Groningen at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Groningen

59.9%20.5%19.6%
Groningen WinDrawWin
1.92Projected Goals 0.63
0Final Score 3

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
W 0-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+315
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+205
T 1-1 vs Twente+170
L 0-3 at Ajax
L 1-0 vs Vitesse+130
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 2-1 at Twente+430
L 1-0 vs Vitesse+190
W 3-1 at Fortuna Sittard+165
L 3-5 at Feyenoord+1100
L 3-0 vs Utrecht+325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+165+180+189+177-+189+189+194.6
NEC Nijmegen+155+160+163+177-+163+177+179.2
Draw+245+215+210+227-+210+227+230.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+180----+175+175+194.6
NEC Nijmegen+155----+160+160+179.2
Draw+230----+230+230+230.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 50.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +185 to +177
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +177 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 50.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Groningen ML
No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2¼-115o2¼-110o2¼-111-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼+100
Underu2½-108u2¼-105u2¼-110u2¼-101-u2¼-110u2¼-101u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-111 to o2½+107
The Under moved from u2½-120 to u2¼-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.7%
 
No60.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.84%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 413.73%
Exactly 62.97%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 119.96%
Exactly 321.56%
Exactly 56.99%
Exactly 71.08%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 014.66%
Exactly 128.15%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.29%
Exactly 48.30%
Exactly 53.19%
Exactly 61.02%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 053.45%
Exactly 133.48%
Exactly 210.49%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.76%
Exactly 221.38%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 38.40%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 041.11%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.24%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 074.82%
Exactly 121.70%
Exactly 23.15%
Exactly 30.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals42.04%
Wins by 3+ goals20.86%
Wins by 4+ goals8.48%
Wins by 5+ goals2.86%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals2.71%
Wins by 3+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal26.10%
Wins by 2 goals21.18%
Wins by 3 goals12.38%
Wins by 4 goals5.62%
Wins by 5 goals2.07%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal8.51%
Wins by 2 goals2.25%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.16%7.84%
1.572.21%27.79%
2.546.80%53.20%
3.525.24%74.76%
4.511.51%88.49%
5.54.52%95.48%
6.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.34%14.66%
1.557.19%42.81%
2.530.16%69.84%
3.512.87%87.13%
4.54.57%95.43%
5.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.55%53.45%
1.513.07%86.93%
2.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.24%30.76%
1.532.97%67.03%
2.511.60%88.40%
3.53.20%96.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
7.84%
4.91%
1.54%
0.32%
1
15.05%
9.43%
2.95%
0.62%
2
14.44%
9.05%
2.83%
0.59%
3
9.24%
5.79%
1.81%
0.38%
4
4.44%
2.78%
0.87%
0.18%
5
1.70%
1.07%
0.33%
0.07%
Groningen
1-015.05%
2-014.44%
2-19.05%
3-09.24%
3-15.79%
3-21.81%
4-04.44%
4-12.78%
4-20.87%
4-30.18%
5-01.70%
5-11.07%
5-20.33%
Draw
0-07.84%
1-19.43%
2-22.83%
3-30.38%
NEC Nijmegen
0-14.91%
0-21.54%
1-22.95%
0-30.32%
1-30.62%
2-30.59%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
30.76%
8.92%
1.29%
0.13%
1
27.34%
7.93%
1.15%
0.11%
2
12.15%
3.52%
0.51%
0.05%
3
3.60%
1.04%
0.15%
0.01%
4
0.80%
0.23%
0.03%
0.00%
5
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-027.34%
2-012.15%
2-13.52%
3-03.60%
3-11.04%
3-20.15%
4-00.80%
4-10.23%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-030.76%
1-17.93%
2-20.51%
NEC Nijmegen
0-18.92%
0-21.29%
1-21.15%
0-30.13%
1-30.11%
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