311.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+360----+440+440+446.5
Twente-135-----150-150-134.7
Draw+280----+275+275+311.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 30.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +420 to +410
Twente ML moved from -143 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 30.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +470 to +440
Twente ML moved from -145 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2¾-105o2½-115o2½-111-o2½-115o2½-111o2½-105
Underu2¾-108u2¾-115u2½-105u2½-101-u2½-105u2¾-115u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-105
Under-----u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-119 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%
 
No45.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.24%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 416.51%
Exactly 64.79%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.45%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.74%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 035.69%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.94%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 014.68%
Exactly 128.16%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.28%
Exactly 48.29%
Exactly 53.18%
Exactly 61.02%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.53%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 310.83%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 062.06%
Exactly 129.60%
Exactly 27.06%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 041.13%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.23%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals7.04%
Wins by 3+ goals1.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals34.16%
Wins by 3+ goals16.36%
Wins by 4+ goals6.47%
Wins by 5+ goals2.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Twente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal12.81%
Wins by 2 goals5.12%
Wins by 3 goals1.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal23.86%
Wins by 2 goals17.80%
Wins by 3 goals9.89%
Wins by 4 goals4.34%
Wins by 5 goals1.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.76%5.24%
1.579.31%20.69%
2.556.53%43.47%
3.534.14%65.86%
4.517.63%82.37%
5.57.89%92.11%
6.53.10%96.90%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.31%35.69%
1.527.54%72.46%
2.58.59%91.41%
3.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.32%14.68%
1.557.16%42.84%
2.530.14%69.86%
3.512.86%87.14%
4.54.56%95.44%
5.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.47%25.53%
1.539.62%60.38%
2.515.82%84.18%
3.54.99%95.01%
4.51.29%98.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Twente
Score012345
0
5.24%
10.05%
9.64%
6.17%
2.96%
1.14%
1
5.40%
10.36%
9.94%
6.36%
3.05%
1.17%
2
2.78%
5.33%
5.12%
3.27%
1.57%
0.60%
3
0.95%
1.83%
1.76%
1.12%
0.54%
0.21%
4
0.25%
0.47%
0.45%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
Willem II
1-05.40%
2-02.78%
2-15.33%
3-00.95%
3-11.83%
3-21.76%
4-00.25%
4-10.47%
4-20.45%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-05.24%
1-110.36%
2-25.12%
3-31.12%
4-40.14%
Twente
0-110.05%
0-29.64%
1-29.94%
0-36.17%
1-36.36%
2-33.27%
0-42.96%
1-43.05%
2-41.57%
3-40.54%
0-51.14%
1-51.17%
2-50.60%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Twente
Score012345
0
25.53%
22.68%
10.08%
2.98%
0.66%
0.12%
1
12.18%
10.82%
4.81%
1.42%
0.32%
0.06%
2
2.90%
2.58%
1.15%
0.34%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.46%
0.41%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Willem II
1-012.18%
2-02.90%
2-12.58%
3-00.46%
3-10.41%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-025.53%
1-110.82%
2-21.15%
Twente
0-122.68%
0-210.08%
1-24.81%
0-32.98%
1-31.42%
2-30.34%
0-40.66%
1-40.32%
0-50.12%