NEC Nijmegen at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

20.1%17.9%61.9%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.20
1Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen+135
W 0-3 vs Groningen+160
W 2-1 at Twente+430
L 1-0 vs Vitesse+190
W 3-1 at Fortuna Sittard+165
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 0-1 at Feyenoord+290
W 2-3 vs Zwolle-410
L 0-2 at Groningen-110
W 1-5 vs Utrecht-105
W 3-1 at Cambuur-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+575+675+680+709-+680+709+794.4
AZ Alkmaar-235-265-256-241--256-241-223.4
Draw+370+380+385+399-+385+399+406.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+725----+775+775+794.4
AZ Alkmaar-240-----270-270-223.4
Draw+350----+380+380+406.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +752 to +709
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -256 to -263

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -260 to -270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o3-102o3-101o3-101-o3-101o3-101o3+106
Underu2¾+105u3-118u3-119u3-114-u3-119u3-114u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+106
Under-----u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.42%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 416.30%
Exactly 64.62%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.81%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.50%
Exactly 71.92%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 048.93%
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 212.50%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 011.09%
Exactly 124.38%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 319.66%
Exactly 410.81%
Exactly 54.76%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 70.55%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.94%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 43.58%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 310.62%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 071.82%
Exactly 123.77%
Exactly 23.93%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 036.12%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.73%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals2.77%
Wins by 3+ goals0.52%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals47.20%
Wins by 3+ goals25.70%
Wins by 4+ goals11.65%
Wins by 5+ goals4.47%
Wins by 6+ goals1.46%
Wins by 7+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal7.83%
Wins by 2 goals2.25%
Wins by 3 goals0.46%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals21.50%
Wins by 3 goals14.05%
Wins by 4 goals7.19%
Wins by 5 goals3.01%
Wins by 6 goals1.06%
Wins by 7 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.58%5.42%
1.578.77%21.23%
2.555.73%44.27%
3.533.36%66.64%
4.517.05%82.95%
5.57.55%92.45%
6.52.94%97.06%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.07%48.93%
1.516.10%83.90%
2.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.91%11.09%
1.564.53%35.47%
2.537.71%62.29%
3.518.05%81.95%
4.57.24%92.76%
5.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.06%25.94%
1.539.05%60.95%
2.515.44%84.56%
3.54.82%95.18%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
5.42%
11.93%
13.12%
9.62%
5.29%
2.33%
1
3.88%
8.53%
9.38%
6.88%
3.78%
1.66%
2
1.39%
3.05%
3.35%
2.46%
1.35%
0.59%
3
0.33%
0.73%
0.80%
0.59%
0.32%
0.14%
NEC Nijmegen
1-03.88%
2-01.39%
2-13.05%
3-00.33%
3-10.73%
3-20.80%
Draw
0-05.42%
1-18.53%
2-23.35%
3-30.59%
AZ Alkmaar
0-111.93%
0-213.12%
1-29.38%
0-39.62%
1-36.88%
2-32.46%
0-45.29%
1-43.78%
2-41.35%
3-40.32%
0-52.33%
1-51.66%
2-50.59%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
25.94%
26.42%
13.45%
4.57%
1.16%
0.24%
1
8.59%
8.74%
4.45%
1.51%
0.38%
0.08%
2
1.42%
1.45%
0.74%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-08.59%
2-01.42%
2-11.45%
3-00.16%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-025.94%
1-18.74%
2-20.74%
AZ Alkmaar
0-126.42%
0-213.45%
1-24.45%
0-34.57%
1-31.51%
2-30.25%
0-41.16%
1-40.38%
0-50.24%
Twente at Sparta R'dam
Fortuna Sittard at Heracles Almelo