Heerenveen at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Heerenveen

55.7%20.9%23.4%
Heerenveen WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.97Projected Goals 0.83
1Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Vitesse+165
L 1-2 at Utrecht+675
L 2-0 vs Ajax+1000
W 1-0 at Zwolle+185
L 3-2 vs Twente+130
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Groningen+160
W 2-1 at Twente+430
L 1-0 vs Vitesse+190
W 3-1 at Fortuna Sittard+165
L 3-5 at Feyenoord+1100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+165+205+194+222-+194+222+230.9
NEC Nijmegen+155+125+135+131-+135+135+137.4
Draw+240+245+250+252-+250+252+261.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+210----+210+210+230.9
NEC Nijmegen+130----+135+135+137.4
Draw+240----+230+230+261.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 50.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +197 to +190
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 50.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +225 to +210
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2¾-102o2¾-107o2¾+100-o2¾-107o2¾+100o2¾+106
Underu2½+102u2¾-118u2¾-113u2¾-113-u2¾-113u2¾-113u2¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+106
Under-----u2¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.07%
Exactly 223.82%
Exactly 415.59%
Exactly 64.08%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.00%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.74%
Exactly 71.63%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 013.91%
Exactly 127.44%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.80%
Exactly 48.78%
Exactly 53.46%
Exactly 61.14%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 043.61%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.02%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.32%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 39.95%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 040.12%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.73%
Exactly 35.09%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 068.10%
Exactly 126.16%
Exactly 25.03%
Exactly 30.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals39.21%
Wins by 3+ goals19.50%
Wins by 4+ goals7.99%
Wins by 5+ goals2.72%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals4.52%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal24.83%
Wins by 2 goals19.71%
Wins by 3 goals11.51%
Wins by 4 goals5.27%
Wins by 5 goals1.97%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal10.44%
Wins by 2 goals3.49%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.93%6.07%
1.576.94%23.06%
2.553.11%46.89%
3.530.86%69.14%
4.515.27%84.73%
5.56.53%93.47%
6.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.09%13.91%
1.558.66%41.34%
2.531.59%68.41%
3.513.80%86.20%
4.55.02%94.98%
5.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.39%43.61%
1.520.20%79.80%
2.55.18%94.82%
3.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.68%27.32%
1.537.23%62.77%
2.514.23%85.77%
3.54.29%95.71%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
6.07%
5.03%
2.09%
0.58%
0.12%
1
11.97%
9.93%
4.12%
1.14%
0.24%
2
11.80%
9.79%
4.06%
1.12%
0.23%
3
7.76%
6.44%
2.67%
0.74%
0.15%
4
3.83%
3.18%
1.32%
0.36%
0.08%
5
1.51%
1.25%
0.52%
0.14%
0.03%
Heerenveen
1-011.97%
2-011.80%
2-19.79%
3-07.76%
3-16.44%
3-22.67%
4-03.83%
4-13.18%
4-21.32%
4-30.36%
5-01.51%
5-11.25%
5-20.52%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.07%
1-19.93%
2-24.06%
3-30.74%
NEC Nijmegen
0-15.03%
0-22.09%
1-24.12%
0-30.58%
1-31.14%
2-31.12%
0-40.12%
1-40.24%
2-40.23%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
27.32%
10.50%
2.02%
0.26%
1
24.95%
9.59%
1.84%
0.24%
2
11.40%
4.38%
0.84%
0.11%
3
3.47%
1.33%
0.26%
0.03%
4
0.79%
0.30%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-024.95%
2-011.40%
2-14.38%
3-03.47%
3-11.33%
3-20.26%
4-00.79%
4-10.30%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-027.32%
1-19.59%
2-20.84%
NEC Nijmegen
0-110.50%
0-22.02%
1-21.84%
0-30.26%
1-30.24%
2-30.11%