AZ Alkmaar at Twente

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

56.1%19.8%24.1%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawTwente Win
2.11Projected Goals 0.91
1Final Score 3

Twente

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 2-3 at Heracles Almelo-140
L 3-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+210
W 3-1 at Heerenveen-110
L 0-1 at RKC Waalwijk-150
W 0-5 vs Heracles Almelo-170
Twente
Money Line
W 4-1 at Vitesse+300
W 0-1 vs Utrecht+335
L 0-2 at Cambuur+155
T 1-1 vs Ajax+1000
L 1-2 at Fortuna Sittard+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+100+110+110+114-+110+114+120.0
Twente+240+235+230+245-+230+245+254.7
Draw+270+260+270+269-+270+270+279.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+105----+110+110+120.0
Twente+245----+230+230+254.7
Draw+265----+270+270+279.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +125 to +115
Twente ML moved from +209 to +203

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +125 to +110
Twente ML moved from +230 to +215

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o2½-122o2¾+112o2½-116-o2¾+112o2½-116o2½-109
Underu2¾+100u2½+102u2¾-132u2½+103-u2¾-132u2½+103u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.87%
Exactly 222.24%
Exactly 416.92%
Exactly 65.15%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.72%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.23%
Exactly 72.22%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 012.10%
Exactly 125.55%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 319.00%
Exactly 410.03%
Exactly 54.24%
Exactly 61.49%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 040.29%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.65%
Exactly 35.05%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.69%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 43.94%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 311.26%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 037.61%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.99%
Exactly 35.86%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 065.64%
Exactly 127.63%
Exactly 25.82%
Exactly 30.82%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals41.11%
Wins by 3+ goals21.38%
Wins by 4+ goals9.26%
Wins by 5+ goals3.39%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals4.83%
Wins by 3+ goals1.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Twente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.90%
Wins by 2 goals19.73%
Wins by 3 goals12.12%
Wins by 4 goals5.87%
Wins by 5 goals2.34%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal10.28%
Wins by 2 goals3.65%
Wins by 3 goals0.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.13%4.87%
1.580.40%19.60%
2.558.16%41.84%
3.535.76%64.24%
4.518.84%81.16%
5.58.61%91.39%
6.53.46%96.54%
7.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.90%12.10%
1.562.35%37.65%
2.535.37%64.63%
3.516.37%83.63%
4.56.34%93.66%
5.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.71%40.29%
1.523.09%76.91%
2.56.44%93.56%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.31%24.69%
1.540.78%59.22%
2.516.63%83.37%
3.55.36%94.64%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Score01234
0
4.87%
4.43%
2.01%
0.61%
0.14%
1
10.29%
9.36%
4.25%
1.29%
0.29%
2
10.87%
9.88%
4.49%
1.36%
0.31%
3
7.65%
6.96%
3.16%
0.96%
0.22%
4
4.04%
3.68%
1.67%
0.51%
0.12%
5
1.71%
1.55%
0.71%
0.21%
0.05%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.29%
2-010.87%
2-19.88%
3-07.65%
3-16.96%
3-23.16%
4-04.04%
4-13.68%
4-21.67%
4-30.51%
5-01.71%
5-11.55%
5-20.71%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-04.87%
1-19.36%
2-24.49%
3-30.96%
4-40.12%
Twente
0-14.43%
0-22.01%
1-24.25%
0-30.61%
1-31.29%
2-31.36%
0-40.14%
1-40.29%
2-40.31%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Score0123
0
24.69%
10.39%
2.19%
0.31%
1
24.14%
10.16%
2.14%
0.30%
2
11.81%
4.97%
1.05%
0.15%
3
3.85%
1.62%
0.34%
0.05%
4
0.94%
0.40%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-024.14%
2-011.81%
2-14.97%
3-03.85%
3-11.62%
3-20.34%
4-00.94%
4-10.40%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-024.69%
1-110.16%
2-21.05%
Twente
0-110.39%
0-22.19%
1-22.14%
0-30.31%
1-30.30%
2-30.15%