Willem II at Twente

Updated

Willem II

27.3%22.0%50.8%
Willem II WinDrawTwente Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.92
1Final Score 1

Twente

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 2-3 at Heracles Almelo+330
W 1-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+575
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+190
W 1-2 vs Groningen+120
T 0-0 at NEC Nijmegen+140
Twente
Money Line
T 1-1 at Groningen+165
W 3-2 at Heerenveen+215
W 1-3 vs AZ Alkmaar+230
W 4-1 at Vitesse+300
W 0-1 vs Utrecht+335

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+330+400+440+430+375+440+440+446.5
Twente-125-160-152-145-144-152-144-134.7
Draw+270+310+280+299+286+280+310+311.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+360----+440+440+446.5
Twente-135-----150-150-134.7
Draw+280----+275+275+311.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 30.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +420 to +410
Twente ML moved from -143 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 30.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +470 to +440
Twente ML moved from -145 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2¾-105o2½-115o2½-111-o2½-115o2½-111o2½-105
Underu2¾-108u2¾-115u2½-105u2½-101-u2½-105u2¾-115u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-105
Under-----u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-119 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%
 
No45.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.24%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 416.51%
Exactly 64.79%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.45%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.74%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 035.69%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.94%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 014.68%
Exactly 128.16%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.28%
Exactly 48.29%
Exactly 53.18%
Exactly 61.02%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.53%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 310.83%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 062.06%
Exactly 129.60%
Exactly 27.06%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 041.13%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.23%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals7.04%
Wins by 3+ goals1.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals34.16%
Wins by 3+ goals16.36%
Wins by 4+ goals6.47%
Wins by 5+ goals2.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Twente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal12.81%
Wins by 2 goals5.12%
Wins by 3 goals1.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal23.86%
Wins by 2 goals17.80%
Wins by 3 goals9.89%
Wins by 4 goals4.34%
Wins by 5 goals1.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.76%5.24%
1.579.31%20.69%
2.556.53%43.47%
3.534.14%65.86%
4.517.63%82.37%
5.57.89%92.11%
6.53.10%96.90%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.31%35.69%
1.527.54%72.46%
2.58.59%91.41%
3.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.32%14.68%
1.557.16%42.84%
2.530.14%69.86%
3.512.86%87.14%
4.54.56%95.44%
5.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.47%25.53%
1.539.62%60.38%
2.515.82%84.18%
3.54.99%95.01%
4.51.29%98.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Twente
Score012345
0
5.24%
10.05%
9.64%
6.17%
2.96%
1.14%
1
5.40%
10.36%
9.94%
6.36%
3.05%
1.17%
2
2.78%
5.33%
5.12%
3.27%
1.57%
0.60%
3
0.95%
1.83%
1.76%
1.12%
0.54%
0.21%
4
0.25%
0.47%
0.45%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
Willem II
1-05.40%
2-02.78%
2-15.33%
3-00.95%
3-11.83%
3-21.76%
4-00.25%
4-10.47%
4-20.45%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-05.24%
1-110.36%
2-25.12%
3-31.12%
4-40.14%
Twente
0-110.05%
0-29.64%
1-29.94%
0-36.17%
1-36.36%
2-33.27%
0-42.96%
1-43.05%
2-41.57%
3-40.54%
0-51.14%
1-51.17%
2-50.60%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Twente
Score012345
0
25.53%
22.68%
10.08%
2.98%
0.66%
0.12%
1
12.18%
10.82%
4.81%
1.42%
0.32%
0.06%
2
2.90%
2.58%
1.15%
0.34%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.46%
0.41%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Willem II
1-012.18%
2-02.90%
2-12.58%
3-00.46%
3-10.41%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-025.53%
1-110.82%
2-21.15%
Twente
0-122.68%
0-210.08%
1-24.81%
0-32.98%
1-31.42%
2-30.34%
0-40.66%
1-40.32%
0-50.12%
Vitesse at NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard at Willem II